マケドニア旧ユーゴスラビア共和国 森林火災危機管理能力向上
Contents
1. FVWI 11 37 MKFFIS FWI 1km MKFFIS 21 152. MKFFIS 2 CMC MKFFIS iens MKFETS
3. AR CMC DPR PEMF
4. 5ha 8ha i 5 92 53 pra SUM CHS Soit BRT OER TT RI SE GIS
5. 1 7 1 3 e 14 GIS e 1 6 1 6 Given the result of the feasibility study as some approaches the both sides wil discuss the possibility of development of the early detection system s within the Project period 1 7 1 8 1 PDM PDM Ju 2 2
6. LOOSS 14 Tuu bAROwKICAMT O bno A io OA 3 TOMOS 4 3 Or LGE EE SES ence GIS AE ADMIN E EO eiu be Ae VIP ROSA SAD m gt 1 1 GIS
7. 2 2 2 2 1 e 2 2 2 2 Vee E 1 XE Official Development Assistance ODA J 2
8. x 2 x 3 7 1998 2012 FEDA RO MERLO HER 1998 2012 IT el rr MER 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 a0 9 2 40 000 20 000 1 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 an oa 20 30 x 4 5 HALO REL ERTA OL 1998 2012 YTEZTO RAK RO MRE HBO HEB 1998 2012 50000 im x 600 000 LETTRES 40 000 E 400 000 e 200 000 MN 0 Oom B E M e gp ooeoagmn gu ok DD Do gt 10 000 Qa00ococoooooQodda t 65506606068608060060005 0 4 ed ed rom mom DND ON ON ON P m o 500 1000 2007 1 15 155 000ha 16
9. 38 10 2 400 9 6 000ha 60 2007 14 2005 LCM CMS CMS NGO CMS
10. 3 1 27 100ha
11. 100 ii AWS OR AWS 150 40 AWS
12. iA LE 3 P 100ha 2 2 RS 2 Ai O AS 204 E EEN TEE EEN 10 10 28 farma 197 184
13. Crisis Management System CMS CMS NGO CMS 2005 Crisis Management Center CMC CMC CMC CMC CMS CMS
14. MKFFIS 13 39 HERR 1 25 000 DPR MKFFIS
15. PDM PO PDM s EE PO ial Gh eae AB op gie
16. NIGHT A pec et OU OO 7 1 OF 1 600ha Fha ee 1 68 41ha 100ha 0 4 4
17. dni iv 2012 500ha LIDO ONC O PWR 10 eiii 10 4E 20 SCAN
18. CMC DPR i 10 Sha lt 8ha i30 3e e UC OMIA IK nre
19. GIS 2013 2 GIS 2013 4 PEMF MAFWE DPR GIS CMC 2 2 2 1 FORE GIS GIS 2013 4 3 1 2 3 2 3 2 1 RHH FAY E eeh HR
20. 28 KARA BE IBANE OMR RE AID RE GS XU ARA RT IBI EO amp PRO 90
21. CMC GIS 2013 3 Technical Coordination Group TCG 1 4 1GIS GIS 5 1 7 17 CMC GIS OF 1 7
22. are 2 PDME 1 lt gt e 1a Number volume of data information stored in the integrated GIS system will be enough for forest fire risk assessment gt e 1a By December 2012 integrated GIS is reinforced based on the risk assessment methodology developed by the Project le integrated GIS vert and IS improved by 2013 1 e December integrated GIS ver2 e 1b From January 2013 all of the data required for forest fire risk assessment with pre determined time spatial resolution provided by PEMF and Hydro met is stored in the integrated GIS lt gt e gt e GIS system Integrated GIS system integrated GIS e GIS 1
23. 3 MKFFIS PO 4 MKFFIS 0 ee pd piedad RRB D D GTA ADS NES Ae TIRES VAT ee ea 5 MKFFIS 2013 3 6 MKFFIS
24. CMC 2009 8 CMC JCA 2010 7 2011 1 27 R D 1 2 1 CMC 2 D
25. gt 2006 2025 1 2 ODA ODA ODA 1 gt ODA 2005 1 3 L 1 4 2 Z0 ZrzHkOS82tuTEf 6cHBIDA S 1
26. 7 8 MKFFIS A
27. 2 CMC 1998 en CMO 2012 CMC E ES Wear dE wu ET l s LE ha F m3 Denar 90 fE 620 E ai E 250 1 500na 39 000ha E 3 FE W St HE E 2007 4 15 155 000ha ae peo mmm Ve Celtes meal ams mor zl zos Tue 25250505 3 000m MA th iQ e Ln H SRA H N i a 16 MORS ctt 28 gt TH 29 HERR 2 7 26 180 300 2 5
28. TCGM gu cub 7 3 2 8 PO 2013 3 MKFFIS Verl ROMO RCMC TCG RCMC 9
29. ads users administrators of the integrated GIS allocation of PDM ORY EXO sufficient budget by relevant institutions is secured according to e the PO approved by SC 13 81 ANA A 1 List of CMC Personnel 1 Project Director 2 Project Manager 3 Project Staff 7 persons in total B 1 Assignment of Japanese Experts 1 Long term Expert 2persons in total 2 Short term Expert 7persons in total B 2 List ofMacedonianPersonneltrained in Japan 3 persons in total B 3 Disbursement of Local Activity Cost as of September 20 2012 Unit MKD Major Budget Item JFY 2011 JFY 2012 TOTAL Professional Fee 770 969 50 316 658 00 1 087 627 50 ja 1 zem acoso lowerew KAA 06 8590500 leywmewee if leeeemremwe pm mn Am conmuncacon animos aen pel 15140050 ofm Ll AO aeml eem Total in Japanese Yen 1 MKD 1 61Yen Y 8 976 018 Y 1 522 112 Y 10 498 129 Total in USS 1 MKD 0 02042USS S 113 845 S 19 305 S 133 150 Project disbursement is both in MKD
30. B GIS 18 MKFTFTS CMC MKFFIS CMC MAFWE DPR
31. GIS PEMF MAFWE DPR Hydro met 2012 ND T Wee CHE CHEM ARTES ARABAJ COTO ZG De CMC 3 3 3 3 1
32. CMC 7 8 CMC DPR CMC MKETFIS MKFFIS MKFFIS ARTE JUDA ATT YAO TAE PICT TA Clea a E RE 99 Os MKFFIS SU MKFFIS 15 4 1 HERR n 00002 REPORT OF THE JOINT MID TERM REVIEW ON THE PROJECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF INTEGRATED SYSTEM FOR PREVENTION AND EARLY WARNING OF FOREST FIRES November 15 2012 jz c M Mr HIROHITO TAKATA Ms SOFCHE KRSTIKJ Lead
33. OI ae 10 11 National System for Forest Fire RiskAssessment 3 5 2 1 National System for Forest Fire Risk Assessment 2014
34. ODA 1 20 D 6 6 1 1 PDM PDM PO Technical Coordination Group Meeting TCGM SC PDM PO PDM PO 2 DJs PDM
35. CMC CMC 4 CMC J 5 PEMF DPR MAFWE Hydro met TCG CMC RU TCG 2
36. CHS 2 2 25 gt 2a 2 74 25 2 3
37. DPR PEMF MKFFIS MKFFIS CMC CMC MKFFTS CMC MKFFIS MKFFIS MKFFIS
38. 3 4 2 e PDM PO PDM PO 3 5 3 5 1 1 PDM PDM PO TCGM SC PDM PO PDM PO 2 BUYS PDM 3 MKFFIS PO
39. 21 BREE CO pale gt fHERJEH 07 5 TCGM 7 3 8 PO 2013 3 MKEEIS Verl RCMC RCMC TCG RCMC 0
40. PDM GIS GIS 2012 5 SC GQGIS 2 8 10 R C 2 e Vulnerability Capacity and measures gt 8 GIS
41. 2 gt CMC CMC CMC GIS IT gt GIS PEME MAFWE DPR Hydro met 2012 5 CMC TB c 18 CMC C
42. 1a GIS e PDM 1 2012 5 SC PEMF Hydro met 70 EK e PO 2012 5 SC 1a G
43. GIS 2013 4 H PDM GIS 15 1 a Re e 5
44. On the Job Training OJT 10 11 National system for forest fire risk assessment 2 WE 6 2 1 National system for forest fire risk assessment 2014
45. MKFFTS 9 8 MKFEFTS 1 MKFFIS
46. H 3 4 F 5 2 3 5
47. Es gt CMC add d h 2 4 GIS FE 2 gt e b gt gt gt gt
48. MKFFIS CMC DPR 1 MKFFIS BJ CMC MAFWE PEMF DPR MKFTTS MKFFIS
49. 2 2 3 2 4 CMC GIS adds 3 PDM 1 KZ BW e Duration Three years from the date Of the first dispatch of expert S From 10 May 2011 to 9 May 2014 e 2 gt Edo 75 X PDM 1 PDM 1 1 e massive forest fire 6 e The occurrence of massive forest
50. 4 2012 11 15 A PDME PDM PDMver4 PDME PDM 3 243 3 1 3 1 1 10 8 CMC 4 1 A 1 O do A E 3 1 2 1 2 7 1 2 GIS 4 1
51. GIS 11 BEN Os 2 PO GIS 2 2 BI 1 2 1 PO GIS 2012 10 12 GIS 2013 4 2 2 4 2 4 2011 12 1 GIS 3
52. CMC 22 7 2 23 I 2 3 4 1 4 2 PDME 00001 1 1 257 ha 95 ha 40 1
53. GIS 1 2013 2 2013 2 GIS 4 GIS 2013 2 GIS 2013 4 PEMF MAFWE DPR GIS CMC gt 2 2 1 GIS
54. 3 1 2 3 4 5 EE 300 2000 15 5 7 2000 2007 15 2012 2012 cus bs an
55. CMC CMC GIS CMC GIS CMC 2 2009 8 CMC 2011 1 27 Record of Discussion R D 2011 5 2014 5 3
56. CMC MKFFIS 8 CMC CMOC DPR EF MKFFIS MODIS 1km X 1km SEVIRI 3km X 3km
57. 1 2 Joint Coordinating Committee JCC 1 3 JICA JICA NCR acne nes Ms Sofche Krstikj Secretariat for European Affairs 1 4 DOLO Jw Kazutaka Okamoto Yasuyo Hirouchi Consultant Forestry Agency Hirohito Takata JICA Shinsaku Fukazawa JICA 2012 10 29 Mon Haneda Scopije SCOPJE Meeting with project leader and coordinator 10 30 11 2 Tue Fri Meeting with Project leader SCOPJE coordinator CMC and relevant persons 11 5 Mon Narita Belgrade Meeting with Project leader Belgrade coordinator CMC and mer rel
58. TNT 7 C AA S Number of fires N MAU 1234567 8 9101011213141516171819202 1222324252 G2 72829300 132333485363 73839404 142434445464 748 n 32 00001 8 174 e 1998 2007 250000 200000 4 ER CORTESA o 2 D WAA AA a ares EISES
59. di 15 4 4 CMC 17 A SO DA STD IND iia 17 E EE EE 18 4 5 ZEV KORBEITIEIRAN SE THEN So 18 HEN mM uM LI II IM MA 20 po 21 Bb RDA TA IO 21 6 2 pi gpl SA A 27 ER EE 43 3 PDME kk 69 a a NE 87 4 2 kkk 89 O 2 53 O O O p EE CMC Hydro met CP EE Automatic Weather Station Crisis Management Center Crisis Management System Fire Weather Index V C E PIDA m Sen is Ministry of Agricul
