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(CoST) Project Future Year Inventory - MARAMA

1. Source Source Id Facility Id Unit Id CM Abbrev Apply Control Percent Replacement Adjustment Final Emission Inventory Comments Release Point Id Process Id Region Cd Order or Efficiency Reduction Addon Factor Emissions Reduction Emissions Scc Pollutant Action Code GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 UNKNOWNMSR 2 88 0 88 0JA 42 61 312 45 355 05 The Control packet record No 4 from Table 15 was applied by matching on scc and 1654113 1569412 17761914 37021 pollutant 10100202 PM10 Here are Addon control calculations for a monthly based source Emission Reduction Jan Inv Emission x Jan Percent Reduction 100 Feb Inv Emission x Feb Percent Reduction 100 Dec Inv Emission x Dec Percent Reduction 100 where existing controls are NOT backed out the control is assumed to add on to the existing control Final Emission Jan Inv Emis Feb Inv Emis Dec Inv Emis Emission Reduction Table 17 Detailed Result Records continuation of Table 13 Plant Closure Packet No fips plantid pointid stackid segment plant effective_date reference 37021 8392811 1654113 07 01 2018 2 37035 8370411 01 01 2015 f Table 14 Projection Packet Extended For
2. Line Position Description 1 A CONTROL 2 JA Header entry Header is indicated by use of as the first character on the line 34 JA Country state county code or country state code with blank for county or zero or blank or 9 for all country state county or country state codes B 8 or 10 digit SCC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SCC specific control C Pollutant blank zero or 9 if not a pollutant specific control D Primary control measure abbreviation blank zero or 9 applies to all measure in the Control Measure Database E Control efficiency value should be a percent e g enter 90 for a 90 control UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 28 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Line Position Description efficiency Rule effectiveness value should be a percent e g enter 50 for a 50 rule effectiveness Rule penetration rate value should be a percent e g enter 80 for a 80 rule penetration Standard Industrial Category SIC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SIC specific control Maximum Achievable Control Technology MACT code optional blank zero or 9 if nota MACT specific control Application control flag e Y control is applied to inventory e N control will not be used Replacement flag e A control is applied in addition to any controls already on source e R control replaces any
3. CONTROL_EFF The control efficiency as specified by the Control Packet or Allowable Packet For the old Control Packet format the field is set to the CEFF field For the new Control Extended Packet format the field is set to the ANN_PCTRED field for annual emission sources only if the source happens to have monthly emissions specified then this field will be calculated based on the following monthly emission and pctred factors Control Efficiency ancvalusan petred feb_valuexfeb_pctred 4 dec_valuexdec_pctred 100 100 100 jan_value feb_value dec_value x100 This field is null for Plant Closure and Projection Packets UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 10 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description RULE_PEN The rule penetration that is specified in the old Control Packet format For the new Control Extended Packet format this is set to 100 This field is null for Plant Closure and Projection Packets RULE_EFF The rule effectiveness that is specified in the old Control Packet format For the new Control Extended Packet format this is set to 100 This field is null for Plant Closure and Projection Packets PERCENT_ REDUCTION The percent by which the emissions from the source are reduced after the Control Packet has been applied For the old Control Packet format the following for
4. DEC_FINAL_EMISSIONS Same as defined for the jan_final_emissions field but for December JAN_PCT_RED The percent by which the source s January monthly emission is reduced after the Control Packet has been applied For the old Control Packet format the following formula is used Percent reduction Control Efficiency x Rule Penetration 100 x Rule Effectiveness 100 99 x 100 100 x 100 100 99 For the new Control Extended Packet format the field is set to the Control Packet ANN_PCTRED field for annual based emission sources only these sources will have no monthly based emissions specified in the inventory if the source is based on monthly emissions these source will have monthly based emissions specified in the inventory then this field will be set to the Control Packet jan_pctred field If the jan_pctred field is unknown then the Control Packet ann_pctred is used This field is null for Plant Closure and Projection Packets This monthly related field is only populated when projecting Flat File 2010 inventories FEB_PCT_RED Same as defined for the jan_pct_red field but for February DEC_PCT_RED Same as defined for the jan_pct_red field but for December COMMENT Information about this record and how it was produced this can be either created automatically by the system or entered by the user UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 16 April 8 2013 EMAQ LO
5. For a closure record with a blank effective date this will result in all matching sources being closed Is effective date blank null OR effective date lt 10 01 2020 true The effective date is blank gt This is true so these matching sources would be closed For a closure record with an effective date of 11 15 2020 this will result in no matching sources being closed Is effective date blank null OR effective date 11 15 2020 lt 10 01 2020 true 11 15 2020 lt 10 01 2020 gt This is false so these matching sources would not be closed H Reference contains for the reference information for closing the plant The format of the Control Program Projection Packet Table 5 is based on the SMOKE format as defined in the SMOKE user s manual One modification was made to enhance this packet s use in CoST the unused SMOKE column at position K is now used to store the NAICS code Table 5 Table Format for Projection Packet Dataset Type Line Position Description 1 JA PROJECTION lt 4 digit from year gt lt 4 digit to year gt 2 JA Header entry Header is defined by the as the first character on the line 3 JA Country State County code or Country state code with blank for county or zero UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 25 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document LinelPosition Description or bl
6. The percent reduction of the control value should be a percent e g enter 90 for a 90 percent reduction to apply to the annual emission factor the lpercent reduction can be considered a combination of the control efficiency rule effectiveness and rule penetration CE RE 100 RP 100 The annual percent reduction field is used to reduce annual emission of the inventory the ann_value column of the FF10 inventory formats contains the annual emission value The annual percent reduction is also used as a default for monthly specific percent reductions when they are not specified If you do not want to specify a monthly specific projection factor value then also make sure not to specify an annual projection factor which could be used as a default Jan_pctred The percent reduction of the control to apply to the monthly January lemission factor the jan_value column of the FF10 inventory If no January percent reduction is specified the annual percent reduction value will be used as a default The monthly specific percent reduction fields are not used on the older ORL inventory formats only the annual percent reduction field will be used on these older formats Feb_pctred Analogous to the January percent reduction above Dec_pctred The percent reduction of the control to apply to the monthly December lemission factor the dec_value column of the FF10 inventory If no December percent reduction is specif
7. 7 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description ANNUAL_OPER_ MAINT_COST The annual cost to operate and maintain the measure once it has been installed on the source Default Approach used when there is no cost equation or inputs to cost equation are not available Annual Cost Annualized Capital Cost 1 501 85 156 1 345 85 Note if the capital recovery factor was not specified for the measure it would not be possible to compute Annualized Capital Cost or Annual O amp M Costs Using Type 8 Cost Equation If Stack Flow Rate gt 5 0 cfm Then O amp M Control Cost Factor x Stack Flow Rate cfm x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Else Default O amp M Cost Per Ton Factor x Emission Reduction tons x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Since Stack Flow Rate 10 500 cfm use first equation 11 0 x 175 cfs x 60 s 1 min x 9817 11415 3 99 328 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars ANNUAL VARIABLE OPER MAINT COST The annual variable cost to operate and maintain the measure once it has been installed on the source Default Approach used when there is no cost equation or inputs to cost equation are not available blank not calculated no default approach available Using Type 10 Cost Equation variable_operation_maintenance_cost_multi
8. VOC 49 4 4 2 3 8 4 2 4 1 4 2 4 1 4 2 4 2 44 4 2 4 1 4 2 MNO Die Casting 5213452811 25 74890413 69265812 101400314 37081 30405001 co 1 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 26 MNO Die Casting 5 37081 30405001 NOX 1 6 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 27 MNO Die Casting 5 37081 30405001 PM10 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 28 MNO Die Casting 5 37081 30405001 PM2_5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 MNO Die Casting 5 37081 30405001 S02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 MNO Die Casting 5 37081 30405001 VOC 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 42 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Table 13 Plant Closure Packet No fips plantid pointid stackid segment plant effective_date reference 1 37021 8392811 1654113 07 01 2018 2 37035 8370411 01 01 2015 Table 14 Projection Packet Extended Format Monthly Projection Factor No region_cd facility_id unit_id rel point id process id Scc poll reg code sic naics Annual 7 gt e E gt mm o z Projection z al gt v gt S E es m 9 Oo m Factor D D lt 9 lt Oo
9. 0 15 0 13 0 15 0 14 015 0 14 0 15 0 15 0 14 0 15 0 14 0 15 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 PM2_5 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 1 0 15 0 13 0 15 0 14 0 15 0 14 0 15 0 15 0 14 0 15 0 14 0 15 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 PM10 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 2 0 06 0 05 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 The apply order 2 indicates a Control packet 68790812 101177114 37007 has been applied 30500311 PM10 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 2 0 06 0 05 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 0 06 If monthly based emissions are specified then the 68790812 101177114 37007 monthly based final emissions and percent 30500311 PM2_5 reduction columns are populated GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 2 3 62 3 27 3 62 3 50 362 3 50 3 62 3 62 3 50 3 62 3 50 3 62 Here is a Addon control calculation for a monthly 1654113 1569412 17761914 based source 37021 10100202 PM10 Jan Final Emission Jan Inv Emis Jan Inv Emission x Jan Percent Reduction 100 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 46 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 4 Potential Future Updates This section describes updates that may be made to the CoST algorithms in the future Reviewing these may also make the reader more aware of some of the nuances involved with applying the current version of CoST The following updates could be supported in future
10. Packet_mact The MACT regulatory code for the source found in the control program packet Packet_naics The NAICS code for the source found in the control program packet Packet_compliance The compliance or effective date found in the control program packet _effective_date The compliance date is used in the Control Packet the effective date is used in the Plant Closure Packet Packet_replacement Indicates whether the packet identifies a replacement versus an add on control found in the control program packet Packet_annual_mon Indicates whether the packet is monthly based or annual based thly 2 3 3 Controlled Emissions Inventory Another output that can be created is a controlled emissions inventory This dataset is not automatically created during a strategy run instead a user can choose to create it after the strategy run has completed successfully When EMF CoST creates a controlled inventory comments placed at the top of the inventory file indicate the strategy used to produce it and the high level settings for that strategy For ORL Inventories For the sources that were controlled CoST fills in the CEFF control efficiency REFF rule effectiveness and RPEN rule penetration columns based on the Control Packets applied to the sources The CEFF column is populated differently for a replacement Control Packet record than for an add on Control Packet record For a replacement control the CEFF column is populated with th
11. blank empty string column values to null The following is a list of the columns that are changed for each control packet a Control Packet plantid pointid stackid segment fips scc poll mact sic naics pri_cm_abbrev b Control Extended Packet facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process_id region_cd scc poll reg_code sic naics pri_cm_abbrev c Projection Packet plantid pointid stackid segment fips scc poll mact sic naics d Projection Extended Packet facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process_id region_cd scc poll reg_code sic naics Allowable Packet plantid pointid stackid segment fips scc poll sic naics f Allowable Extended Packet facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process_id region_cd scc poll reg_code sic naics g Plant Closure Packet plantid pointid stackid segment fips effective_date 4 Perform a prerun process that validates the routine This process evaluates the control program packets for the presence of severe errors that would stop the core algorithm from running The following severe errors shown as Error in the status column will be logged in the Strategy Messages Output and would stop the strategy run from proceeding a Plant Closure Packets closure date is not in the correct format it is stored as string so format could be incorrect b There are duplicate packet specific records To check for this like packets are merged and then evaluated for
