Report - Water Sustainability Program
Contents
1. nnne eene 12 2 2 Groundwater Visualization Software Manual essen 13 Ann ee 14 3 1 NOW 14 2 2 Facilitation of Groundwater Modeling DISCUSSIONS 15 o Future Work Integration of Tree Ring Information 16 17 APPONI AAA PP ea tendons savant SIUE ee 28 1 Introduction 1 1 Project Description As research on climate variability and climate change continues to expand cities and states in the western United States are setting guidelines for drought preparedness And although the scientific community agrees that human induced climate change is occurring tree ring research shows that in the last 780 years there have been 13 droughts in the Colorado River basin lasting from 15 to greater than 20 years There is potential for severe drought in the 21 century on the Colorado River and the Salt and Verde River watersheds whether due to normal climatic variations indicated in the tree ring record or due to human induced climate change Further central Arizona has seen water shortages on the Colorado Salt and Verde Rivers in the last 9 years It is essential for the long term sustainability of municipalities and Indian communities in Arizona to address strategies for collective management of surface water and groundwater in the2. 73 1 190 0 160 1649 1717 89 326 used for 184777 2354110 1 320 0 243 1651 283484 428 1652 17646 93 2 871 0 652 1652 140952 251 analyzing the 12641 67 9 674 0 897 1653 91495 116 1650 23284 62 1 365 0 267 1650 E 1976 37 363 1654 5110 52 222 500 0 996 1654 8 503 33 22 data and 1655 27720 94 1 040 0 038 1655 1692 76 321 1656 21186 05 1 698 0 411 1656 1620 74 304 selecting 1657 8 24088 94 1 264 0 209 1657 903 16 114 1658 17257 24 3 156 0 683 1658 1037 80 152 1659 20493 09 1 878 0 467 1659 1356 00 234 sequences 1660 22874 49 1 426 0 299 1660 2029 66 372 1661 20728 99 1 809 0 447 1661 1895 67 1662 17965 35 2 713 0 631 1662 1216 38 1663 17130 55 3 346 0 701 1663 1390 97 245 1664 13046 53 8 558 0 883 1664 944 79 123 1665 18783 42 2 354 0 575 1665 1524 60 288 1666 14469 66 6 014 0 834 1666 845 74 1667 10840 19 14833 0 0 933 1667 732 93 1668 13261 72 7 946 0 874 1668 644 71 1669 21069 88 1 725 0 420 1669 840 23 1670 12753 19 9 082 0 890 1670 477 50 1671 14552 04 5 933 0 831 1671 1377 62 1672 23366 90 1 344 0 256 1672 1518 59 1673 25197 15 1 168 0 144 1673 1495 31 1674 23019 89 1 408 0 290 1674 1398 53 1675 17394 45 3 090 0 676 1112 52 1676 22915 91 1 422 0 297 707 25 1677 21695 46 1 618 0 382 1607 24 18780 24638 13 1 213 0175 1233 59 1679 22020 52 1545 0 0 353 1138 43 1620 28327 11 1 030 0 029 2877 31 1681 23310 67 1 357 0 263 2237 87 25 FINAL RECONSTRUCTED FLOW SORTED BY MAGNITUDE lowest gt highest Rank
3. LL years ot re a m l OW 1573 sn 15898 in both the SVT and UCRB and 4 lt 10th Percentile years in the SVT Seq u e n ce 1574 16327 1575 a 2955 Spreadsheet 1577 25409 m 1578 23285 4000 1 S V Tflow INES showing a S500 A ee 3000 sequence selectio along with 1500 mul i reconstructed PD S V T Discharge cfs 1586 22235 500 1587 19312 o maps for the 7 year 1560 20264 ua sm pequence 1590 9866 1591 11769 1592 12737 1593 18477 1594 22944 1595 22407 1596 23726 1597 15777 1598 9479 1599 22235 1600 9919 1601 20392 6543210123456 1602 20836 PDSI A 4 A 4 b a c 20 yr Scenario 24 RANK RECURRENCE INTERVAL 8 PROBABILITIES OF FLOW FINAL RECONSTRUCTED FLOW TIME SERIES in cfs Rank 1 driest year 444 wettest year UPPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN at Lees Ferry SALT VERDE TONTO RIVER BASIN water yr UCRB Q cfs rankt RI 1 P water yr Qnt SVT Q cfs rank 1640 95 25113 56 377 1 180 0 153 HH 1640 2366 54 407 1641 20093 47 220 2 023 0 506 1641 1956 70 360 1642 21896 08 285 1 561 0 360 1642 1509 09 277 1643 22686 10 1 454 0 312 1643 1339 20 228 1644 20223 18 1 987 0 497 1644 2087 03 377 1645 15115 95 5 057 0 802 1645 1150 97 190 1646 14710 00 5 855 0 829 1646 1414 62 255 A sample of data 1647 24041 50 1 271 0213 1647 1928 99 357 1648 MN 15188 17 4 944 0 798 1642 MJ 553 03 30 visualization 16404 24971