60. 1 1 10 10 MKFFIS AWS FW ORIEK FRAI TIRARE MKFEFTIS 9 180 1 50ha 100ha EE 1 3 7 6 LC BR PR
61. 2005 CMC CMC CMC CMC D CMS CMS CMC CMC GIS CMC GIS
62. 2013 2 GIS e Hydro Meteorology Service Hydro met 007 7 2012 8 Automatic Weather Station AWS 5 AWS GIS 10 BO AWS 2012 11 GIS Public Enterprise Macedonian Forests PEMF PEMF 2013 2 7 BID HS GIS 2013 1 4 OE 2013 2
63. SIU QUAE WE Oe eeu 3 4 5 TCG MAFWE S prat ee 1 TCG 3 4 6 1 CMC TEE peu hid Term Sk AMET EA CMC Wa Me 2 13 4 4 1 JAZZ Leer 1 CMC CMC
64. 2 1 8 5 8 GIS C MKFFIS 35 5 Ne TN OFE E RRE ONTT av v FWI GE MKFETIS CMC
65. XN DS JG E EE HE 7J In E 24 12 20134 JR 12 227 24 12 2013 LAMB c DI oca RR RM SU A CC o RS I ME Lo RC us DER rodadas EO i 2 E coc ERE DIL NE oA D LI NE ON eae RE MESA B 00 dp i D Eo co AT m 224 Wiest PDN UPO MI co ee dec c NO c ET mew SONUS sse IM LO DRE E M EU ELE Se 4 or ee nee ee SS A No XE SR ME do E d D ETE QUO TERT a dcus PEO m oM ccu chu b cic MN AA i desde EN peius du E un ae Za a 8 E E 8 56 PES COI ia 3 4 6 4 5 ec lid 4 E 1 si 6 vm E 6 s 6 Aa 6 IR 6 di 10 ON 10 4 1 7 ey a7 bisa Ch CS abia 14 4 2 14 4q 9 gt
66. 3 PDM 1 X far e PO GIS 2 2 KEES gt gt e 1d Relevant institutions will utilize the developed risk assessment methodology based on appropriate understanding gt e 1e From January 2013 information contained in the forest fire risk assessment tools of the integrated GIS is avallable to the principal user Institutions for utilization in prevention and early warning according to the agreed access rights e 1f Fro
67. js 2 gt gt e 1b Number of the e integrated GIS system users with their capacity improvement will be enough for operating the system gt e 1d By March 2013 at least X officers from HQ and regional CMC and X officers from HQ and regional offices of the principal information user institutions X from PEMF X from MAFWE X from DPR administration and or utilization of the integrated GIS as well as interpretation of the first 4 forest fire risk assessment tools and the other three tools by March 2014 are trained in lt gt e CMC GIS CMC PEMF MAFWE DPR
68. CMC do 2 SIS 1 1 88 10 2 400 9 6 000ha 60 2007 14 2005 Law on Crisis LCM
69. 911 15910 10 dunesu uoneurp1002 DANDY euorday amans nns nam ya pe uq 341 291 04 159104 J e D e Li EREET PTEE T ES ie d dox amman amua a WH Hd e T m pm ul mm mica d arum m m m omm Ke samuna Suunoquaisu UI 3314 15303 i uouoneuuoju 4 Sapjutio IMIVIA M n ew de Seen Ape ges eeng O GE JW3d A SN De H zt Susana 311 eui US uo uogeunoju OSU e212040J939 N uojnsu RENNES JuLnoquy iou uo suodoy ff 19WojPAH JN suodas 61 x X E 4020 JUDUISSISSY ASIY 3114 159404 104 US1SAS IEUODEN JO 4J0M9UJEJ4 67 EK PDME 1 PDME a Eesen 1 lt gt lt gt s 1 Data information stored in e the integrated GIS system will be regularly updated e JS 3 Domestic relevant institutions will conduct preve
70. 2 8 2 4730 7 3 1 000 2012 9 JICA Zen DUE JICA REPO SEO DES IE Aa e Z we Al ZW 5 ST Nep s S ES Secretariat for European Affairs A Krstikj 3 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 GIS GIS 1 2013 2 2013 2 GIS 4
71. 34 HERR 3km MM s v CMC DPR DPR
72. EV T ReHRUOR MIT DX lt zit LIE E bare land ls 8 1 7 3 B other 8 6 2 9 854 000ha 1 93 000ha 9 1
73. AAA 4 4 CMC KRREREBIOET WAR ANI A A ll 1 OCMC ud 17 C gt TCG CMC IST gt 4 5 FOSO ORI RIN E FPE N 1 IJ pai GIS 2
74. 1 ha ha TR O B B A 1 000 C A 1 000 050000 oss m 1088 00001 7 68 04 174 70 2001 2005 PRME lt 7 w S 31 x 6 6 1998 2007 1 4 12 X4 48 10 6 17
75. GIS 3 2 4 TCG CMC EMIL Nd M M 3 2 5 CMC GIS Hie dh a CC E CU CMC xi WA GIS IT
76. 9 GIS 2013 3 12 amp GIS 2013 3 CMC mmt X PO PO ver 4 GIS 4 2013 3 PEFM X MAFWE X DPR 5X GIS 4 2013 12 e 2013 1 GIS Ben
77. a 2 1 1 2 1 O 2 1 CMC CMC GIS SS dX Vv 2 3 2 3 2 CSS 2013 4 fr GIS Regional Crisis Management Center RCMC 2012 12
78. CMC DPR 2 DPR 2 DE Rand pu A NAA 25 700ha 25 30 2 3 CMC 85 AAA AA AA AA S a a DPR CMC DDR
79. 2012 12 GIS 3 3 al ft GIS TEVE beef XO CMC GIS AGIS CMC KA 3 4 PDM PO 2 u MOE MENU 1 PO 1 GIS 2 ge za GIS
80. GIS 76 1 e 1 3 Reinforce develop the integrated GIS including software hardware and equipment with necessary training for operating and maintaining the system 1 4 Prepare and publish Store GIS hazard risk maps and tables for forest fire in the integrated GIS 1 6 Prepare the feasibility study on the technical system for forest fire early detection 1 7 Hold training workshops on the integrated GIS amp forest fire risk assessment tools for system users administrators at CMC and the relevant institutions 1 8 Share information for forest fire risk assessment from CMC to the relevant institutions through the integrated GIS TI EK using the integrated GIS GIS RM A e GIS MKFFIS GIS MKFFIS Integrated GIS developed by the Project is known as Macedonian Forest Fire Information System MKFFIS e 1 3
81. GIS st 2 LACIE Di lt gt Plan of Operations PO PO ver 4 A A 2013 1 GIS 2013 2 GIS 2013 1 GIS gt TL T Ba T bs Sech 9 y gt 9 2013 1 PEME mST MEA GIS a De dl ae 1 2012 2 FWD 2013 ou TAY 12 GIS PARAS fe 2013 CMC
82. 42 CW Dis 1km ha VAT ft CUO aA EC 10 36 HERR
83. AWS AWS AWS AWS FWI P ni Ec AWS Qu WA AWA
84. fire i are reduced by strengthening ER the social capacity for prevention massive level forest fire 1 and early warning of forest fire 24 e prevention Prevention includes risk reduction among others 2 Supposed relevant institutions e The capacity of CMC for transmitting for prevention and early warning of information to domestic relevant forest fire are MAFWE PEMF institutions for prevention and early local government local fire warning of forest fire ii and fighting forces and forestry coordinating them is strengthened department at national university RRIT ANET Domestic relevant institutions targeted by the Project are MAFWE PEMF DPH municipal government local fire fighting forces and others as required 722 3 1 e lforest fire e National system for forest fire risk risk assessment assessment iii using the integrated GIS iv is developed Concept of forest fire risk assessment consists of four elements hazard exposure vulnerability and capacity and measure o
85. 3 3 2 TCG 2 yan l ORAR AAN y Libon 3 4 3 4 1 e PDM PO TU AZ RE GIS PO
86. 2a 1 GIS 2 2b SS E US Si National coordination mechanism will be monitored and updated if necessary lt gt e 2a By December 2012 the final draft s for necessary modifications of the existing government procedures is are submitted by the responsible organizations to the relevant authority authorities for adoption e 2b By the Project end a technical level coordination meeting on prevention and early warning is formalized for the post project period e 2c By the Project end recommendations for improvement of coordination using the integrated GIS are made based on monitoring in some model areas within jurisdiction of selected RCMCs for action by CMC
87. 4 MKFFIS D 5 MKFFIS 2013 3 6 MKFFIS
88. CMC CMC 14 40 CMC CMC ERE 7 8 3 4 7 8 A MKFFIS OFF CMC
89. PO PO ver4 GIS 2013 4 PEMF MAFWE DPR 3 GIS ELE 72s f 2013 1 GIS X X CMC REC PK Ye Di gn Bg ES 2 al 2012 12 PO GIS 2012
90. AR TE 2 1 3 PDM 1 3 GIS 1 1 8 GIS IME GIS 3 1 3 GIS PO 2012 12 GIS 2013 2 2013 1 2013 4 4 14 PDM 14 SC
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92. on 2013 1 GIS DF D ds 2012 F P CUL 4 oe ZAKS Re Yew 7 a Sy aaa RORY b A SAGA Ty RES 9 K HB RR ov GIS 2013 12 HE cic 3 2012 5 Steering Committee SC D Forest Fire Information System MKFFIS GIS 2012 8 2013 2 2013 2 GIS 1 1 2 oe DAR