12. 1 37001 1 10200906 PM10 0 90 2 30405001 CO 0 17 0 17 0 18 0 20 0 22 0 18 0 17 3 30500311 PM10 0 61 4 10100202 PM10 0 88 0 88 0 88 088 0 88 0 88 0 88 0 88 0 88 0 88 0 881 0 88 5 37001 1 10200906 PM2_5 0 90 6 30500311 PM2_5 0 61 10100202 PM2_5 0 88 Table 15 Control Packet Extended Format Monthly Percent Reduction No region_cd facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process_id scc poll reg code sic naics Compliance Application replacement Primary Control Annual elalezl sei 2 elelelalolzio Date Control Measure Percent Z meal cicjmj ojojm Abbreviation Reduction EE ES G G22 T AS 1 37001 1 10200906 PM10 Y R 90 2 30405001 CO Y R 17 17 18 20 22 18 17 3 30500311 PM10 Y R 61 4 10100202 PM10 Y A 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 5 37001 1 10200906 PM2_5 Y R 90 6 30500311 PM2_5 Y R 61 10100202 PM2_5 Y A 88 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 43 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Table 16 Detailed Result Records first part of table Source Source Id Facility Id Unit Id CM Abbrev Apply Control Percent Replacement Adjustment Final Emission Inventory Comments Release Point Id Process Id Region Cd Order or Efficiency Reduction Addon Factor Emissions Reduction Emissions Scc Pollutant Action Code JKL Steam Station 8370411 408113 P
13. 2010 dataset types in the EMF system The format also supports monthly projection factors in addition to annual projection factors For example instead of using the FIPS code the new format uses the REGION_CD column and instead of PLANTID the new format uses FACILITY_ID The appropriate mapping between the old and new formats is described in Table 7 The new format also contains additional columns that will be used in the future to help further enhance the inventory source matching capabilities these include COUNTRY_CD TRIBAL_CODE CENSUS_TRACT_CD SHAPE_ID and EMIS_TYPE Table 6 Table Format for Projection Packet Extended Dataset Type Column Description Country_cd Country code optional currently not used in matching process State county code or state code with blank for county or zero or blank or 9 for all state county or state codes Facility ID aka Plant ID in ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Unit_id Unit ID aka Point ID for ORL format for point sources optional blank zero Region_cd Facility_id UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 26 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Rel_point_id Release Point ID aka Stack ID in ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9
14. 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 52 Country State code 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 53 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 54 Country State County code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 55 Country State code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 56 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 57 Country State County code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 58 Country State County code point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad plant closure 59 Country State code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad 60 Country State code point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad plant closure 61 Pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection onroad nonroad More than one of the same type of control programs can be added to a strategy For example a client could add three Plant Closure Control Programs Cement Plant Closures Power Plant Closures and Boiler Closures All three of these control programs would be evaluated and a record of the evaluation would be stored in the Strategy Detailed Result If there happen to be multiple
15. and other adjustments e g projection factors that are used to estimate the effects of implementing a regulation that is on the books The control programs therefore are considered when projecting a base year emissions inventory to a future year base emissions inventory The CoST module is used to estimate the emission reductions and costs associated with future year control scenarios and then to generate emission inventories with the control scenarios applied Providing CoST as a tool integrated within the EMF facilitates a level of collaboration between control strategy development and emissions inventory modeling that was not previously possible CoST supports analyses for projecting inventories to future years and data transparency and provides a wide array of options for developing other types of control strategies It automates the key steps for applying control programs Plant Closures Projections Controls Caps and Replacements when running the control strategy analysis The result of a CoST control strategy run contains information that specifies the adjusted inventory emissions and emissions reductions achieved for each combination of control program and emission source Control strategy results can be exported to comma separated values CSV files Google Earth compatible kmz files or Shapefiles The results can also be viewed in a graphical table that supports sorting filtering and plotting The Strategy Detailed Result t
16. controls already on the source Plant ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Point ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Stack ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Segment for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Compliance Date The compliance date on which a control can be applied to sources prior to this date the control will not be applied A blank value is assumed to mean that the control is within the compliance date and the sources matched from this record will be controlled regardless The strategy target year is the year that is used in the control compliance cutoff date check An EMF system level property stored in the emf properties table as COST PROJECT FUTURE YEAR COMPLIANCE DATE CUTOFF MONTHDAY is used to store the month and day e g 10 01 for the first day of October to be used in the control compliance cutoff date check For example For a strategy with a target year of 2020 and compliance cutoff month day EMF property of 10 01 the control compliance cutoff date would be 10 01 2020 Fora control record with a compliance date of 07 01 2013 this will result in all matching sources not being controlled Is compliance date blan
17. cost including both capital and operating and maintenance required to keep the measure on the source for a year Default Approach used when there is no cost equation or inputs to cost equation are not available Annual Cost Emission Reduction tons x Reference Yr Cost Per Ton tons in 2006 Dollars x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Annual Cost 11 88 tons x 147 ton in 2000 Dollars x 9817 11415 3 1 501 85 Using Type 8 Cost Equation If Stack Flow Rate gt 5 0 cfm Then Annual Cost Annualized Capital Cost 0 04 x Capital Cost O amp M Cost Else Annual Cost Default Annualized Cost Per Ton Factor x Emission Reduction tons x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Since Stack Flow Rate 10 500 cfm use first equation Annual Cost 11 081 0 04 x 117 388 99 328 115 105 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars ANN COST PER TON ton The annual cost both capital and operating and maintenance to reduce one ton of the pollutant Ann Cost Per Ton Annual Cost Emis Reduction tons Default Approach used when there is no cost eguation or inputs to cost eguation are not available Ann Cost Per Ton 1 501 85 11 88 126 42 ton Using Type 8 cost Equation Ann_Cost_Per_Ton 115 105 11 88 9 689 ton Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1
18. create a control projection matrix by matching the control packet to the emission inventory using a hierarchical weighted matching approach This matching process creates source control packet pairings The matrix is stored in the Strategy Detailed Result See Table 3 for a complete listing of the matching hierarchy combinations the inventory types the matching criteria can be used for and the Control Program Packet Types that can use these criteria Table 3 Control Packet Matching Hierarchy Ranking Matching Hierarchy Inventory Types Control Program Types 1 Country State County code plant ID point ID stack ID point allowable control projection segment 8 digit SCC code pollutant plant closure 2 Country State County code plant ID point ID stack ID point allowable control projection segment pollutant plant closure 3 Country State County code plant ID point ID stack ID point allowable control projection pollutant plant closure 4 Country State County code plant ID point ID pollutant point allowable control projection plant closure 5 Country State County code plant ID 8 digit SCC code point allowable control projection pollutant plant closure 6 Country State County code plant ID MACT code pollutant point control projection 7 Country State County code plant ID pollutant point allowable control projection plant closure 8 Country State County code plant ID
19. higher the ranking is so in the example just given the plant specific control packet entry would outweigh the MACT specific packet entry UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 34 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document The Project Future Year Inventory strategy type uses only one constraint during the strategy run Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls This required constraint is the minimum percent reduction for predicting the probable control measure that could be applied to the source The percent difference calculation is based on the probable control measure percent reduction compared to the control percent reduction specified in the control packet O Control Measure Percent Reduction Control Packet Percent Reduction Control Measure Percent Reduction x 100 lt Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls Old Control Packet Format CM CEFF x CM RPEN x CM REFF CP CEFF x CP RPEN x CP REFF CM CEFF x CM RPEN x CM REFF x 100 lt Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls New Control Extended Packet Format CM CEFF x CM RPEN x CM REFF CP PCTRED CM CEFF x CM RPEN x CM REFF x 100 lt Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls The control measure with the smallest Percent Reduction Difference will be assigned as the most probabl
20. if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Process ID aka Segment on ORL format for point sources optional blank Process_id zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Tribal_code Tribal code optional currently not used in matching process Census_tract_cd Census tract ID optional currently not used in matching process Shape_id Shape ID optional currently not used in matching process Emis_type Emission type optional currently not used in matching process Scc 8 or 10 digit SCC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SCC specific control Poll Pollutant blank zero or 9 if not a pollutant specific control Regulatory code aka Maximum Achievable Control Technology code Reg_code S E ES optional blank zero or 9 if not a regulatory code specific control Sic Standard Industrial Category SIC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SIC specific control Naics North American Industry Classification NAICS code optional blank zero or 9 if not a NAICS specific control Ann_proj_factor The annual projection factor used to adjust the annual emission of the inventory The number is stored as a fraction rather than a percentage e g enter 1 2 to increase emissions by 20 double precision The annual projection factor is also used as a default for monthly specific projection factors when they are not specified If you do not want to specify a monthly specific
21. in CoST UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 19 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 3 Project Future Year Inventory Control Strategy 3 1 Project Future Year Inventory Background The inventory projection process involves taking a base year inventory and projecting it to a future year base inventory For the future year base inventories to have information on existing control measures it is helpful for the inventory projection process to specify what control measures have been applied to the sources This can be accomplished in a way that is similar to how the Annotate Inventory strategy analysis works It can also be accomplished by incorporating the concept of control programs explained in Section 8 2 into CoST and the EMF The process of projecting inventories is currently done using a series of SAS programs that take as input data tables collected from various sources For several years EPA has wanted to make the process of applying the control programs more explicit and documentable By incorporating the control programs into CoST and having CoST apply the projection and control factors to create the projected inventory it will be possible to annotate the inventories as the projection takes place To accomplish the application of control programs and projection factors to an inventory the control programs concept is being incorporated into CoST For each control program it will be possible to specify t