4. Survey Seamless website http seamless usgs gov as a digital elevation model DEM It has been converted into an OpenSceneGraph file here Subsurface Bedrock Included in this version of Nimue is the subsurface bedrock topography expressing the basin and range topography of the Salt River Valley The data originates from Oppenheimer and Sumner 1980 This data was processed using ArcMap and ArcScene to convert vector contours into a raster surface and then merged to the surface bedrock from the USGS DEM by Jessica Block It was then converted into an OpenSceneGraph file Imagery Included in this version of Nimue is the 2005 LANDSAT imagery from NASA s Onearth website http onearth jpl nasa gov It is being used as the texture for the terrain listed above Overlaying the imagery are the major highways through central Arizona ndi m A A TEN Surface Water Canals One of the key components to water use is water delivery infrastructure Nimue includes vector line files for the surface water canals of the Salt River Valley including the canals for CAP and SRP This data comes from the Arizona Water Banking Authority GIS Database for Phoenix and Tucson Active Management Areas Recharge Locations This point data set includes most of the recharge locations in the Salt River Valley This data set also comes from the Arizona Water Banking Authority GIS Database for Phoenix and Tucson Activ
5. Zoom in w Zoom 2 5 key plus left mouse button Push the s key then click and hold the left mouse button to define a new center location for the rotation axis Press f to return to the default center location Y 5 V 7 XA IMPORTING DATA From the file menu you can open existing Nimue projects or create a new project by choosing File New MODFLOW Document Of File Scene Document Nimue models are built from a combination of different MODFLOW data sets These include Discretization files dis Recharge file rch Basic Package files ba6 Auxiliary Data Head Level Output files GIS Coordinate System Descriptions of each of these file types can be found in Chapter 4 Input Files MODULES MODFLOW Layers Table of Contents The MODFLOW Layers window allows you to toggle which data sets to view on and off Top level layers can be expanded to view their contents by clicking on the box Each sub layer can be turned on or off by clicking the box beside the name MODFLOW Properties Vertical Scale Set the vertical scale for terrain in your model Units correspond to settings found in the loaded MODFLOW data Scale is from 1 99 MODFLOW Animation The animation module serves as the controls for animation sets found in the loaded MODFLOW data The buttons function much like a video player Time steps for animations can be seen at the bottom
6. by water resource managers Additionally Nimue 1s open source free and compatible with the DT such that groundwater data can be viewed immersively in 3D as well as on a user s desktop Open source software allows the executable and its source code to be freely distributed allowing outside developers to update and enhance the existing code to meet their own needs This promotes future tailored development for visualization software that can view additional datasets rus end ca asia BER File view Cameras Help 11 5 B Cross Section Tool Bx Clear Axis X Axis Axis O Y Axis O Y Axis O Z Axis O 2 Axis ZU Eg 376288 00 Modflow Layers Bx Layer 1 Layer 2 Layer 3 Basin Opaque E Basin Transparent E Terrain Opaque Terrain Transparent Modflow Intersection A class Modflow Attributes AuxiliaryData Terrain Transparent Modflow Properties B Vertical Scale 3 00 Cell Margin 500 00 El Modflow Animation 60000 mise Text Output Bx Progress Bars Screenshot B x JENY ESSC LESNO p AUF IVECO COITO yn TOC vane y rerr am rcoripirece TA 1 E Reading C Documents and Frame Scale 1 00 Settings Jessica Desktop 4wI_wetdirt data common Phoenix Valley TerrainComplete ive 14 203 seconds Time to open C