93. RCMC RCMC 0 PO K FABITIBMT AL ERC 2 3 RCMC IG VIG 2 4 2 4 2 3 GIS ipti ioni GIS TCG MEE d PO 2 4 CMC LA FS 12 CMC GIS
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100. 10 12 GIS 2013 4 a Aih PO PO ver4 B RB E ia PT e PO 2011 12 CMC 1 GIS Ai PO PO ver4 R
101. 104 Bujurea lesseoau JIA jueuidinbe pue ayempley ejempos Buipnjoul elen pejejBajul ay 9240Jut93 E L JUBLUSSASSE YSU y 9J0j OY 10 Njasn uoneunojutr ejep 399 09 pue Ajjuep 7 1 a ABojopoujeui 34 JUSLUNDOP pue aiy s 104 10 BoJopoteui jueuissesse ysu uDiseq L L 56 00002 Latest Plan of Operation PO u m wlIs nu m w r njm w 1 person s Counterpart Personnel C P smswewes 1 1 1 ede T PU hi E 1 Design risk assessment methodology for forest fire and document the methodology 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategie Planning E x 1 Head of thc Dept for Research Analysis 1 2 Identify sario in TE 1 Assessment amp Strategic Planning E information useful for the forest fire L edificatio Pe bt 2 Head of the Dept for Operations amp Operational risk assessment Sea pg e 1 3 Remforce the mtegrated GIS system database mchding software s 1 Head of the Dept for Operations amp Operational hardware and equipment with necessary i j Trang ni Ee geg particular IT Section 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of Operation Coordination Section of the Dept for Operations amp Operational Logistics 3 Head of IT Section of the Dept for Operations de Operational Logistics 1 4 Prepare and publish GIS hazard maps for forest
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103. CMC 5 2 4 PDME Project Design Matrix PDM CMC PDME E
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106. Se gt 16 gt CMC Deme e CMC gt Operation and Maintenance l Information Technology IT AWS 0O amp M e gt ae gt CMC 5
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109. sharing and m Coordination Group Meetings TCGM 2 3 Confirm the state of transmission of information and public awareness on prevention and early warning of forest fire at some model areas 2 4 Assess the effectiveness of 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of the Dept for Operations amp Operational Logistics coordmation of CMC and relevant mstitutions and xlentify supplementary measures if necessary utilizing the results of 2 3 57 OS y Aq peAoJddB Od y 0 Bulpsoooe painoas SI suonnigsut 1UEA9ISJ Aq sao9 nos9J 9M1O pue 6pnq JUSISYNS jo uoVesoye Aq voyejadoos Jessa93N pesge128p pugoyiubis eq 9u I INO Jo euuosJad Jo Jaqunu pue jeBpng z JnooO JOU UA J9JIB9A ouenxe pajoadxaufn 2 eau 1590 JsUiebe AOIIOd Juswabeuew SISU2 ul abueys juesubis ou aq D 3194 L SOL JO WIW 92892 SHEP euy ay jo UOISSIUIdnS jo 91B EZ BuUojlUOUJ Ll91SAS JO plo93y YL at p10281 Gujules PL BunoyuouJ ul9 s s jo pi0d3y 3 dL LUJ91SAS y JO yoda uonoadsuj BL QJHID 6uuoliuow ul9 s s Jo bio Z uondope Jo app au jo Splosay BlIUOPS9e JO jueuuJaAoB y jo pue OND JO SIUSUJnSOD pue suiodai saujopin6 od SIND Aq uono JO SOyy2 pealoelas jo uogoipsunf uiui SB9JB pow eulos ui SBuyoyuow uo peseq spew ae elen palel6slul au Guisn uoneurp1ooo jo jueuisAOJduil JO suonepusuiuo991 pua 1o
110. still relevant 6 2 Effectiveness Progress has been made towards achievement of the Project Purpose but the degree of achievement is not measureable at the moment because the relevant data was not available Judging from the overall achievement level of the Outputs the progress is presumably mostly as expected in achieving the Project Purpose With continuous effort of the Macedonian and Japanese sides the Project Purpose could be achieved by the Project end In the meantime both of the Outputs i e development of national system for risk assessment and reinforcement of national coordination mechanism for information sharing and cooperation are relevant with the Project Purpose Although their level of achievement varies at this moment they have contributed to the achievement of the Project Taken together the Project is likely to be effective 6 3 Efficiency Progress has been made towards production of Outputs but overall production is a few months behind schedule mainly due to delay in developing the first version of MKFFIS resulting from the expansion of its contents In general the Inputs from the both Macedonian and Japanese sides have been appropriate in producing the Outputs in terms of timing quality and quantity except The Review Team notes that through efforts made by the existing Project Personnel and the Japanese Expert team as well as collaboration of the relevant institutions the delay associated with the expansion of
111. the Project 2 4 Background of the Project The Republic of Macedonia hereinafter Macedonia is a mountainous landlocked country with a total land area of about 25 000 square kilometers Due to the hot dry summer of the Mediterranean climate loss of forests with frequent massive fires has become a problem in Macedonia The Crisis Management Center CMC of Macedonia is responsible for collecting and analyzing information for providing early warning against various national threats in coordination and cooperation with domestic relevant institutions CMC has been responsible for providing early warning and preventing forest fires However CMC faces the challenge of providing information which it has collected stored and analyzed to relevant agencies and its citizens in order to reduce damage caused by forest fires Under such circumstances the Japan International Cooperation Agency JICA has been implementing the Project on Development of Integrated System for Prevention and Early Warning of Forest Fires since May 2011 for three years based on request made by the government of Macedonia 2 2 Summary of the Project 1 The Project Purpose The capacity of CMC for transmitting information to domestic relevant institutions for prevention and early warning of forest fire and coordinating them 1s strengthened 2 The Overall Goal The occurrences of massive forest fire are reduced by strengthening the social capacity for prevention and early warni
112. the contents has been minimized The Inputs are considered to have contributed to production of the Outputs On the whole the Project has been mostly efficient 6 4 Impacts Impact at Overall Goal level It is still early to assess the likelihood of achievement of the Overall Goal Other impacts The Project has strengthen cooperation and cooperation among CMC and the relevant institutions involved in prevention and early warning of forest fires through information sharing and discussions in TCG and other meetings on the subjects related to 50 00002 the Project Negative impacts have not been observed 6 5 Sustainability Institutional and organizational aspects Legal and policy support for prevention and early warning of forest fire is expected to continue The collaborative relationship between CMC and the relevant institutions enhanced through the Project is expected to continue In addition through the Project draft s for necessary modifications of the existing government procedures necessary to fit MKFFIS in legislative framework would be developed in collaboration with the responsible institutions for adoption by the relevant authority authorities Formalization of a periodical technical level coordination meeting for post project period is also included in the activities Financial aspects So far CMC has allocated necessary budget including cost for data transmission Considering the commitment demonstrated by CMC