22. of 07 01 2013 this will result in all matching sources not being controlled Is compliance date blank null OR compliance date 07 01 2013 gt compliance cutoff month day strategy target year true 07 01 2013 gt 10 01 2020 gt This is false so these sources would not be controlled For a control record with a blank compliance date this will result in all matching sources being controlled Is compliance date blank null OR compliance date gt 10 01 2020 true The compliance date is blank gt This is true so these matching sources would be controlled For a control record with a compliance date of 11 15 2020 this will result in jall matching sources being controlled Is compliance date blank null OR compliance date 11 15 2020 gt 10 01 2020 true 11 15 2020 gt 10 01 2020 gt This is true so these matching sources UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 31 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description would be controlled Application_control Application control flag e Y control is applied to inventory e N control will not be used Replacement Replacement flag e A control is applied in addition to any controls already on source s R control replaces any controls already on the source Pri_cm_abbrev Primary control measure abbreviation from the Control Measure Database that defines the control packet record Ann_pctred
23. projection factor value then also make sure not to specify an annual projection factor which could be used as a default Jan_proj_factor The projection factor used to adjust the monthly January emission of the inventory the jan_value column of the FF10 inventory The number is stored as a fraction rather than a percentage e g enter 1 2 to increase emissions by 20 double precision If no January projection factor is specified the annual projection factor value will be used as a default The monthly specific projection factor fields are not used on the older ORL inventory formats only the annual projection factor field will be used on these older formats Feb_proj_factor Analogous to the January projections factor above Dec_proj_factor The projection factor used to adjust the monthly December emission of the inventory the dec_value column of the FF10 inventory The number is stored as a fraction rather than a percentage e g enter 1 2 to increase emissions by 20 double precision UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 27 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description If no December projection factor is specified the annual projection factor value will be used as a default The monthly specific projection factor fields are not used on the older ORL inventory formats only the annual projection factor field will be used on these old
24. shown here If the inventory has monthly based emissions FF10 format the monthly values are summed and the resulting value is shown here Note that the Strategy Sample discussed in Section 3 5 gives more details on exactly how this field is used APPLY_ORDER This field stores the Control Program Action Code that is being used on the source See Table 8 for a list of the action codes These codes indicate whether the Control Program is applying a Plant Closure Projection Control or Allowable Packet INPUT_EMIS tons This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null OUTPUT_EMIS This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null tons FIPSST The two digit FIPS state code FIPSCTY The three digit FIPS county code SIC The SIC code for the source from the inventory NAICS The NAICS code for the source from the inventory SOURCE_ID The record number from the input inventory for this source INPUT_DS_ID The numeric ID of the input inventory dataset for bookkeeping purposes CS_ID The numeric ID of the control strategy CM_ID This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 14 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description EQUATION TYPE The control measure equation that was used during the cost calculations If a minus sign is in f
25. versions of the software 1 Update Control Program Allowable Packet processing algorithm to be based on monthly and annual values instead of daily based values 2 Include more thorough warning messages in the Strategy Messages about Control Program Packet usage and trends during the analysis 5 References Eyth A M D Del Vecchio D Yang D Misenheimer D Weatherhead L Sorrels Recent Applications of the Control Strategy Tool CoST within the Emissions Modeling Framework 17 Annual Emissions inventory Conference Portland OR 2008 Houyoux M R M Strum R Mason A Eyth A Zubrow C Allen Using SMOKE from the Emissions Modeling Framework 17 Annual Emissions inventory Conference Portland OR 2008 Misenheimer D C A New Tool for Integrated Emissions and Controls Strategies Analysis 16 Annual Emissions inventory Conference Raleigh NC 2007 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 47 April 8 2013
26. 1 03 008 v1 39 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 Control Strategy Tool CoST Project Future Year Inventory Development Document All sources in Emissions Inventory All Control Programs Filter Inventory Clean Control Program Inventory Filter SQL Packets County Filter Filtered Emissions Inventory Cleaned Control Program Packets Prerun Validation Validate Plant Closure format date is in correct format All Control Measures Merge like packets and verify no duplicate records present i Core Algorithm Filter Control Program Control Measures by Specific control measures or by Specific control technologies Match Inventory Sources to Plant Closure Packets using Matching Hierarchy Filtered Control Measures Predict Probable Measure for Source based on SCC FIPS Inventory Pollutant Measure Effective Date Min and Max Emissions Match Inventory Sources to Projection Packets using Matching Hierarchy Match Inventory Sources to Control Packets using Matching Hierarchy Eliminate Control Measures Measure percent reduction needs to be within prediction percent reduction Match Inventory Sources to Allowable Packets using Matching Hierarchy Choose Best Measures for Sources with Multiple Measures based on Closest Locale Closest Percent Reduction Cheapest Ann
27. 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 8392811 13 1654113 1569412 17761914 37021 10100202 CO 127 2 10 8 9 8 10 8 10 5 10 8 10 5 10 8 10 8 10 5 10 8 10 5 10 8 14 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 37021 10100202 NOX 382 3 32 5 29 3 32 5 31 4 32 5 31 4 32 5 32 5 31 4 32 5 31 4 32 5 15 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 37021 10100202 PM10 403 5 34 3 31 0 34 3 33 2 34 3 33 2 34 3 34 3 33 2 34 3 33 2 34 3 16 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 37021 10100202 PM2_5 242 7 20 6 18 6 20 6 19 9 20 6 19 9 20 6 20 6 19 9 20 6 19 9 20 6 17 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 37021 10100202 SO2 316 1 26 8 24 2 26 8 26 0 26 8 26 0 26 8 26 8 26 0 26 8 26 0 26 8 18 GHI Steam Electric Plant 3 37021 10100202 VOC 15 2 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 13 JKL Steam Station 428370411 19 408113 69507212 17773814 37035 10100202 CO 1115 6 94 7 85 6 94 7 91 7 94 7 91 7 94 7 94 7 91 7 94 7 91 7 94 7 20 JKL Steam Station 4 37035 10100202 NOX 4380 0 372 0 336 0 372 0 360 0 372 0 360 0 372 0 372 0 360 0 372 0 360 0 372 0 21 JKL Steam Station 4 37035 10100202 PM10 2313 6 196 5 177 5 196 5 190 2 196 5 190 2 196 5 196 5 190 2 196 5 190 2 196 5 22 JKL Steam Station 4 37035 10100202 PM2_5 2286 5 194 2 175 4 194 2 187 9 194 2 187 9 194 2 194 2 187 9 194 2 187 9 194 2 23 JKL Steam Station 4 37035 10100202 SO2 2014 9 171 1 154 6 171 1 165 6 171 1 165 6 171 1 171 1 165 6 171 1 165 6 171 1 24 JKL Steam Station 4 37035 10100202
28. CoST PFYI Development Document reduction 100 x 100 For both types of measures the REFF and RPEN values are defaulted to 100 because the CEFF accounts for any variation in the REFF or RPEN by using the percent reduction instead of the CEFF CoST also populates several additional columns toward the end of the ORL and Flat File 2010 inventory rows that specify information about measures that it has applied These columns are e CONTROL MEASURES An ampersand amp separated list of control measure abbrevi ations that correspond to the control measures that have been applied to the given source e PCT REDUCTION An ampersand separated list of percent reductions that have been applied to the source where percent reduction CEFF x REFF x RPEN e CURRENT COST The annualized cost for that source for the most recent control strategy that was applied to the source e TOTAL COST The total cost for the source across all measures that have been applied to the source In this way the controlled inventories created by CoST always specify the relevant information about the measures programs that have been applied as a result of a CoST control strategy 2 4 Costing Control Measures The Control Strategy Tool costs out emission control measures in two ways 1 cost equations are used to determine engineering costs that take into account several variables for the source when those variables are available or 2 if those data are not availa
29. E EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 2 3 2 Strategy Messages The Strategy Messages output provides useful information that is gathered while the strategy is running This output can store ERROR and WARNING types of messages If an ERROR is encountered during the prerun validation process the strategy run will be canceled and the user can peruse this dataset to see what problems the strategy has e g duplicate packet records The columns of the Strategy Messages output are described in Table 2 Table 2 Columns in the Strategy Messages Result Column Description Fips The state and county FIPS code for the source found in the inventory Scc The SCC code for the source found in the inventory Plantld For point sources the plant facility ID for the source found in the inventory Pointld For point sources the point unit ID for the source found in the inventory StackId For point sources the stack release point ID for the source found in the inventory Segment For point sources the segment process ID for the source found in the inventory Poll The pollutant for the source found in the inventory Status The status type The possible values are listed below Warning description Error description Informational description control_program The control program for the strategy run this is populated only when using the PFYI strategy type message The text d
30. LTCLOSURE 0 0 00 1115 60 1115 60 The apply order 0 indicates a Plant Closure packet has been applied 69507212 17773814 37035 10100202 The Plant Closure packet record No 2 from Table 13 was applied by matching on fips CO plantid and effective date JKL Steam Station 8370411 408113 PLTCLOSURE 0 0 00 4380 00 4380 00 The Plant Closure packet record No 2 from Table 13 was applied by matching on fips 69507212 17773814 37035 10100202 plantid and effective date NOX Note how the Final Emission is zero indicating the plant generates zero emissions JKL Steam Station 8370411 408113 PLTCLOSURE 0 0 00 2313 60 2313 60 The Plant Closure packet record No 2 from Table 13 was applied by matching on fips 69507212 17773814 37035 10100202 plantid and effective date PM10 Note how the Emission Reduction column has the same value as in the Inventory Emissions showing full emission reduction MNO Die Casting 13452811 74890413 PROJECTION 1 0 18 0 23 1 07 1 30 The apply order 1 indicates a Projection packet has been applied 69265812 101400314 37081 30405001 The Projection packet record No 2 from Table 14 was applied by matching on scc and CO pollutant Note how the adjustment factor is only being used for Projection packets The projection factor is fraction and not percentage based GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 PROJECTION 1 0 88 213 57 29 12 242 69 The Projection packet record No 7 from Table 14 was applied by matching
31. NAICS code point nonpoint _ control projection 39 Country State County code 8 digit SCC code 4 digit SIC code point nonpoint allowable control projection pollutant 40 Country State County code 4 digit SIC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection 41 Country State code 8 digit SCC code 4 digit SIC code point nonpoint allowable control projection pollutant 42 Country State code 4 digit SIC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection 43 4 digit SIC code SCC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection 44 4 digit SIC code pollutant point nonpoint allowable control projection 45 Country State County code 4 digit SIC code SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection 46 Country State County code 4 digit SIC code point nonpoint allowable control projection 47 Country State code 4 digit SIC code SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection 48 Country State code 4 digit SIC code point nonpoint allowable control projection 49 4 digit SIC code SCC code point nonpoint allowable control projection 50 4 digit SIC code point nonpoint allowable control projection UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 22 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Ranking Matching Hierarchy Inventory Types Control Program Types 51 Country State County code
32. Program Packet Program Control Program Action Program Dataset Types Action Code Type 0 Close plants plants will be removed Plant Plant Closure CSV from strategy controlled inventory Closure 1 Project inventory source emissions Projection Projection Packet or Projection Extended Packet 2 Apply add on or replacement control Control Control Packet or to inventory source emissions Control Extended Packet 3 Cap inventory source emissions Allowable Allowable Packet or Allowable Extended Packet 4 Replace inventory source emissions __ Allowable Allowable Packet or Allowable Extended Packet The control_program column of the Strategy Detailed Result will contain the control program name that created the source control packet pair The cm_abbrev column will contain either the type of Control Program Packet that was applied or for Control Packets it could contain the predicted or specified control measure applied to the source e For the source projection packet pairs the cm_abbrev column will be set to PROJECTION e For the source plant closure packet pairs the cm_abbrev column will be set to PLTCLOSURE e For pairs of sources and control packets or of sources and allowable packets the cm_abbrev column will contain either the measure abbreviation specified via the control packet pri_cm_abbrev column or the probable measure abbreviation if the constraint discussed above was met or it will be set to UNKNOWNMSR if no measu