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114. 1 es 2 1 Develop sustainable 3 4 1 2 coordination mechanism of CMC 2 3 and relevant institutions through 3 4 1 2 identifying problems about 2 4 information sharing and fie FORA 3 4 1 2 coordination using the integrated GIS e 2 3 Confirm the existing state of coordination of information sharing and cooperation transmission and public awareness on prevention and early warning of forest fire at some model areas within jurisdiction of selected RCMCs e 748 2 4 Assess the effectiveness of the integrated GIS in coordination of CMC and relevant institutions and identify supplementary measures if necessary utilizing the results of 2 3 2 PDME A e Note for Indicators By March 2013 indicators for the Overall Goal including definition of more promptly more adequately rate of forest firel and massive level wili be examined by TCGM and proposal on necessary modification will be
115. 4 3 4 7 8 1998 2007 DRH MINA 7 8 6 1 4 10 7 8 3 H 7 174 1998 2007 D 83H HMM Es ia DH I Ne ha
116. A MO AZAR RO HEA GIS CMC ME MKFFIS 12 38 MKFFTS
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118. F MAFWE DPR B8 5 e PO E PO ver4 2 e 2a By December 2012 December 2013 the final drafts for necessary modifications of the existing government procedures IS are submitted by the responsible organizations to the relevant authority authorities for adoption 3 PDM e PDM according to the Necessary cooperation such as appointment of project staff by allocation of sufficient budget and relevant other_ resources by institutions is secured according to the plan PO approved by the SC Necessary cooperation such as appointment of 80 plan PO PDM
119. IS 2 GIS 2 AN e po y Ea gt gt e ege 1c GIS hazard maps will e cover wider area GIS wider area e GIS gt e 1c By December 2012 four forest risk assessment tools i e hot spot map and vegetation dryness map covering all land of Macedonia as well as forest vegetation map and fire history map covering 90 of forests in Macedonia are stored in the integrated GIS and the other three i e FWI map and suppression resource table covering all land of Macedonia as well as damaged forest value table covering 90 of forests are stored by Decembe
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123. UDB US1SAS Joj Oulule4 4983 JO POUIBA JojeJjsiunupe waysks x N v v jueynsuoo 2907 s s p1009 31 WO eis dg hd dSVVG Jo PESH poojenep sieuejeu pue uejd sjeuojeuu pue ueld Sumies e doje eQg LU IL EMT IBUOI58J je siojonujsut 39 0 pajpadxa 318 BAG EUA au ye uonejueseJd ey ul ajediorued ou esnou 1SJ AAR BIDS y je pejonpuoo S uongejuesaJd 1deg Li 10 PESH ISSY DOT JO peaH JSVV Jo peaH suonnjnsul UBASIS SU1 PUE DAD 1B SJojesiuiupe sjesn LJS1SAS 10 S OO JUQUISSISSE deu DI S910 Y eseqejep wajs s Sjo peleJ6alul eui uo sdousy10m Buluie DIOH MDTA SHOM IEI9u8 5 pue e597 BIOUBUI 10 deg au jo peaH 2 d i JO peeH 1 PE ee JP FO s j geroz unr Aq pajejduio2 ubisap uawanoidws Wwejs s dSvvdg JO PE9H 102 4e Aq paredard podas KBojoporujau y WAS 39901014 9 eem HEIE effet ELOZAD LOZAO uonoejep Auge 2111 38910 403 LUS SAS eojuyoa y uo Apnis Ajijiqiseaj ay ajedald A3AJ9S BIOUILD OULISY UBU e qrseag SOU aq pjnom iaA19S 9 I 9 5 9ShBQ2d paj 22ug2 sem PNIS Aji tq1sga d AOJdUUI SAS 3S proo9A8N oU juawssesse ebeuwep uo ubisep juaweAciduul wa shs S L soouenbesuoo pue sobewep jo jusulssasse uo BoJopoujeui ubiseq cS 180 CS Old ejqisuodsey JeeA SOHAOY L0ZA LH iaa Od Yap pesodoaq p xouuy 63 ja USUuOJjAU J
124. Y CHE a CMC ODA 3 2 2 3 2 3 GIS La
125. and EUR Each EUR disbursement was converted to MKD using 61 35 before summation 83 C 1 List of Project Deliverables Report of aMethodology for Forest Fire Risk Assessment March 2012 Report of Comparative analyses of some GIS platforms regarding project requirements December 2011 System Design Report GIS basic detailed design March 2012 Functional Specification Document June 2012 Program module for MSG2 data acquisition August 2012 Minutes of the Meeting of SC1 SC2 and SC3 84 CD CD CD WE AAA er poto Eeer un cL02 0 9L v Bl esc cL0c 80 vc cL0c 0 9L cL0c 0 E L 2103 80 21 2103 80 21 2103 80 21 2109 80 21 2109 80 21 V V zL02 80 21 V V zL02 80 21 V V zL02 e0 81 KAMEA 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 E ema Oi ER Lv v leogeoer 201 19 N 0Jp H 19 A 0Jp H 19 N 0Jp H 19 N 0Jp H 19 N 0Jp H 19 N 0Jp H 19 N 0Jp H OH ONWO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO OH ONO WE poe ER er Jojo Lv v leogeoer Lv v legeoer e920 e920 er poto v lv legeoer 201 el opio INOd 40 yAnoe Jofew uo 1dbe qe rene esodsip 1UBA9ISJ Y Y azlozeoerl 2 1 Manea 6N ssn Jo ayeq 201 jueuigeJnooJd IB90 JO euolleuelul OHONO uoneziueDJO ajqisuodsey OA9UOIM JEAISOD exdeys
126. budget necessary for continuation of the relevant activities including maintenance of the system and provided equipment is expected to be secured after the Project end As for PEMF MAFWE DPR and Hydro met to which the equipment for users and or data entry has been provided they are obliged to maintain the equipment in accordance with the technical instructions and standards prescribed by the manufacturer upon the end of the warranty period as per the Memorandum of Cooperation and Technical Equipment Ownership Transfer signed by CMC and the respective institution in May 2012 It is expected that each institution will secure necessary budget for maintenance after the warranty period is expired Technical aspects Staff of CMC and relevant institutions staff members are already equipped with high level capacity With further enhancement of their capacity through the Project it is expected that they would be able to continue the relevant activities by themselves after the Project end The techniques and methods transferred through the Project as well as the deliverables are relevant with the local needs and technical levels The transferred techniques methods and or the project deliverables are expected to be continuously utilized after the Project end From a comprehensive viewpoint the Project is likely to be sustainable Conclusion The Project is considered to be still relevant Effectiveness is not measurable at the moment Efficiency of th
127. e DINO JO uisiueuoeui uorneuipJooo ejqeuiejsns dojo a Q Z SUOHIDUO 9 JJ 3PIS UBIUODSOB joefoud jo SSgupullllA pug jueuiruuulo 7 SID paje16a u ayy uBnouuy SuOHn1HSUI 509 euonelado p JUBA9 a ou 0 OID VOL JUBLUSSESSE YSU 9J 19910 104 uojeuuojui 9JBUGS 8 L AESSSo8U JI siao suonnynsur JULAI eu pue DIND Je sJojeujsiurupe siesn uiejs s JO SJOO eseqejep uejs s SIO JU9LUISSISSE YSU SJ Isal Y SIS palEl6alul 34 uo sdousyxow Burure DIOH 7 1 juawaSeueu 9J4 S9J0 1A uonoojop SBUIMO JOJ eu ui seniAnoe 28IOd By JO jueuudinbo Jo UOISIA0 d E Kues asy 389 10 JO WajsAs IBOIUM99 ayy uo Apnjs Aiqiseay ay aJedald 9 1 ueder ui auuosiad yediajunos jo Duiutel e 214 OS Aq pe oudde Od sadxa saoqe s210 jo seouenbesuoo pue sabewep Jo jueuissesse uo ABojopoujew uDiseg 9 L ey oj ulpJO9o6 palnoas wo paubisse aq jm JOJEUIPIOOD 1O8 OJd pue JOSIAPY Jo SID Dag Dou au ul 9JU 18910 10 Se qe pue Sdew ysu ele 3J0 S SJedaJg Sek MEAS pallnbaJ spley 12yo juauwdinba pue SJBADJBU asemyos BulDnIOUI SI peleJ6sjul au doje eq 1 EE EI BC ONG eseqejepjuels s SI JUSLUSSISSE YSU 9JH JS910 AY JO njosn uoneuuojuyejep eloo pue Wuepl 7 1 ou JO SIOJENSIUILPE s asn juewsebeue aly S304 A Gojopoujouu jo juauguiodde se yons suadx3 eu 3ueuinoop pue asy 3saJo 10 Bojopoyjau USUJSSSSSB ysu ubisag L uoneJedooo less202N epis eseugdep E coa aa 0 PE PS OC is END TE SU ote op
128. e Project has been mostly efficient even a few months behind schedule mainly due to delay from the expansion of its contents It is still early to assess impact but so far negative impact has not been observed The project is likely to be 7 5 sustainable It is expected that the Project will take necessary actions based on recommendation to achieve project purpose toward the end of the project Recommendations 1 Recommendations for implementation of the project 1 1 Up Date of PDM It is recommended that the project clarify scope of the project and necessary activities during the remaining period of the project in order to reach the project purpose and that revision of PDM and PO be examined in TCGM and approved by SC based on the attached PDM ver2 and PO ver It is also recommended that the PDM and PO to be translated into Macedonian to share the contents among CMC and relevant institutions after approval by SC 1 2 Definition of indicators in PDM It is recommended that indicators in PDM be modified or specified in consultation with TCG and be approved by SC by March 2013 as mentioned in PDM ver2 The indicators must be specific and practical for assessment of achievement 1 3 Modification and harmonization of existing rule books and governmental procedures by the relevant institutions MKFFIS is newly introduced in National system for forest fire risk assessment in the project Therefore relevant institutions inv
129. e closed coordination among CMC and relevant institutions to discuss detailed specification of MKFFIS training plans and so on It is recommended that more frequent TCGM and thematic working group including technical staff will be held for information sharing and discussion between CMC and the relevant institutions 1 7 Enhancement of project management Because of increasing of works as mentioned above progress of the project has been delayed for three month from initial PO and the amount of work in the remaining period ts expected to increase So hereafter detailed project progress management will be required to complete the project in the project period It is recommended to have regular meeting participated with responsible persons and implementors whom assigned in PO ver4 and Japanese experts to overlook the progress based on annual PO to manage progress of the project 1 8 Determination of model area As described in PO ver4 in order to complete a baseline survey in the RCMC level model areas by March 2013 criteria for selection of the model areas should be determined as soon as possible and agreed by TCGM in time 1 9 Placement of counterparts for short term experts It is recommended that in order to efficient technology transfer through OJT at the time of dispatch of Japanese short term experts not only responsible person but also placement of implementors is necessary 1 10 Utilization of Training materials as
130. e oJd au Ag oz poued 123IO d 1SOd Sui JO DSZIIBUUJOJ SI Bujujem Apea pue uonuaA a1d uc Buneeu uoneurpiooo ISASFIEOUUOS e pus jos oJy ayy g az uondope 10 senuoujne Ajuoujne jueA9 o1 BU 0 suoneziueBJo ajqisuodsa ayy Aq pajyulqns ae s senpeooud 1uauiueAoB Bunsixe y jo SUOJBOUIDOLUU Kiessaoeu Joie yep uy eui pue oafodd eu Ag ez IACJ e 101521 im uonejjnsuo ur zoz J8qui82eq Aq pegioeds Sq pus CX auni Joule er Joj8eorpu JO OJON SUONNINHSU 1UBA919 Je Oo q UONBZI AN 10 91ISd9A SAW 1e peusiiqnd si SID paeau ayy Jo X X 91 elo JUSWUSSESSe ysu asy 153103 ay ui DSUIB1UOD uoneuuojul jo ped eroz judg Ag Siubu ssa99e paaBe ou o Bulpicooe Gulusem Apes pue UOHHUSASJd ul uonezinn 20 3euegur u6nouu A sasn uongeuuojul jediouud eut oj ejqejreAe SI SID psleJ6slul ay Jo SI00 JUALUSSISSE YSU 314 S810j SY UI peurejuoo uoneuuojul ELOZ Yoe Aq SL t LOZ uoJ8 N q S100 INO JSU1O By pue S1OO JUSLUSSISSE YSU Ss 910 p 1SJU eu Jo uonejeJdusjui se o se SID pajelBaju 341 jo uonezinn 10 pue UOHBJJSIUIUUP ur peulen ae Yd WOY X SAVIA Woy X SWI Woy X suonninsur asn uoneuuojur jediouud ou jo seoyjo euol5asJ pue OH Woy s1924jo X pue DAD IlBuol6el pue DH Woy SISOLJO x Iseal Je eLoz YoseEW Ag PL SLOZ Jaquieoa Aq paJojs aJe s saJoj Jo 9406 6uusAoo 9 qe STIBA js910J pabewep se IISA Se BIUODS9B JO PUB je DUJSAOO aqe soJnosasl uoissajddns pue dew JA Ay 9 99 4 Joujo eui pue SID pelei6aslul ay ui paro
131. ement tool for the Project For example most of the Indicators are neither objectively verifiable nor defined well Description of some of the Activities is vague Change in the scope contents of some of the Activities has not been reflected in the PDM PO either This has made it difficult for all those concerned to have clear and common understanding of the overall implementation process and progress of the Project activities based on the PDM and PO as well as expected achievement level of the Outputs and the Project Purpose Through a series of discussions with the Review Team the drafts of revised PDM and PO have been developed for approval by the fourth SC meeting scheduled on November 15 2012 The Review Team notes that modification of some of the Indicators was not be completed for further consultation with TCG An annual PO APO is expected to be up dated developed based on the revised PO through due discussion among all the personnel specified in the revised PO and in consultation with the relevant institutions which is submitted to SC for approval Evaluation based on the Five Evaluation Criteria 6 1 Relevance The Overall Goal and the Project Purpose are still relevant with the needs of Macedonia and Target Groups They are still consistent with the national development plan of Macedonia as well as Official Development Assistance ODA policies of Japan 49 h Japanese technical advantage has been confirmed Overall the Project 1s
132. er of Japanese Review Team MACEDONIAN Review Team Japan International Cooperation Agency Representative by Secretariat for European Affairs 43 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction 1 1 Objectives of the Review 1 2 Members of the Review 1 3 Schedule of the Review Study 2 Outline of the Project 2 1 Background of the Project 2 2 Summary of the Project 3 Review of the Latest PDM 4 Methodology of the Review 5 Accomplishment and Implementation Process of the Project 5 1 Accomplishment of the Project 5 2 Implementation Process of the Project 6 Evaluation Results by Five Evaluation Criteria 6 1 Relevance 6 2 Effectiveness 6 3 Efficiency 6 4 Impacts 6 5 Sustainability 7 Conclusion 8 Recommendations Annexes Annex 1 PDM for Evaluation PDMe Annex 2 The Latest Plan of Operations Annex 3 Draft of the Revised PDM Draft of PO ver 2 Annex 4 Draft of the Revised PO Draft of PO ver 4 Referential Materials RM A Framework of National System for Forest Fire Risk Assessment 1 44 1 00002 Introduction 1 1 Objectives of the Review The review activities were performed with the following objectives 1 To verify the accomplishments of the Project compared to those planned 2 To identify obstacles and or facilitating factors that have affected the implementation process 3 To analyze the Project in terms of the five evaluation criteria i e Relevance Effectiveness Efficiency Impact and Sustainabilit
133. evant persons 11 6 Tue Meeting with JICA Meeting with Project leader SCOPJE Balkan Office coordinator CMC and Belgrade Scopje relevant persons 11 7 11 8 Wed Thu Meeting with Project leader coordinator CMC and SCOPJE Meeting with Project leader coordinator CMC and SCOPJE relevant persons Meeting with United Nations Development Programme UNDP 11 13 Drafting of evaluation report SCOPJE 11 14 E Meeting with Macedonian Evaluator to finalize the report SCOPJE 11 15 Sign on the evaluation report on the evaluation report SCOPJE Explanation of evaluation report at Steering Committee SC and sign with SC members 11 17 Japan 2 2 1 Japan International Cooperation Agency JICA JICA 1