33. Projection Control or Allowable Type Control Programs added to a strategy packets of the same type are merged into one packet during the matching analysis so that no duplicate source control packet pairings are created Duplicate records will be identified during the run process and the user will be prompted to remove duplicates before the core algorithm performs the projection process The Project Future Year Inventory strategy processes Control Programs in the following order Plant Closure Type Control Programs Projection Type Control Programs Control Type Control Programs Bs TR oporra Allowable Type Control Programs The Control analysis is dependent on the Projection analysis likewise the Allowable analysis is dependent on the Projection and Control analyses The adjusted source emission values need to be carried along from each analysis step to make sure each portion of the analysis applies the correct adjustment factor For example a source could be projected and also controlled in addition to having a cap placed on the source Or a source could have a projection or control requirement or perhaps just a cap or replacement requirement As much as possible the Control Program Packet datasets are designed to be compatible with SMOKE The Projection Control and Allowable Packets are fully compatible with SMOKE The Plant Closure Packet and the new Projection Control and Allowable Packets Extended dataset types however are n
34. ables that are output from a strategy can also be merged with the original inventory to create controlled emissions inventories that can be exported to files that can be input to SMOKE 1 2 Purpose and Intended Audience for this Document This document is a software development document that provides technical descriptions regarding how CoST computes the Project Future Year Inventory PFYT type of control strategy Information is given on the input parameters to strategies on how the computations of UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 1 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document the strategies are performed and on the outputs from the strategies This document is intended for use by readers who are already familiar with emissions modeling and extensive control strategy development It is not intended as a user s guide For additional information on other aspects of the EMF and CoST please see the following independent documents e CoST User s Guide e CoST Control Measures Database Document These documents and additional information about CoST can be found at http www epa gov ttn ecas cost htm A glossary of terms is included as an appendix to this document 2 Concepts General to the PFYI Control Strategy 2 1 Introduction to the PFYI Control Strategy A Project Future Year Inventory control strategy is a set of control programs that applies control factors growth factors caps and r
35. ank or 9 for all Country State County or Country state codes B 8 or 10 digit SCC optional blank zero or 9 if not a SCC specific projection c Projection factor enter number on fractional basis e g enter 1 2 to increase emissions by 20 D Pollutant blank zero or 9 if not a pollutant specific projection E Standard Industrial Category SIC optional blank zero or 9 if not a SIC specific projection F Maximum Achievable Control Technology MACT code optional blank zero or 9 if not a MACT specific projection G Plant Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories H Point Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories I Stack Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories r Segment for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories North American Industry Classification NAICS Code optional blank zero or 9 if not a NAICS specific projection L Characteristic 5 blank for ORL inventory input format optional 3 JA END The format of the Control Program Projection Packet Extended Table 6 is not based on the SMOKE format It is based on the EMF Flexible File Format which is based on the CSV based format This new format uses column names that are aligned with the Flat File
36. ats will defined in detail in Section 3 2 2 2 4 Input Constraints The following settings for the strategy are known as constraints If the constraint values are not satisfied for a particular combination of control measure and source the measure under consideration will not be applied to the source and CoST will look for another measure that satisfies all of the constraints e Minimum Emissions Reduction tons Not used for this strategy type e Minimum Control Efficiency Not used for this strategy type e Maximum Cost per Ton ton Not used for this strategy type e Maximum Annualized Cost yr Not used for this strategy type e Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Replacement Control Not used for this strategy type e Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls This required constraint determines whether a predicted control measure has a similar percent reduction to the percent reduction specified in the Control Program Control Packet The following formula defines the calculation used during the constraint validation ABS control packet percent reduction control measure percent reduction control packet percent reduction x 100 gt Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls where control packet percent reduction see percent_reduction column definition in Table 1 for a detailed definition on how this is calculated control measur
37. based emissions and monthly only emissions Strategy Inputs Name Project Future Year Strategy Sample Type of Analysis Project Future Year Inventory Cost Year 2006 Target Year 2017 Discount Rate 7 Use Cost Equations Yes Inventories Flat File 2010 Point Dataset ptinv_ptnonipm_2008 version 1 Programs Plant Closure Packet Sample Control Packet Sample Projection Packet Sample Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls 10 Table 12 shows the inventory sources to be used in this example It was created based on data from an ORL point EMF dataset The information in the brackets for the Source column helps define the key structure for a source Table 13 contains the data for the sample Plant Closure packet Table 14 contains the data for the sample Projection packet Table 15 contains the data for the sample Control packet Table 16 a b contains detailed data from the Detailed Result output that is created during the projection process Table 16b is just a continuation of Table 16a The Detailed Result contains many table columns and only a subset of the important columns is reported in these tables The comments column from these two tables contains information that will identify key steps as related to that inventory source control program pairing projection matching process UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 41 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Table 12 Inventory Reco
38. ble a simple cost factor in terms of dollars per ton of pollutant reduced is used to calculate the cost of the control measure when applied to a specific source The second approach can also utilize a simple incremental cost factor in terms of dollars per ton of pollutant when there is a preexisting control already on the source as identified in the inventory CEFF field If the inventory CEFF field is populated and the control measure has an incremental cost per ton factor specified this cost factor will always be used instead of the normal cost per ton factor If on the other hand the incremental cost factor is not specified on a control with a preexisting control than the default cost factor will be used instead Currently cost equations are used only for some EGU and non EGU source measures They are not used for area sources During a strategy run if the engineering cost equation was not found to have the appropriate inputs e g missing design capacity this issue can be identified by looking for a negative sign in front of the equation type in the Strategy Detailed Result equation_type column e g Type 2 or Type 8 The sources with this issue will be populated in the Strategy Messages dataset The associated message will help identify which equation inputs are missing See the Control Strategy Tool CoST Development Document and Control Strategy Tool Cost Equations Document for more detailed information on how cost equations are used
39. c Note that the Strategy Sample discussed in Section 3 5 gives more details on exactly how this field is used UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 13 April 8 2013 Comment JRE1 There s a control program packet called control So control is used in the umbrella category of control program packet and it s also a type contained within the umbrella category Confusing terminology See also my related comment in Sec 2 3 3 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description INV_EMISSIONS tons This field is used to store the beginning input emission for the particular Control Program Packet Plant Closure Projection Control or Allowable that is being processed For example when applying a Control Packet to a set of sources some of the sources might already have had Projection Packets applied to them In the case of the source already being projected we need to use this adjusted projected value as the input emission for the next Packet that is applied instead of using the original inventory emission The following sequence applies IF source was projected THEN Use final_emissions field from Projection Packet entries in the Strategy Detailed Result Output as input emission ELSE Use inventory emission as input emission END IF Note that if the starting inventory had average day emissions the average day value is annualized and the resulting value is
40. dict when a measure is the most likely to match the control specified in the Control Packet 9 For Control Program Control Packet analysis only If multiple measures are available for a source then the best measure is chosen according to the following criteria a Closest Locale matching both FIPS state and county is best then FIPS state followed by national b Closest Percent Reduction choose the measure that has the minimum percent reduction difference between the Control Packet specified percent reduction and the measures efficiency record percent reduction c Cheapest annual cost 10 Perform a postrun process that looks for unused control programs packet records that were not used in all inventories and packet records that were not used at all during the analysis This information will be logged as a Warning in the Strategy Messages Output The information stored in this output can be used to help identify and quality assure the packet records that have problems UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 38 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 11 Compute the Strategy Detailed Result to include the source control packet pairs obtained from the algorithms shown in 5 6 7 8 and 9 12 After completing the computation of Strategy Detailed Results for all input inventories prepare the summary outputs described in Section 2 6 along with any controlled inventories upon user request UNC EMAQ
41. duplicates For example all Control packets even extended types will be unioned together and this resulting dataset is evaluated for duplicates The information stored in the Strategy Messages Output can be used to help identify and quality assure the packet records that have Error status Once all Error issues are resolved the Project Strategy run should be able to complete successfully 5 Match the Inventory Sources to Control Program Packets using the Control Packet Matching Hierarchy see Table 3 Merge like Control Program Types i e all Control Program Control Packets to ensure that no duplicate source control packet records are handled during the analysis Ensure Control Program start and end dates lie within the strategy Target Year if so include in analysis Process the Control Programs in the following order a Plant Closure Type Control Program UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 37 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document b Projection Type Control Program uses the results from the Plant Closure Packet analysis to ensure the closed sources are excluded from the analysis c Control Type Control Program uses the results from the Plant Closure Packet and Projection Packet analyses to ensure that the unclosed sources are projected before the sources are controlled d Allowable Type Control Program uses the results from the Plant Closure Control and Projection Packet analyses
42. e measure by assigning the control measure abbreviation to the cm_abbrev column in the Strategy Detailed Result If the pri_cm_abbrev is populated in the Control Packet the Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls constraint is ignored and the pri_cm_abbrev value is used to fill in the cm_abbrev column in the Strategy Detailed Result The Project Future Year Inventory control strategy can assign to each source many Control Program Packet records e g plant closure future year projection or applying an add on control measure As noted earlier this algorithm uses similar inputs to those described in Section 2 of the CoST Development Document summary parameters input inventories inventory filters and a constraint but not measures The algorithm also expects control programs as input The strategy produces the two standard types of strategy outputs described in Section 2 6 Strategy Detailed Result for each input inventory and Strategy Messages for all input inventories The apply_order column of the Strategy Detailed Result defines what type of action the control packet takes on the inventory source pollutant record Table 11 contains a list of valid action codes that will be stored in the apply_order column UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 35 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Table 11 Control Program Action Codes Control 2 Control Control