134. fire 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis AC ipid ya 1 2 Head of Operation Coordination Sectian of the PEREA PTA as E Dept for Operations amp Operational Logistics GE L 3 Head of IT Section of the Dept for Operations amp Operational Logistics 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of the Dept for Financial Lepal and General 1 6 Prepare the feasibilky study on the technical system for forest fire early detection Feasibility Study was cancelled because satelite servery would be more feasible than thermo camera servey HHHHH Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of the Dept for Organization and Internal Cooperation 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of the Dept for Organization and Internal Cooperation 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Planning 2 Head of the Dept for Organization and Internal Cooperation 1 Head of the Dept for Research Analysis Assessment amp Strategic Plarming 2 Head of the Dept for International Cooperation 1 7 Hoki workshops on forest fire risk assessment Develop sustainable coordination mechanism of CMC and relevant mstitutions through identifymg problems about information
135. loid ayy Buunp WSL eziueBuQ rzz dl OO s6uneejyy dnoJs uonguip1002 eojuyoa 1 eziueDuo j eoipouod uondope 10J sanuouine 1UBAS S eu o uoissiuqns Jo s juoyeziueblo 3 q suodsas ou Ag peJedud yeap jeuy ay ur pajdeose yep eula DU 1 dgooB 9 ssnosip 0 dOUSAJOM e DIOH mr rr LAA A es RE NE ASAS EA Sel suoyezuebio ejqisuodso ey Aq uoneuruexe 10 paonpold yesp epi ay uo suoHsabbnsysjuawwog 9004 Jo pe8H s uoneziuebJo dSVVd JO pesH eigqisuodsai ay Aq pajedald s yeJp Er ul Sy ssnosip 0j dousxo e DIOH sJuonezwebio ejgisuodsas eui Aq s yep jen y jo uonesedasd 10j paiijuepi SUONENJIPOW Jessedan JOC jo PP9H dsvvd JO peaH yep jenu ay asedajd suonnjnsur dousxo M Jo syns y uo peseg oja syooqe nu Bunsixa ay 0 suoneouyipouJ f esseoeu 12 AluSDI ol doysyiom e DIOH Je G Old eseusder Dee efo1a uosied siqisucdsey euguen synduy 10feW 1000 Jee S9DIADOV SOEN 0 KLOZAS L 9 VISA Od erp PP y xouuy 4 65 P 991IUJUU0O buusslS 9S Z UU9 SAS JEA JEOSY UEIUODSOEIW au YM SIYOJBU uou jequieseg Menuer
136. m January 2013 part of information contained the forest fire risk assessment tools of the integrated GIS is published at CMCS website for utilization by other relevant institutions In lt gt e ta E 2a Information and technologies on prevention and early warning of forest fires will be shared by CMC and domestic relevant institutions e 2b Public awareness on prevention and early warning of forest fire is raised at some model areas of this project e 2 e SKY GIS gt e e PO GIS 7 gt 73
137. nIBA S910J Aq 991 pejuesosd ajqe pab euwep e jo uoyejuasald pue uonejedeJg ucolasiduuoo SDUO d3N oy 102 980 Aq 921 0 pejueseJd ejqe pajesBajuj uonea46931u A mmm rr m mm A Er AAA EE EE Aa GA APA EE EE E EE ER ER A A A A rr de 91qe uoisseuddns jo uonej6eju uo UDISSD jueureAo1duir WsAg 402 unf Aq pejajdwoo ubisaq dsvvd jo PeaH DO JO pes uonoass uongJedo uonejuesaud pue ajqe 924nos9J uoisseJddns SAWN so uoie153 u RA 900 jo peeH dSvva Jo pea dew Aen 3 dew Uolelea5eA 1s910J Q dew 102 Ayes jods jou dew sseu up dSVVC Jo peaH Aq 921 0 pajuasasd dey uonejeBoeA 3S 7402 28g Aq padojanap dey dew sseu lp uonejebaA e JO JO pesH VO dSvvq Jo pea sdeu Jayjo jo UOHB USS9Jd pue UO 1BJBdGJd st je Ken YUB INSUOD e20 dSvvG jo PeaH e SSJILULUOS PWS Aq 9091 0 pajuasasd day q dew MAS peleJqlleo ou jo uongjussslg 1 Oe A AT TTT POPOL ETAT AERTS juejnsuoo 2907 s g p1005 31 v9 dSVVO jo Don Pr0Z 999 49 uogejuasa1id 40 pedojaAep deui ui UOIJBJdIIEO 9 skemipenie ee Wd 4 d O II MTM YD Yadxa S Buniaur Joy 1502 ee le SA AA SA AAA KAA S USLULUOD 40 S1343 91 1194 MM 941 JO uongjuesaSJg MA UU ee A A LA a a A a lo A an a eee ee ee ee ee eee ee ee ee eee ee ee Teese 0 pejueseid 40A
138. ng of forest fire 3 The Outputs 1 Output I National system for forest fire risk assessment is developed 2 Output2 National coordination mechanism of information sharing and cooperation among domestic relevant institutions for prevention and early warning of forest fire is reinforced 3 Review of the latest PDM For review evaluation of a technical cooperation of JICA Project Design Matrix 46 00002 hereinafter referred to as PDM and Plan of Operations hereinafter referred to as PO are used as essential documents Prior to the start of the review the Team reviewed the initial and current PDM and agreed to prepare a PDM for evaluation PDME Annex 1 as a basis of the review The PDME was prepared by the Team through consultation with Macedonian project personnel and Japanese experts The current PO is also attached as Annex 2 Methodology of Review 4 1 Data Collection Method The Team made interviews with the Project Personnel and the Japanese experts engaged in the Project The Team also collected information through questionnaires from the concerned personnel The team also conducted field survey at 9 November 2012 4 2 Items of Analyses 1 Accomplishment of the Project The accomplishment of the Project was measured in terms of the Inputs the Outputs and the Project Purpose in comparison with the Objectively Verifiable Indicators of PDM as well as the plan delineated in the R D 2 Im
139. ntion and early warning of forest fires gt based on data information from e CMC gt e 2 By the Project end information contained in forest fire risk assessment tools of the integrated GIS at CMC is updated with pre determined frequency for transmission to the relevant institutions e 3 By the Project end data information from CMC based on the integrated GIS is utilized by the domestic relevant institutions for prevention and early warning of forest fire 2 gt gt e 2 National coordination mechanism will be monitored and updated if necessary 2 gt lt gt e 1 By the Project end le 2 modifications in the existing e government procedures 2 necessary to fit the integrated GIS 69 framework the in legislative by adopted authorities relevant e CMC
140. olved in utilization of MKFFIS including MAFWE and PEMF should take necessary actions as planed in PO ver4 to modify the rule books and governmental procedures to fit MKFFIS into national legislative framework 1 4 Acceleration of progress of the project Due to expansion of contents in MKFFIS according to endorsed methodology approved by SC necessary input for the project has increased but currently input of experts remain as original PO In order to achieve the project purpose by the project end it is recommended that additional input including local consultants and short term experts be provided appropriately Expected expertise 1s as follows A System Development Management B Training Plan Creation training materials data input interpretation of data information system administration C Training Implementation 1 5 Finalization of user range of products in the system 52 00002 Up to now information user of products of the system has not been determined yet For completion of development of MKFFIS it is necessary to finalize range of information users principal information users and other relevant institutions with range of access rights for the products in the system how to access to the system objectives of access as mentioned in PDM ver2 by March 2013 1 6 Information sharing and coordination among CMC and relevant institutions Hereafter toward the end of development MKFFIS it is necessary for mor