43. e percent reduction control efficiency x rule penetration 100 x rule effectiveness 100 2 3 Strategy Outputs CoST automatically generates two main outputs after each successful strategy run for the PFYI strategy type e Strategy Detailed Result one for each input inventory discussed in Section 2 3 1 e Strategy Messages only one for all input inventories addressed in Section 2 3 2 Each of these outputs is created as an EMF Dataset Also discussed in this section is the controlled emissions inventory output Section 2 3 3 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 5 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 2 3 1 Strategy Detailed Result The Strategy Detailed Result is the primary output from the control strategy It is a table of emission source control program pairings each of which contains information about the emission adjustment achieved after a control program is applied to a source The contents of this table are described later in this section The columns in the Strategy Detailed Result table are described in Table 1 Although this table format is discussed in detail in the CoST Development Document the PFYI strategy s use of the table is different enough that a full description needs to be given here An example of the PFYI Detailed Result is discussed in detail in Sections 3 Table 1 Columns in the Strategy Detailed Result Column Description SECTOR The sourc
44. e percent reduction of the replacement control For an add on control the CEFF column is populated with the overall combined percent reduction of the add on control plus the preexisting control using the following formula 1 1 existing percent reduction 100 x 1 add on percent reduction 100 x 100 For both types of Control Packet records add on or replacement the REFF and RPEN are defaulted to 100 since the CEFF accounts for any variation in the REFF and RPEN by using the percent reduction instead of solely the CEFF Note that only Control Packets not Plant Closure Projection or Allowable packets will be used to help populate the columns discussed above For Flat File 2010 Inventories For the sources that were controlled CoST fills in the annual ANN_PCT_RED and monthly percent reduction JAN_PCT_RED columns based on the values for the Control Packet that was applied to the sources The CEFF column is populated differently for a replacement control than for an add on control For a replacement control the CEFF column is populated with the percent reduction of the replacement control For an add on control the CEFF column is populated with the overall combined percent reduction of the add on control plus the preexisting control using the following formula 1 1 existing percent reduction 100 x 1 add on percent UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 18 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102
45. e sector specified for the input inventory dataset CM_ABBREV For Plant Closure Packets this column will be set to PLTCLOSURE For Projection Packets this column will be set to PROJECTION For Control Packets this column will be set to the abbreviation of the control measure that was applied to the source if it was explicitly specified in the packet or it could be the predicted measure abbreviation as found in the CMDB If no measure can be found then it will be set to UNKNOWNMSR For Allowable Packets this column will be set to the predicted abbreviation of the control measure that was applied to the source If no measure can be found then it will be set UNKNOWNMSR POLL The pollutant for the source found in the inventory SCC The SCC code for the source found in the inventory FIPS The state and county FIPS code for the source found in the inventory PLANTID For point sources the plant ID facility ID for the source from the inventory POINTID For point sources the point ID unit ID for the source from the inventory STACKID For point sources the stack ID release point ID for the source from the inventory SEGMENT For point sources the segment process ID for the source from the inventory UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 6 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description ANNUAL_COST The total annual
46. eed 6 23 2 Strategy HE ES OR EE EO EE OE EE ie 17 2 3 3 Controlled Emissions Inventory sss esse see esse see ee ee ee ee ee ee Re Re Re ee Re GR ee 18 2 4 Costing Control LTE iieieser eneket kereses 19 3 Project Future Year Inventory Control Strategy s sssssssssssssssssssseses sese sees 20 3 1 Project Future Year Inventory Background uses sesse eee 20 3 2 Introduction to Control Programa sese se esse eee 21 3 3 PEYI Inputssand Outputs TTT 34 Bide PEYT ATOOM eek Ge ee bath DO GE Ge ee ed 36 32 PEYI Strategy Example see soek edug ef se oe See pe de vk Se VO BRON A as cbeves sige Gee Ee AEE E ek Ge ede 41 4 Potential Future Updates sscsscsscscsscecsccecssssssssssscsssssssssssscceseesesssssseesessessesssessesesees 46 SD EO voe RE AE RE seceoccesetesdsdadasenasesseaseness 46 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 ii April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Tables Table 1 Columns in the Strategy Detailed Result sees 6 Table 2 Columns in the Strategy Messages Result se sesse se se se ke ee GR Re ee Ge ke ee ee 17 Table 3 Control Packet Matching Hierarchy sese ses sesse see se se ek ge ke Ge ee SR Ge Se ee ee Re be ee 21 Table 4 Table Format for Plant Closure Packet Dataset TYPE iese sees sees 24 Table 5 Table Format for Projection Packet Dataset TYPE iese ese see se se ee sk ee ee ke ee ee Re Ge ee 25 Table 6 Table Format for Projection Packet Extended Dataset TYPE sesse
47. eplacement to sources as would be needed to project a base year inventory to a future year inventory CoST automates the key steps needed to prepare control strategies The inputs to this type of control strategy consist of s a set of parameters that control how the strategy is run e one or more emissions inventory datasets e filters that determine which sources from those datasets are to be included in the run and e one or more control programs Figure is a diagram of the basic steps for running a control strategy UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 2 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 1 Input Basic Parameters e g e Type of Analysis Outputs e Cost Year e Target Year 2 Select Strategy Algorithm e g e Project Future Year Inventory e Least Cost e Least Cost Curve 4 Select Control Programs e Specify sources to close via Plant Closures Packet e Specify controls to apply via Control Packets e Specify sources to project via Projection Packets e Specify sources to cap via Allowable Packets Specify sources to replace via Allowable Packets Figure 1 Basic Steps for Running a PF YI Control Strategy The main output for each control strategy is a table called the Strategy Detailed Result This consists of pairings of emission sources and control programs each of which contains informa tion about the emission adjustment that would be achieved if the control program
48. er formats Comment Information about this record and how it was produced and entered by the user Table 7 identifies the appropriate mapping between the old ORL inventories and new FF10 inventories packet formats Table 7 Column Mapping between New and Old Control Program Packet Formats New Extended Format Old Format Column Column Description Control Program Control Program P Extended DS Type Extended DS Type REGION_CD FIPS State county code or state code FACILITY_ID PLANTID Plant ID for point sources UNIT_ID POINTID Point ID for point sources REL_POINT_ID STACKID Stack ID for point sources PROCESS_ID SEGMENT Segment for point sources MACT REG_CD Maximum Achievable Control Technology MACT code The format of the Control Program Control Packet Dataset Type Table 8 is based on the SMOKE format as defined in the SMOKE user s manual Several modifications were made to enhance the packet s use in CoST 1 The unused SMOKE column at position D is now used to store the primary control measure abbreviation if one is specified this measure is used on any source that was matched with those control packet entries 2 The unused SMOKE column at position P is used to store the compliance date the control can be applied to sources 3 The unused SMOKE column at position Q is used to store the NAICS code Table 8 Table Format for Control Packet Dataset Type
49. escribing the strategy problem message_type Contains a high level message type category Currently this is populated only when using the PFYI strategy type The possible values are listed below Inventory Level or blank message has to do specifically with a problem with the inventory Packet Level message has to do specifically with a problem with the packet record being applied to the inventory inventory Identifies the inventory with the problem Packet_fips The state and county FIPS region code for the source found in the control program packet Packet_scc The SCC code for the source found in the control program packet Packet plantId For point sources the plant facility ID for the source found in the control program packet Packet pointld For point sources the point unit ID for the source found in the control program packet Packet_stackId For point sources the stack release point ID for the source found in the control program packet Packet_segment For point sources the segment process ID for the source found in the UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 17 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description control program packet Packet_poll The pollutant for the source found in the control program packet Packet_sic The SIC code for the source found in the control program packet
50. he C cap or replacement value will be a pollutant specific value and that pollutant s name needs to be placed in this column Control factor no longer used by SMOKE or CoST enter 9 as placeholder E Allowable emissions cap value tons day required if no replace emissions are given F Allowable emissions replacement value tons day required if no cap emissions are given G Standard Industrial Category SIC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SIC specific cap or replacement H Plant ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories I Point ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories r Stack ID for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories K Segment for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Compliance Date The compliance date on which a cap or replacement entry can be applied to sources prior to this date the cap or replacement will not be applied A blank value is assumed to mean that the cap or replacement is within the compliance date and is available for analysis L The strategy target year is used to calculate the baseline comparison date to use in the compliance date check January 1 of the strategy target year will define this baseline compliance date to use in the comparison chec
51. he type of program the start and end date and one accompanying dataset that will identify the sources that will be affected by the program e g a list of plants that will close The types of control programs are expected to include but not be limited to the following Planned closures at specific plants Planned reductions at specific plants Planned growth at specific plants Planned replacement control technology at existing plants Planned add on control technology at existing plants Caps on emissions at existing plants Replacement of emissions at existing plants SCC based reduction programs Commuter programs Estimated growth for specific sectors In situations where the desired control measures or technologies for the control program are known these can be specified as part of the control program If the control measures are not known CoST can search for a measure with the desired control efficiency and provide that as the best guess for the applied measure If a probable measure is found for a source a cost estimate will also be included as part of the analysis To implement the process of inventory projection a new strategy analysis algorithm is being added to CoST called Project Future Year Inventory The Strategy Detailed Result for this strategy will show the control efficiency and probable control measure including costs growth factor and cap value or replacement value that was applied to a source This strategy wil
52. i UNC INSTITUTE FOR THE ENVIRONMENT Control Strategy Tool CoST Project Future Year Inventory Development Document Work Assignment 1 03 Contract No EP D 12 044 OMB Clearance No 2030 0005 Prepared for Alison Eyth U S Environmental Protection Agency C439 02 Research Triangle Park NC 27711 Prepared by Darin Del Vecchio Institute for the Environment The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 137 E Franklin St CB 6116 Chapel Hill NC 27599 6116 Date due April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Contents iS ER EO EO EO N SSe ii AET EE RE EE AE IE iii N ld RR EE TTT iv GEO HIR ALA OA aA A Y ENE Oo Oe O 1 14 Backsrouiid iS SE ER EE GE DE Sete de eden ee ET Ee ee 1 1 2 Purpose and Intended Audience for this Document sss sss essen 1 2 Concepts General to the PFYI Control Strategy usus ssesse ses sesse see Bee See Be EE ee ee Ge Ge See ee 2 2 1 Introduction to the PFYI Control Strategy sesse sesse se ee se Sk Ge Ge ee GR ek Ge ee ek ee ee 2 2 2 Inputs to the PFYI Control Strategy oo ese ee ee ee Ge ek ee ee ee ee ee Ge ee ke ee Ke ee ee 4 2 2 1 Summary Information sesse esse ee ee ee Re GR GR AA Ge Ge ee ee ee an RR ee 4 2 2 2 bea 4 2 2 3 COMO Pro STAM TT 4 22 4 Jnput Constraints stench SE RE Ve ED Ee hana as eee oa anes 5 ENE AAS ID oi RE EE ER EE EE ET ON ES EE 5 2 3 1 Strategy Detailed Result EER EE GES Ee Ge Ee Ee Ee ese Gn Ge Ee ee bee
53. ied the annual percent reduction value will be used as a default The monthly specific percent reduction fields are not used on the older ORL inventory formats only the annual percent reduction field will be used on these older formats Comment Information about this record and how it was produced and entered by the user UNC EMAO 1 03 008 vl 32 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document The format of the Control Program Allowable Packet Table 10 is based on the SMOKE format as defined in the SMOKE user s manual Two modifications were made to enhance this packet s use in CoST 1 The unused SMOKE column at position L is now used to store the compliance date that the cap or replacement emission value can be applied to a source 2 The unused SMOKE column at position M is used to store the NAICS code Table 10 Table Format for Control Program Allowable Packet Line Position Description 1 A VALLOW ABLE 2 A Header entry Header is indicated by use of as the first character on the line 34 de Country state county code or country state code with blank for county or zero or blank or 9 for all country state county or country state codes B 8 or 10 digit SCC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SCC specific cap or replacement Pollutant blank zero or 9 if not a pollutant specific control in most cases t
54. ies for which the control strategy will be run The inventories must already have been loaded into the EMF and be one of the following EMF dataset types Flat File 2010 Point Flat File 2010 Nonpoint ORL point ORL nonpoint ORL nonroad or ORL onroad Multiple inventories can be processed for a strategy Note that multiple versions of the inventories may be available and the appropriate version of each inventory must be selected prior to running a control strategy 2 2 3 Control Programs The PFYI strategy type supports four different types of control programs e Programs to Include A list of specific control programs to use for the run o Plant Closure This control program targets sources to close o Control This control program specifies source control factors o Projection This control program specifies source projection adjustments o Allowable This control program specifies source cap or replacement emissions UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 4 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document As much as possible the Control Program datasets are designed to be compatible with SMOKE The Projection Control and Allowable datasets are fully compatible with SMOKE The Plant Closure Packet and the new Projection Control and Allowable Extended dataset types however are not compatible with SMOKE these dataset types are CSV based files that must contain certain columns The format of these dataset form
55. ission and proj_factor values Adjust Factor jan_valuexjan_proj_factor dec_valuexdec_proj_factor jan_value feb_value dec_value This field is null for Plant Closure and Control Packets INV_CTRL_EFF The control efficiency for the existing measure on the source found in the inventory INV_RULE_PEN The rule penetration for the existing measure on the source found in the inventory INV_RULE_EFF The rule effectiveness for the existing measure on the source found in the inventory FINAL_EMISSIONS tons The final emissions amount that results from the source s being adjusted by the various Control Program Packets This is set by subtracting the emis_reduction field by the inv_emissions field Note that the Strategy Sample discussed in Section 3 5 gives more details on exactly how this field is used UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 12 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description EMIS_REDUCTION tons This field is used to store the amount by which the emission was reduced for the particular Control Program Packet Plant Closure example when applying a Control Packet to a set of sources some of the sources might already have had Projection Packets applied to them In the case of the source already being projected we need to use this adjusted projected value as the input emission for the nex
56. k i e target year 2020 gt baseline compliance date is 1 1 2020 In order for the compliance date to be met the following must be true Packet compliance date gt 1 1 strategy target year UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 33 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Line Position Description For example For a strategy with a target year of 2020 the baseline compliance date would be 1 1 2020 baseline compliance date 1 1 strategy target year 1 1 2020 A packet compliance date of 5 1 2020 would pass the compliance check since 5 1 2020 gt 1 1 2020 is true A packet compliance date of 1 1 2018 would NOT pass the compliance check since 1 1 2018 gt 1 1 2020 is false A blank compliance date assumes the entry is in compliance and is not subject to the conditional check listed above North American Industry Classification NAICS Code optional blank zero or 9 if not a NAICS specific projection 4 A END M 3 3 PFYI Inputs and Outputs The PFYI strategy type assigns projection and control adjustment factors applies add on or replacement control measures and applies a cap or replacement to emissions sources in a specified geographic region If multiple inventories are specified as inputs to a Project Future Year Inventory strategy each inventory is processed separately and one Strategy Detailed Result is generated per inventory Control P
57. k null STRATEGY NAME This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null CONTROL TECHNOLOGY This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null SOURCE GROUP This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null COUNTY NAME This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null STATE NAME This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null SCC LI This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null SCC_L2 This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null SCC_L3 This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null SCC_L4 This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 15 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description JAN FINAL EMISSIONS The monthly January final emission that results from the sources being adjusted by the various Control Program Packets This is set by subtracting the monthly January emission reduction by the monthly January input emission Note that the Strategy Sample discussed in Section 3 5gives more details on exactly how this field is used This monthly related field is populated only when projecting Flat File 2010 inventories FEB_FINAL_EMISSIONS Same as defined for the jan_final_emissions field but for February
58. k null OR compliance date 07 01 2013 gt compliance cutoff month day strategy target year true 07 01 2013 gt 10 01 2020 gt This is false so these sources would not be controlled UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 29 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Line Position Description For a control record with a blank compliance date this will result in all matching sources being controlled Is compliance date blank null OR compliance date gt 10 01 2020 true The compliance date is blank gt This is true so these matching sources would be controlled For a control record with a compliance date of 11 15 2020 this will result in all matching sources being controlled Is compliance date blank null OR compliance date 11 15 2020 gt 10 01 2020 true 11 15 2020 gt 10 01 2020 gt This is true so these matching sources would be controlled Q North American Industry Classification NAICS Code optional blank zero or 9 if not a NAICS specific control 4 A VEND The format of the Control Program Control Packet Extended Table 9 is not based on the SMOKE format It is based on the EMF Flexible File Format which is based on the CS V based format This new format uses column names that are aligned with the Flat File 2010 dataset types in the EMF system The format also contains additional columns that will be used in the future to help furthe
59. l also be able to generate a complete inventory for use as UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 20 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document input to SMOKE It is important to note that there is another important data need to collect planned control program data e g from SIPs from states so that future EPA control strategy modeling can incorporate these programs and thereby produce more realistic results than if the planned state specific programs are ignored 3 2 Introduction to Control Programs A control program is used as an input to a Project Future Year Inventory control strategy A control program contains a control packet type of dataset that will identify the sources that will be affected by the program a start date and end date and a list of probable control measure or control technologies to include during the analysis There are four major types of control programs e Plant Closure can identify specific plants to close can vary the level of closure by targeting specific stacks or by closing whole plants i e all stacks at the plant will be closed e Control can apply replacement or add on controls to inventory emission sources Projection can apply projections to inventory emission sources Allowable can apply a replacement cap on inventory emission sources or replace inventory emission sources The Control Program Packet Dataset is used in conjunction with an emission inventory to
60. m COS Eg Ee EE Control Strategy Tool L do ste Capital Recovery Factor EN VEREER SG Se Comma separated values DBE ies sesse ses Re D base Format es A RE Elemental Carbon AE Emissions Modeling Framework RA SS sues ee oy Environmental Protection Agency ESRD seks egg ee sie Environmental Systems Research Institute BEDRAE SE Flue Gas Desulfurizer FIPS sess es ees Vse sei Federal Information Processing Standards GDP EE Ee Gross Domestic Product ENE annaa Geographic information system HEID SE reses Health and Environmental Impacts Division le ER N Institute for the Environment UNC ENB E Low NOx Burner NAICS prenerion North American Industry Classification System NEL SS Ee EE EE n National Emissions Inventory NSER sis EE ESE Non Selective Catalytic Reduction LE AE EEN Organic Carbon OSMER Ee Operating and Maintenance ORE deiin One record per line io EE Percent Reduction RE Er ee Rule Effectiveness RP EER GE Rule Penetration s SERE EN Source Classification Code EE BE Nr Standard Industrial Classification SNOR eiers aran Selective Non Catalytic Reduction OE Structured Ouery Language SMOKE esse Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions modeling system PY EE er SE ESE DEE DE Tons per year UNG EER ERENS University of North Carolina UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 v April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 1 Introduction 1 1 Background In the air quality modeling arena emissions modeling is the proce
61. mat Monthly Projection Factor No region_cd facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process id Scc poll reg code sic naics Annual a Tn gt 5 e gt D Oo z g Projection i gt 9 gt E E m O Q m Factor D D lt 9 a lt L 1 37001 1 10200906 PM10 0 90 2 30405001 CO 0 17 0 171 0 18 0 20 0 22 0 18 0 17 3 30500311 PM10 0 61 4 10100202 PM10 0 88 0 88 088 088 0 88 0 881 088 088 088 088 0 881 0 88 5 37001 1 10200906 PM2_5 0 90 6 30500311 PM2_5 0 61 7 10100202 PM2_5 0 88 Table 15 Control Packet Extended Format Monthly Percent Reduction No region_cd facility_id unit_id rel_point_id process_id scc poll reg code sic naics Compliance Application replacement Primary Control Annual elnlezlrlezlelelelwlolzio Date Control Measure Percent 2 G gt US EIE mojo m Abbreviation Reduction 2 eS 2 HE 1 37001 1 10200906 PM10 Y R 90 2 30405001 CO Y R 17 17 18 20 22 18 17 3 30500311 PM10 Y R 61 4 10100202 PM10 Y A 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 5 37001 if 10200906 PM2_5 Y R 90 6 30500311 PM2_5 Y R 61 7 10100202 PM2_5 Y A 88 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 45 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Table 16 Final Emissions Percent Reduction Source Source Id Facility Id Unit Apply Order Comment
62. mula is used Percent reduction Control Efficiency x Rule Penetration 100 x Rule Effectiveness 100 99 x 100 100 x 100 100 99 For the new Control Extended Packet format the field is set to the ANN_PCTRED field for annual based emission sources only these sources will have no monthly based emissions specified in the inventory if the source is based on monthly emissions these source will have monthly based emissions specified in the inventory then this field will be calculated based on the following monthly emission and pctred factors Percent Reduction jan_valuexjan_pctred feb_valuexfeb_pctred eee os dec_valuexdec_pctred L 100 100 Ed 100 jan value feb value dec value x100 This field is null for Plant Closure and Projection Packets UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 11 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description ADJ_FACTOR The adjustment factor stores the Projection Packet factor that is applied to the source This number is stored in a fractional state rather than as a percentage For the old Projection Packet format the ann_proj_factor field is used For the new Projection Extended Packet format the field is set to the ANN_PROJ_FACTOR field for annual emission sources only if the source happens to have monthly emissions specified then this field will be calculated based on the following monthly em
63. nputs to the PFYI Control Strategy All types of control strategies have fields that can be specified by the user prior to running the strategy This section describes these how the fields are used differently in a PFYI strategy than in other strategy types 2 2 1 Summary Information See the Control Strategy Tool CoST Development Document Section 2 2 for detailed information on the Summary Information fields The following input fields are used in a different manner than in other CoST strategy types e Type of Analysis The type of algorithm used to match the control program packet records with sources Must be specified as the Project Future Year Inventory strategy type e Target Year The target year represents the future year to which you are projecting the inventory The target year is used when building the various cutoff dates control compliance and plant closure effective dates when evaluating whether or not certain control programs are applied to an inventory e Target Pollutant The target pollutant is not required for this strategy type and so is left blank 2 2 2 Inventories See the Control Strategy Tool CoST Development Document Section 2 2 2 for detailed information on how inventories are handled by CoST The inventories to process for this strategy type includes not just the one record per line ORL types but also the newer Flat File 2010 dataset format e Inventories to Process The emissions inventor