141. operation manuals after the training Various training materials will be created in the project it is recommended that the training materials should not be made only for training use but also utilized as manuals hand books for post training 1 11 Framework of National system for forest fire risk assessment Framework of National system for forest fire risk assessment was described as attached 9 53 and it is recommended that the framework to be shared among CMC and relevant institutions better understanding through SC 2 Recommendations for sustainability of the project result after the project end 2 1 Sustainability of the system To secure the sustainability of National system for forest fire risk assessment it is necessary to improve the capacity of staf s of CMC and relevant institutions for system administration and utilization of system products after the project end It is recommended that CMC and relevant institutions to allocate necessary budget to provide continuous trainings for staffs and to maintain the system including equipment such as AWS provided for relevant institutions by the project 2 2 Technical level coordination meeting for post project period It is recommended that a technical level coordination meeting on prevention and early warning to be formulated by the project end to secure the sustainability of the project result for post project period End of Document 10 54 00002 OS e
142. p sy AQ pezi nn str SID paleJ6alul eu uo paseg DNI woy uoneuuojurejep pus joefojg eui Ag suonnjinsul JULAI SU 0 UOISSIUISUEN 10 DINO 18 SIO payeuBajzut au Jo SIOO1 qjuetussass ysy asy sao ui peurejuoo uometulojur pua yalosy ayy Ag sanuotgne jueaajas ay Aq pajdope aye Momawey oAne si6Go ul ele paeau eu yy 0 lesse9au sounpacold juSuuulSAOb Bursixo eu ui suoneoyipoui pua joefojg au Ag p32NP9J aq IM 9A9 SAISSEUU SOLOS JEU AY JSAJO JO 9jE J jejenbepe pue pduuoud sow suwoosq Jm UslSAS ena he SISuO ou sapun SUODDODSUI 01 DID Woy DSDIAOJd uoneuuojur ejeq DS9JOJUIS Si 93 S90 JO BUIUJEM Aveo pue UOI1USAg d JO suonnjnsul 1UEASIS onsswop Buoue uoneadooo pue Buueus uoneuuojur Jo uisiueuoour uOnPurpJoc9 BUOI eN Z pado 9Aap SI SID paeau ou Buisn 1U9UJSSgSSB II YSU 644 3590 10 ulojs s IEUOHBN L sindmo P9ueujBueJS SI wey 6ungeulpJooo pue 211 15940 Jo DUIUJBA Auge pue uoguaAaJd 40 11 SUORNINSUI UBAS 9J OHSSUUOD 0 uoneuuojul BunyuIsuen 103 OWO Jo Aioedeo ay ssoding jo8loJd ay 18910 jo Burusem pea pue 1 uonueAeud J0 yoedes 121905 eu Buiuauibuajis Aq paonpal ae 9J S940 SAISSBUJ JO SIDUALINIDO JUL 205 TRIAD 55 DINO 10 Saua euogeu pue sJouenbpeeu JO 31141 S9J0J BUIDnISUI Ster jo BUuOlUOUU pue BODEN Hes UOHUSASJC JO 36 EIS ul jeuuosJed waeren id JOHO l39uvl eldodS 3LIS LOArONd ONO Sju3O JusWabeuRW SISUO ADNIOV SNILN
143. peSJDB ayy 0 Burp1oooe Burwiem Apea pue uogueAeJd ul uonezijmn JO suonninsur asn IEdiould out 0 a gerieAe SI SIS palEJ6slul au JO SIOO1 jus ulssosse YSU asy 1S910J JU ui peurejuoo uoneuuojur Loz enue wold 9L L0Z UOJE Aq SIOO1 JnOj Jeujo ay pue S 00 jJuaussasse YSU 2414 19910 y 1514 Y JO uonejeJdrejui se pam se SIH poyeubojur y jo uogezijn Jo pue uogedstulupe ut D9HIB ae Yda Woy X 3AMVIN woud X SINS Woy X suonninsui sasn uoneuuojur Jediouud y Jo so2yjo IEUOI69 pue OH woy SJ99 0 X pue DINO leuo pue DH woy s19919JO X JSB9I Je EL0Z YoueW Ag PL eLoz Jaquasag Aq palojs aje s s910J Jo 9506 BuusAo2 ee enjBA js210 poBewep Se IISA Se eluopade jo pue IE DUgAOO e qe 924n0soJ uoisseJddns pue dew JAA 7971 3914 JOUJO out pue SID paeba SU Ul D9JO1S aie eiuopooe A ui SIS3JOJ JO OG Buue oo deu uojsiu asy pue dew uonej959A S910j se ISA se BIUOPIIEIA jo pugi je Suusaoo dew sseu u p uonejeBaA pue dew zods joy eu sjoo jusuJssasse YSU 75940 INO z10z 1equieoeQg Ag 34 SID p3 2 63 u1 y UI paJ0js si jeur 04p H pue JIN3d Aq papi oud uonnjosaiJ jeneds euun peuruusjep e1d UJIM JUSUISSISSE YSU asy 18910 JO peuinbaJ ejep ay Jo Ie gLoz Jenuef tuo q Lien SID pabaur ee Loz Jaquisssg Aq peAoudu si pue 118 elen pajelba u 91 j efo1g 24 Aq pedojo ep ABoJopoujeui jusudssesse YSU atu uo peseq paoJojure1 SI SID paLa ZLOZ saquiaseq Ag BL 911 15910J JO DUiuJBA Ayes pue uonuaAeJd JO suonninsur jue o a4 ONSSWO
144. plementation Process The implementation process of the Project was reviewed to see if the Activities have been implemented according to the schedule delineated in the latest PO and to see if the Project has been managed properly as well as to identify obstacles and or facilitating factors that have affected the implementation process 3 Evaluation based on the Five Evaluation Criteria a Relevance Relevance of the Project was reviewed to see the validity of the Project Purpose and the Overall Goal in connection with the needs of the beneficiaries and policies of Macedonia and Japan b Effectiveness Effectiveness was analyzed by evaluating the extent to which the Project has achieved and contributed to the beneficiaries c Efficiency Efficiency of the Project implementation was analyzed focusing on the relationship between the Outputs and Inputs in terms of timing quality and quantity d Impacts Impacts of the Project were forecasted by referring to positive and negative impacts caused by the Project e Sustainability Sustainability of the Project was analyzed in institutional financial and technical aspects by examining the extent to which the achievement of the Project would be sustained and or expanded after the Project is completed 5 Accomplishment and Implementation Process of the Project 5 1 Accomplishment of the Project 1 Inputs Summary of Inputs is shown in the tables below Table 1 Summary of Macedonian Input
145. r 2013 2012 FE 5 HO SC GIS 2 8 GIS e gt e 8 7 e PO GIS 2 4 3 2
146. risk assessment tools is expected to be made available to other relevant institutions at CMC s website by April 2013 Achievement is delayed for 1 3 months mainly because the contents of MKFFIS including risk assessment tools and the required data have been expanded in order to align with the forest fire risk assessment methodology developed by the Project 00002 Little progress has been made towards production of Output 2 mainly because 1 both Japanese and Macedonian sides are occupied with the expanded contents of the MKFFIS and 11 some activities have been postponed till the first version of MKFFIS becomes operational in April 2013 3 Project Purpose The review team finds it too early to assess the achievement level and or likelihood of achievement the Indicator 5 2 Implementation Process of the Project Overall the Project has been proceeding well The Project has been implemented by CMC in close collaboration of the relevant institutions i e members of the Technical Coordination Group TCG Cooperative relations between Macedonian and Japanese sides have been built up Initiative and commitment of the Director of CMC as Project Director and chairman of the SC as well as motivation and diligence of the Project Personnel have been identified as the factors that have facilitated the implementation process Although the Project has been proceeding well the PDM as well as the PO was found not to be detailed enough as a manag