64. nt control projection 20 MACT code pollutant point nonpoint _ control projection 21 Country State County code 8 digit SCC code MACT code point nonpoint control projection 22 Country State County code MACT code point nonpoint control projection 23 Country State code 8 digit SCC code MACT code point nonpoint control projection 24 Country State code MACT code point nonpoint control projection 25 MACT code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection 26 MACT code point nonpoint control projection 27 Country State County code NAICS code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection pollutant 28 Country State County code NAICS code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 29 Country State code NAICS code 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 30 Country State code NAICS code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 31 NAICS code 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 32 NAICS code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 33 Country State County code NAICS code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection 34 Country State County code NAICS code point nonpoint control projection 35 Country State code NAICS code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection 36 Country State code NAICS code point nonpoint control projection 37 NAICS code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection 38
65. nt Rate x 1 Discount Rate AEguipment Life Discount Rate 1 Equipment Life 1 CRF 0 07 x 1 0 07 20 0 07 1 20 1 0 0944 Default Approach Annualized_Capital_Cost 1 652 03 x 0 0944 156 Using Type 8 Cost Equation Annualized_Capital_Cost 117 388 x 0 0944 11 081 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 9 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description TOTAL CAPITAL COST The total cost to install a measure on a source Default Approach used when there is no cost eguation or cost equation inputs are not available TCC Emission Reduction tons x Reference Yr Cost Per Ton tons in 2006 Dollars x Capital Annualized Ratio x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP TCC 11 88 tons x 147 tons in 2000 Dollars x 1 1 x 9817 11415 3 1 652 03 Using a Type 8 Cost Equation If Stack Flow Rate gt 5 0 cfm Then TCC Capital Control Cost Factor x Stack Flow Rate cfm x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Else TCC Default Capital Cost Per Ton Factor x Emission Reduction tons x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP Example Stack Flow Rate 10 500 cfm so use first equation 13 0 x 175 cfs x 60 s 1 min x 9817 11415 3 117 388 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars
66. on scc and 1654113 1569412 17761914 37021 pollutant 10100202 PM2_5 Here are the projection calculations for an annual based source Final Emission Inventory Emission x Projection Factor 242 69 x 0 88 213 57 Emission Reduction Inventory Emission Final Emission 242 69 213 57 29 12 GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 PROJECTION 1 0 88 355 05 48 42 403 47 The Projection packet record No 4 from Table 14 was applied by matching on scc and 1654113 1569412 17761914 37021 pollutant 10100202 PM10 Here are the projection calculations for a monthly based source Final Emission Jan Inv Emis x Jan Projection Factor Feb Inv Emis x Feb Projection Factor Dec Inv Emis x Dec Projection Factor 34 3 x 0 88 31 0 x 0 88 34 3 x 0 88 355 05 Emission Reduction Inventory Emission Final Emission Jan Inv Emis Feb Inv Emis Dec Inv Emis Final Emission 34 3 31 0 34 3 355 05 48 42 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 PROJECTION 1 0 61 1 73 1 11 2 84 The Projection packet record No 6 from Table 14 was applied by matching on scc and 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 pollutant PM2_5 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 PROJECTION 1 0 61 1 73 1 11 2 84 The Projection packet record No 3 from Table 14 was applied by matching on scc and 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 pollutant PM10 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 UNKNOWNMSR 2 61 0 61 0 IR 0 68 1 06 1 73 The apply order 2 indicates a Con
67. ot compatible with SMOKE these dataset types are CS V based UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 23 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document files that must contain certain columns Tables 29 through 36 show the formats and relevant mappings of the seven types of control program packets CoST makes use of some of the SMOKE unused optional columns to further extend the matching hierarchy as compared to the SMOKE matching hierarchy in cntlmat These new columns are explained in the Tables 30 33 and 35 below The format of the Control Program Plant Closure Packet Table 4 is based on the CSV format The first row of this dataset file must contain the column header definition as defined in Line 1 of Table 4 All the columns specified here must be included in the dataset import file Table 4 Table Format for Plant Closure Packet Dataset Type Line Position Description AH Column header definition must contain the following columns fips plantid pointid stackid segment plant effective_date reference 2 A Country State County code required B Plant Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories c Point Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories D Stack Id for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories E Segment fo
68. plier x design_capacity x 0 85 x annual_avg_hours_per_year x Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP 0 013 x 699 x 0 85 x 8736 x 9817 11415 3 58 029 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 8 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description ANNUAL_FIXED_ OPER MAINT COST The annual fixed cost to operate and maintain the measure once it has been installed on the source Default Approach used when there is no cost equation or inputs to cost equation are not available blank not calculated no default approach available Using Type 10 Cost Equation design capacity x 1000 x fixed_operation_maintenance_cost_multiplier x 250 design capacity fixed operation maintenance cost exponent X Cost Yr Chained GDP Reference Yr Chained GDP 699 x 1000 x 0 31 x 250 699 0 3 x 9817 114153 136 889 Note that costs are adjusted to the strategy defined Cost Year dollars ANNUALIZED _ CAPITAL_COST The annualized cost of installing the measure on the source assuming a particular discount rate and equipment life Annualized_Capital_Cost Total Capital Cost x Capital Recovery Factor CRF Note if the CRF is not available for the measure it is not possible to compute the ACC or the breakdown of costs between capital and O amp M costs CRF Discou
69. point ID stack ID point allowable control projection segment 8 digit SCC code plant closure 9 Country State County code plant ID point ID stack ID point allowable control projection segment plant closure 10 Country State County code plant ID point ID stack ID point allowable control projection plant closure 11 Country State County code plant ID point id point allowable control projection plant closure 12 Country State County code plant ID 8 digit SCC code point allowable control projection plant closure UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 21 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Ranking Matching Hierarchy Inventory Types Control Program Types 13 Country State County code plant ID MACT code point control projection 14 Country State County code plant ID point allowable control projection plant closure 15 Country State County code MACT code 8 digit SCC code point nonpoint control projection pollutant 16 Country State County code MACT code pollutant point nonpoint _ control projection 17 Country State code MACT code 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 18 Country State code MACT code pollutant point nonpoint control projection 19 MACT code 8 digit SCC code pollutant point nonpoi
70. r enhance the inventory source matching capabilities COUNTRY_CD TRIBAL_CODE CENSUS_TRACT_CD and SHAPE_ID and EMIS_TYPE Table 9 Table Format for Control Packet Extended Dataset Type Column Description Country_cd Country code optional currently not used in matching process State county code or state code with blank for county or zero or blank or Region_cd 9 for all state county or state codes Facility ID aka Plant ID in ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Unit ID aka Point ID for ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Release Point ID aka Stack ID in ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Process ID aka Segment on ORL format for point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories Tribal_code Tribal code optional currently not used in matching process Facility_id Unit_id Rel_point_id Process_id Census_tract_id Census tract ID optional currently not used in matching process Shape_id Shape ID optional currently not used in matching process UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 30 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Column Description Emis_
71. r point sources optional blank zero or 9 if not specified leave blank for nonpoint inventories F Plant name or description for point sources optional leave blank for nonpoint inventories UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 24 April 8 2013 EMAO LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Line Position Description Effective Date the effective date for the plant closure to take place When the closure effective cutoff is after this effective date the plant will not be closed A blank value is assumed to mean that the sources matched from this record will be closed regardless The strategy target year is the year used in the closure effective cutoff date check An EMF system level property stored in the emf properties table as COST_PROJECT_FUTURE_YEAR_EFFECTIVE_DATE_CUTOFF_MONTHDAY is used to store the month and day e g 10 01 for the first day of October to be used in the closure effective cutoff date check For example For a strategy with a target year of 2020 and effective cutoff month day EMF property of 10 01 the closure effective cutoff date would be 10 01 2020 Fora closure record with an effective date of 07 01 2013 this will result in all matching sources being closed Is effective date blank null OR effective date 07 01 2013 lt effective cutoff month day strategy target year true 07 01 2013 lt 10 01 2020 gt This is true so these matching sources would be closed
72. rds Monthly Emissions tons gt Annual S m 5 5 5 S Z L m 8 S S Source Source Id Facility Id Unit Region Emission 2 2 a E No Id Release Point Id Process Id Code SCC Pollutant tons ABC Lumber Co 127787611 1 2867713 69288012 18363114 37001 10200906 CO 12 6 t1 1 0 14 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 11 1 0 11 1 0 11 2 ABC Lumber Co 1 37001 10200906 NOX 15 5 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 3 ABC Lumber Co 1 37001 10200906 PM10 11 2 1 0 0 9 1 0 0 9 1 0 0 9 1 0 1 0 0 9 1 0 0 9 1 0 4 ABC Lumber Co 1 37001 10200906 PM2_5 9 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 5 ABC Lumber Co 1 37001 10200906 SO2 1 8 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 6 ABC Lumber Co 1 37001 10200906 VOC 1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 DEF Brick Co 297811311 73960213 7 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 co 23 8 2 0 1 8 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 8 DEF Brick Co 2 37007 30500311 NOX 5 2 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 9 DEF Brick Co 2 37007 30500311 PM10 28 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 10 DEF Brick Co 2 37007 30500311 PM2_5 2 8 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 11 DEF Brick Co 2 37007 30500311 S02 12 4 1 1 0 9 11 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 11 1 0 11 12 DEF Brick Co 2 37007 30500311 VOC 2
73. re was found in the CMDB or if the constraint was not met 3 4 PFYI Algorithm This section provides an overview of the algorithm that matches sources with control measures for a Project Future Year Inventory control strategy Figure 2 diagrams the process that is used when running this type of strategy The steps in the source measure matching algorithm for the Project Future Year Inventory strategy are given below 1 Process read the emissions inventory 2 Use inventory filtering discussed in Section 2 3 to filter the emissions inventory then compute uncontrolled emissions for later use a Filter by SQL WHERE Clause based on contents of the Inventory Filter field if any b Filter by the counties specified in the selected County Dataset if any c Compute uncontrolled emissions for controlled sources using one of these formulas ORL Inventories UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 36 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document unc_emis ann emis 1 CE 100 x RE 100 x RP 100 unc_emis avg day emis x days in month 1 CE 100 x RE 100 x RP 100 Flat File 2010 Inventories unc_emis ann value 1 ann pct red 100 unc_emis jan value 1 jan_pctred 100 feb_value 1 feb_pctred 100 nov value 1 nov_pctred 100 dec_value 1 dec_pctred 100 3 Preprocess control program packets by cleaning all packet types i e change 9 0 zero and
74. rograms are assigned to the strategy to drive the Project Future Year Inventory strategy as described in Section 8 2 Note that almost all of the strategy parameters for the Project Future Year Inventory strategy have the same meaning and act in the same way as they do for the Maximum Emissions Reduction strategy see Sections 2 2 and 2 3 of the CoST Development Document such as cost year inventory filter and county dataset The user does not need to specify a target pollutant for this strategy type So if a filter for the inventory is specified only sources that meet the filter will be considered for control Control Program Packet datasets are applied during the Project Future Year Inventory strategy by the Control Programs that are assigned to the strategy The Control Program contains a packet dataset the will perform various actions on the sources in the emission inventory The packet dataset contains several key fields that can be used for matching to key source identifiers in the emission inventory Various combinations can be used when matching between the packet entry and the source The control packet source matching criteria are defined in Table 3 For example a control packet could be very specific identifying a specific plant stack i e fips plantid pointid stackid and segment are filled in or the packet could be as broad as specifying all sources that are classified under a certain MACT code The more specific the match the
75. ront of the equation type this indicates that the equation type was missing inputs and the strategy instead used the default approach to estimate costs Note that this field will be used only when Control Packets are applied not when any of the other packet types are applied ORIGINAL _ This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null DATASET_ID SECTOR This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null CONTROL_PROGRAM The control program that was applied to produce this record XLOC The longitude for the source found in the inventory for point sources for nonpoint inventories the county centroid is used This is useful for mapping purposes YLOC The latitude for the source found in the inventory for point sources for nonpoint inventories the county centroid is used This is useful for mapping purposes PLANT The plant name from the inventory or county name for nonpoint sources REPLACEMENT_ADDON Indicates whether the Control Packet was applying a replacement or an add on control packet A Add On Control R Replacement Control Note that this field will be used only when Control Packets are applied not when any of the other packet types are applied EXISTING MEASURE ABBREVIATION This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blank null EXISTING PRIMARY DEVICE TYPE CODE This field is not used for the strategy type and is left blan
76. s Id Release Point Id Process ld or Action ce n gt ty gt 7 Q z o L E E E NID AE AE E SH E R lt Region Cd Scc Pollutant Code 2 5 3 3 IE Z E 5 S JG 2 S Bl els slZISl Fls S 8j2 a JKL Steam Station 8370411 0 The apply order 0 indicates a Plant Closure 408113 69507212 17773814 packet has been applied 37035 10100202 CO JKL Steam Station 8370411 0 Note how the monthly specific columns are not 408113 69507212 17773814 populated Plant Closure packet has been 37035 10100202 NOX applied JKL Steam Station 8370411 0 408113 69507212 17773814 37035 10100202 PM10 MNO Die Casting 13452811 1 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 0 02 The apply order 1 indicates a Projection packet 74890413 69265812 101400314 has been applied 37081 30405001 CO GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 1 18 14 16 38 18 14 17 55 18 14 17 55 18 14 18 14 17 55 18 14 17 55 18 14 If monthly based emissions are specified then the 1654113 1569412 17761914 monthly based final emissions column is 37021 10100202 PM2_5 populated GHI Steam Electric Plant 8392811 1 30 16 27 24 30 16 29 18 30 16 29 18 30 16 30 16 29 18 30 16 29 18 30 16 Here is a projection calculation for monthly based 1654113 1569412 17761914 source 37021 10100202 PM10 Jan Final Emission Jan Inv Emis x Jan Projection Factor 34 3 x 0 88 30 16 DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 1
77. ses ese see se ee ek be ee 26 Table 7 Column Mapping between New and Old Control Program Packet Formats sss esse 28 Table 8 Table Format for Control Packet Dataset TYPE esse sesse see se se se ee ek ek Se Re ke 28 Table 9 Table Format for Control Packet Extended Dataset Type ou sesse se se se se se se ee Ge ee 30 Table 10 Table Format for Control Program Allowable Packer sese 33 Table 11 Control Program Action Codes sss esse sees 36 Table 12 Inventory Records ana E EE EE reas eae aac ENE Ee GES cates teh ne teen ee ee EE ee eee 42 Tabl e 13 Plant Closure Packets sss OE ER EE RE OE ON 43 Table 14 Projection Packet Extended Forma sss sese ese se se ee ee ee ee ee ee GR Re Re AR Ge 43 Table 15 Control Packet Extended Format sss sees 43 Table 16a Detailed Result Records first part of table sesse se ee ee ee GR Re Re Re Re Re 44 Table 16b Detailed Result Records continuation of Table lpas see see RR RR RR 45 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 iii April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Figures Figure 1 Basic Steps for Running a PFYI Control Strategy sese ee eee eee 3 Figure 2 The Process for Running Project Future Year Inventory Control Strategy 40 UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 iv April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document Acronyms 6 Z Control Efficiency CMAQ norria Community Multiscale Air Quality model CMAS ESE Community Modeling and Analysis Syste
78. ss by which emissions inventories and other related information are converted to hourly gridded chemically speciated emissions estimates that are suitable for input to an air quality model such as the Community Multiscale Air Quality CMAQ model The Emissions Modeling Framework EMF is a software system currently being used by EPA to solve many of the long standing complexities of emissions modeling Houyoux 2008 The EMF supports the management and quality assurance of emissions inventories and emissions modeling related data and also the running of the Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions modeling system SMOKE which is used by EPA to prepare emissions inputs for performing air quality modeling with CMAQ It provides integrated quality control processes to foster high quality of emissions results data handling organization of data tracking of emissions modeling efforts and real time accessibility of information The EMF has been developed under a multiyear contract between the U S EPA and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill s Institute for the Environment UNC IE One of the modules within the EMF system is the Control Strategy Tool CoST module A control strategy is a set of control programs applied to emissions inventory sources in a specified geographic region in addition to any controls that are already in place to accomplish a projection of inventories to a future year Control programs are sets of control measures
79. t Packet that is applied instead of using the original inventory emission In general the formula for determining this value is as follows inv_emissions final_emissions For Plant Closure Packets this value would be the original inventory emission since the plant is being closed and so will not generate any more emissions For Projection Packets the value will be the amount by which the emission was adjusted For example if the projection factor was 1 5 and the input emission was 10 tons this value would calculated as follows Inventory Emission Inventory Emission x Projection Factor 10 10 x 1 5 5 0 tons For Control Packets the value would be the amount by which the source was reduced by For example if the control efficiency percent reduction is 75 and the input emission was 10 tons this value would calculated as follows Input Inventory Emission Input Inventory Emission x 1 Control Percent Reduction 100 10 10 x 1 75 100 7 5 tons Note that the example above is based on annualized emission inventory when emissions are monthly based each month will need to be considered separately then summed to give a annualized total For example when the inventory is monthly based the Projection calculations would be calculated as follows Jan Inv Emis Jan Inv Emis x Jan Proj Fac Feb Inv Emis Feb Inv Emis x Feb Proj Fac Dec Inv Emis Dec Inv Emis x Dec Proj Fa
80. to ensure that the unclosed sources are projected and or controlled before the sources have a cap or replacement applied 6 For Control Program Control Packet analysis only Filter the Control Measures to consider during the Control Program Control Packet analysis a By the selected Specific Control Measures as specified in the Control Program AND OR b By the selected Specific Control Technologies as specified in the Control Program 7 For Control Program Control Packet analysis only Predict Probable Measure for Inventory Sources a Of the remaining measures find the ones that apply to the SCC of the source as specified by the SCCs listed as applicable to each measure b Match on FIPS data could be available at the National State or County level Match on Inventory Pollutant d Match on Measure Effective Date the target year must be equal to or later than the effective date for the measure to be included e Match on measure s Minimum and Maximum Emissions inventory source must have greater than or equal to the minimum emissions and less than the maximum emissions O 8 For Control Program Control Packet analysis only Evaluate Minimum Percent Reduction Difference for Predicting Controls Constraint while the source is being matched with Control Program Control Packet This Constraint calculation is dependent on both the inventory source and the Control Packet The Minimum Percent Reduction Difference constraint is used to help pre
81. trol packet has been applied 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 The Control packet record No 3 from Table 15 was applied by matching on scc and PM10 pollutant Note how the control efficiency and percent reduction are being used but the adjustment factor is not being used Also these fields are percentage and not fraction based The Replacement Addon field is set to R indicating a replacement control will be applied and not an Addon control Since this source was projected in the previous table row the emission to be controlled will be based on the projected emissions Note how the emissions 1 73 tons comes from the Final Emissions field during the projection process DEF Brick Co 7811311 73960213 UNKNOWNMSR 2 61 0 61 0 R 0 68 1 06 1 73 The Control packet record No 6 from Table 15 was applied by matching on scc and 68790812 101177114 37007 30500311 pollutant PM2_5 Here are Replacement control calculations for an annual based source Emission Reduction Uncontrolled Inv Emission Uncontrolled Inv Emission x 1 Percent Reduction 100 1 73 1 73 x 1 61 100 1 06 where the Uncontrolled Inv Emission is calculating by backing out existing controls as specified in the inventory control efficiency field Final Emission Inventory Emission Emis Red 1 73 1 06 0 68 UNC EMAQ 1I 03 008 v1 44 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document
82. type Emission type optional currently not used in matching process Sit 8 or 10 digit SCC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SCC specific control Poll Pollutant blank zero or 9 if not a pollutant specific control Reg code Regulatory code aka Maximum Achievable Control Technology code optional blank zero or 9 if not a regulatory code specific control Sic Standard Industrial Category SIC optional blank zero or 9 if not an SIC specific control Naics North American Industry Classification NAICS code optional blank zero or 9 if not a NAICS specific control Compliance_Date Compliance Date The compliance date on which a control can be applied to sources prior to this date the control will not be applied A blank value is assumed to mean that the control is within the compliance date and the sources matched from this record will be controlled regardless The strategy target year is the year used in the control compliance cutoff date check An EMF system level property stored in the emf properties table as COST_PROJECT_FUTURE_YEAR_COMPLIANCE_DATE_CUTOFF_MONTHDAY is used to store the month and day e g 10 01 for the first day of October to be used in the control compliance cutoff date check For example For a strategy with a target year of 2020 and compliance cutoff month day EMF property of 10 01 the control compliance cutoff date would be 10 01 2020 For a control record with a compliance date
83. ual Cost Postrun Validation Find unused control programs Find packet records that were not used Strategy Messages Result Strategy Detailed Result List of duplicate packet records Emission source control packet pairings and related List of unused packets computed values e g emissions reduction projected List of packet records that were not used emissions capped emissions cost Process next inventory Create Controlled Inventory by merging with starting inventory Controlled Emissions Inventory Figure 2 The Process for Running Project Future Year Inventory Control Strategy UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 40 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 Control Strategy Tool CoST Project Future Year Inventory Development Document 3 5 PFYI Strategy Example In Section 2 1 there was a brief description of how the PFYI strategy algorithm works The current section provides much more detail using a specific example including what the inputs to the strategy are what the source measure pairings are and what the outputs look like Note that in this and the following sections describing the strategy algorithms only the inputs that actually affect the results are included ones that are just informational may be left out e g Project Region This example incorporates as many use case scenarios as possible that a user might encounter when using this process annual only emissions annual and monthly
84. were to be applied to the source along with the cost of application The Strategy Detailed Result table can be used with the original input inventory to produce in an automated manner a controlled emissions inventory that reflects implementation of the strategy this inventory includes information about the control programs that have been applied to the controlled sources The controlled inventory can then be directly input to the SMOKE modeling system to prepare air quality model ready emissions data In addition comments are placed at the top of the inventory file to indicate the strategy that produced it and the settings of the high level parameters that were used to run the strategy More detailed information on the inputs to and outputs from control strategies is located in the Control Strategy Tool CoST Development Document in Sections 2 2 inputs through 2 6 outputs Section 2 in the Control Strategy Tool CoST Development Document also addresses inventories and inventory filtering Section 2 3 and summaries of strategy inputs and outputs Section 2 7 Rather than repeating a lot of that information in this document Sections 2 2 and 2 3 below instead provide details on how the PFYI strategy differs from other types of control strategies in terms of inputs and outputs Section 2 4 addresses the costing of control measures UNC EMAQ 1 03 008 v1 3 April 8 2013 EMAQ LOE EPA Contract EP D 07 102 CoST PFYI Development Document 2 2 I

(CoST) Project Future Year Inventory - MARAMA

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