147. s Allocation of Management personnel 2 Allocation of Necessary budget has Project persons local cost been allocated Personnel Project staff 8 persons Table 2 Summary of Japanese Inputs Dispatch of Long term Expert 2 Provision of 47 5 million yen Experts persons Equipment as of November Short term Expert 7 2012 persons Project 3 persons Disbursement of 10 million yen Personnnel local cost as of September Trained in Japan 2012 2 Outputs Output 1 Output 1 has been partly achieved The first version of the integrated GIS called MKFFIS Macedonian Forest Fire Information System is expected to be developed by February 2013 based on the forest fire risk assessment methodology endorsed by the Steering Committee SC of the Project Part of the data required for forest fire risk assessment has been stored in MKFFIS already and all the required data with pre determined time spatial resolution is expected to be stored from February 2013 Four forest fire risk assessment tools i e hot spot map vegetation dryness map forest vegetation map and fire history map are expected to be developed and stored in MKFFIS by February 2013 Information contained in forest fire risk assessment tools is expected to be made available to the principal user institutions targeted by the Project including PEMF MAFWE and DPR through MKFFIS according to the agreed access rights by April 2013 Information contained in part of forest fire
148. s i e X X of the integrated GIS is published at CMC s website for utilization by other relevant institutions 11 79 AO E PDM e PO PO ver4 e 1d 1f E i Ai CERE Bh 7j ik PDM e 1e 3x Principal information HEAT users e Note for Indicator 1d Target number X shall be specified targeted by by December 2012 in consultation with TCG for approval the Project by the subsequent SC are the e Note for Indicator 1f Forest fire risk assessment tools relevant that shall be published through internet shall be identified institutions through consultation with TCG by March 2013 Name of to which tools to be published X shall be specified in the equipment Indicator accordingly and modification shall be proposed for to the subsequent SC for approval information users are provided i e PEM
149. s ue eiuopeoeyy UI sjs810j JO 06 DuuoAoo dew IO1SIU ay pue dew uorejeDaA 45910 SE aw SB ejuopaoeyy jo pue je BuusAo2 dew sseu up uonejeDaa pue dew zods jou eu SIOO1 1USUJSS9SSB YSU js9J0J INO ELO Menga Ag 91 SID pe1e153jul 34 ur DSJO1S pue p3A19994 SI eur o p H pue HN Aq papiaoid uonnjosa jeneds eunm peuruuejep eJd uy jueuissasse YSU a 159 03 J0J pauinba ejep oy jo 112 e roc qoJejy WOJY q z19 SID p9jEJBSjul ae LOZ Jequie28q Aq peA o1dui si pue L129A SID pelel6s ul au f ayy Aq padojsasp Abojopoujaw jueuissasse ysu ayy uo peseq padojaaap siele pajelbajul Loz Jengo Ag BL 9414 35340 40 BuiuJeMw Ayes pue uonueAasJd JO suonninsui uUBAaleJ 9nseuiop ay Aq pazi nn s SID payeuBaju ayy uo paseq OO Woy uogeuuojuryeyep pua joofol y eu Ag e suonnigsur UBA9IS SU oj VOISSILISUEA 10 Aouanbay peuiuusjep 91d y Mm pajepdn st ONO 1e SID pajesBa u eu jo s oo jueuissesse ysu asy 38910 ui peurejuoo uoneuuojul Dua yololg eu g Z Senuoune jueaaja ayy Aq paydope ase oma wey gAHBISIB3j UI S S pejyeJ6ejur ayy yy 0 Ajesseoeu seinpeosoud juauuulgAO6 Bunsixe oy ui suogeoyipow pus yoololg au Ag L 953 SAISSBUU nawo Sa JO uoiiujjep Butpnjour 7205 IEJSAO SU 16 SIOJESIPUNELOZ Yolen AG SJO e2Ipu JO OJON panpa aq IIM SAS SAISSBUI SIYIBAJ Jey Gay 199J0J JO BEY 7 Ajejenbepe pue pdwold esow SUIBSBH wajsAs masia zb SISUD y Japun suonnysul 0 ONO Wo Doping uoneuuojuyejeq padojulas
150. submitted to the subsequent SC for approval 78 EK 1 e 1a By December 2012 February 2013 integrated GIS is reinforced based on the risk assessment methodology developed by the Project i e integrated GIS ver1 and is improved by December 2013 1 e integrated GIS ver2 e 1D From January 2013 March 2013 all of the data required for forest fire risk assessment with pre determined time spatial resolution provided by PEMF and Hydro met is stored in the integrated GIS e 1c By December 2012 February 2013 four forest risk assessment tools i e hot spot map and vegetation dryness map covering all land of Macedonia as well as forest vegetation map and fire history map covering 90 96 of forests in Macedonia are stored in the integrated GIS and the other three i e FWI map and suppression resource table covering all land of Macedonia as well as damaged forest value table covering 90 of forests are stored by December 2013 e 1e By January March 2013 information contained in the forest fire risk assessment tools of the integrated GIS is available to the principal user institutions v for utilization in prevention and early warning according to the agreed access rights e 181 1f By January April 2013 part of information contained in the forest fire risk assessment tool
151. ture Forestry and PO D e Q O MAFWE Water Economy Macedonian Forest Fire Information System AT DA saa ETT Project Design Matrix ZaSS ES KEF TA ag PUDA Project Design Matrix for Evaluation e eer PEMF Public Enterprise Macedonian Forests v RG reit Plan of Operations RCMC Regional Crisis Management Center Record of Discussion TCGM Technical Coordination Group Meeting MKFFIS e O gt C e PDME United Nations Development Programme 1 ERR 2 9200 JICA F AU HARREGO 2011 4E 5 10 H 201445 H 9 CMC H 1 1 HAB v PEE STATES AE
152. u Aq peaoidde Og au 0 BUiDJOQOE Dames S SUOIHTNHSUI 1UEA9ISJ q SooJnOSS Jayjo pue 3eBpnq juemuins uongooj e uoneJjadooo AIBSS9o9N Posealoop pueoyiuBis aq 300 J DNO Jo I9uuoSJgd jo Jequunu pue ye6png L n290 10U JM J9U1ESA SuJgJiX9 pajoadxauf z San 15310 surebe otjod qusureDeueul SISU Ul oBueuo jueoyiubis ou us IMA Seu IL JO AA 92392 syesp euy au JO LJOISS UIQNS joajeq ez 5UUO1IUOUU ul91SAS JO p1098M 1 al poaa 6ululeJL PL BULOHUOLI wajsAs jo plo933 3 Gl LUaJS S Sly jo Dodal uonoedsu el opp Duuouuou wajsAs jo piooay c uondope jo aep eu Jo Sp1029M giuope2elN Jo jueumusAoD au jo pue ONO jo Sjusunoop pue syoda seuijepinD FS S19qWIW 9 1 Aq uongoe JO SOWOY Pa399 9S JO uonoipsunf uii Seale 3pOU 9UJOS ui Guuojiuoui uo paseq SDEUI ae gjo PalEJ6alul ayy Buisn uoneuipjiooo jo puawaaosdw JO SUOHBDUSUIUUOOSJ pua 3osfoJd SU A oz poued joefoud 1sod y Jo pezijeuuo ei Buiwem Aes pue uonusAsJud uo Bujssw uoneuipio09 1SASFIBOIUMQ9 e pua joelo d au Ag qz uondope JO senuoune Auoune 3ueA9 a1 BU oj suoneziueBJo SIdISUOdSSJ ay Aq payiuuqns 9JB SI SSJnD990Jd JuSUuUJSAOb Bunsixe ay jo suoneouyipoul Ajesseoau Jos yep euy 24 zLOz Jequie2eq Ag ez SUONMASU 1UEAS19 JAO Ad uogezinn 10 ISAAA SOWD je peusi qnd si ele payes6aju ay jo soo 1 U9UJSSSSSB YSU oul 159 03 Sy UI paulejuos uoneuuojul jo Wed eroz Aienuep woy LL s1y6u ssoooe
153. y and 4 To make recommendations on the Project regarding the measures to be taken for the remaining period as well as the post project period 1 2 Members of the Joint Review Team 1 The J apanese Team Team Leader Mr Hirohito Takata Director Forestry and Nature Conservation Division 2 Forestry and Nature Conservation Group Global Environment Department JICA Member Mr Shinskau Fukazawa Deputy Director Forestry and Nature Evaluation Planning Conservation Division 2 Forestry and Nature Conservation Group Global Environment Department JICA Member Mr Kazutaka Okamoto International Forestry Cooperation Office Prevention of Forest Forestry Agency Ministry of Agriculture Fire Forestry and Fisheries Macedonian pum Ms Sofche Krstikj Head of TEE ET Bilateral and Multilateral Assistance Secretariat for Representative by European A ffairs Secretariat for European Affairs 1 3 Schedule of the Joint Review The review of the Project was conducted from October 29 to November 16 2012 The Joint Review Team hereinafter referred to as the Team collected the information through questionnaires and a series of interviews with Project Personnel and Japanese experts The Team also conducted a field observation in eastern part of Macedonia on November 9 Based on the results of the review the Team prepared a draft report and finalized it through a series of discussions on November 13 to 15 2012 2 Outline of
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