7. left of the scene window 0 0 60 0 STEP BACKWARD STOP STEP FORWARD REVERSE PLAY Cross Section Tool This function allows you to slice your models to create cross sectional views of your data Choose the axis from which you want to cut the model using the radio buttons then enter the appropriate UTM coordinate in the box or move the slide bar to create a rectangular plane that intersects the model Modflow Layers mx 1 E Cell Boundary Bottom East West North South Starting Head Head Levels m Layer 2 Cell Boundary C Starting Head Head Levels Layer Basin Opaque Basin Transparent Terrain Opaque _ Terrain Transparent Modflow Properties Vertical Scale Seconds Step Cross Section Tool Axis C X Axis O Y Axis C Z Axis LE Screen shot Screenshot_ 8x This function will create a screen capture of the scene Once you click Screenshot a window will pop up that allows you to create a file name and navigate to the correct directory where you can save the document You can save screen captures as bmp jpeg and png files Ihe Frame Scale option will multiply the resolution by the selected factor While you can choose a scale from 1 99 images scaled larger than a factor of 10 may be too large to export Progress Bars Pr
8. of camera views Play Forward will run from Camera 0 to the end of your list in order Play Backward When clicking on Play Backward the scene will animate by flying from camera to camera in your set of camera views Play Backward will run from your last Camera to Camera 0 in reverse order Stop The Stop menu will only be active when Nimue is in Play Forward or Play Backward It will stop the flight between camera views at any time 12 Degree Degree determines the nature of flight between cameras when using Play Forward or Play Backward For example 1 linear flight path 3 cubic flight path Experiment with these options to find your preference for flying between cameras Step Size This function controls the speed of flight between cameras The numbers represent relative speeds of flight between one camera to another Camera Paths If you have opened more than one cpf document you can switch between them by checking them in the Camera Paths drop down HELP The Help menu contains a link that will open this user manual 14 Model Data GEOGRAPHIC DATA The follow paragraphs identify and describe the MODFLOW file types recognized by Nimue Nimue was developed to accept MODFLOW 2000 free format files Other file formats are not recommended Terrain Included in this version of Nimue is the topographic of the Salt River Valley in central Arizona originally obtained from the US Geological
9. recharge ephemeral stream recharge and underflow into the model along some of the model boundaries This file is known by Nimue as the pumping and is added to the MODFLOW layers view by listing in each layer that has associated It is displayed in Nimue by vertical cylinders Water being taken out of the ground is represented by cylinders pointing up Recharge is represented by cylinders pointing below the land surface When importing a pumping file the user may choose which color to display the cylinders Example recharge and well data The purple cylinders indicate well data pumpage volume and the yellow cylinders indicate recharge volume Recharge File SRV model extension rch The Recharge file applies aerial recharge to cells within the model The source of aerial recharge includes natural recharge mountain front and stream infiltration and incidental recharge agricultural artificial and urban Recharge cylinders are represented by cylinders pointing below the land surface REFERENCES Corkhill and S Corell A Regional Groundwater Flow Model of the Salt River Valley Phase I Phoenix Active Management Area Hydrogeologic Framework and Basic Data Report Modeling Report No 6 Arizona Department of Water Resources 1993 Corell S W and E F Corkhill A Regional Groundwater Flow Model of the Salt River Valley Phase II Phoenix Active Management Area Numerical Model Calibration and Recommendations Mode
10. 1 driest year 444 wettest year UPPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN at Lees Ferry SALT VERDE TONTO RIVER BASIN water yr Qnt UCRB Q cfs rank 7 RI 1 P water yr Qnt SVT icfs rank f 1685 4344 24 445 000 0 998 1748 252 20 1654 5110 52 222 500 0 996 1847 349 04 1542 5252 23 148 333 0 993 1904 358 73 1845 5331 27 111 250 0 991 1542 369 57 1532 5439 72 89 000 0 989 1818 390 85 1584 5478 70 74 167 0 987 1773 398 95 1902 5851 49 63 571 0 984 1861 402 71 1851 6278 93 55 625 0 982 1822 403 09 Another way of 1 7103 86 49 444 0 980 1735 409 12 kWh 1580 7318 60 44 500 0 978 1685 416 99 looking at the 1871 8147 17 40 455 0 975 1899 450 73 A 1735 8362 28 37 083 0 973 1951 451 47 reconstructio A 1879 8465 68 34 231 0 971 1729 456 56 data sorted by 1798 8809 75 31 786 0 969 1902 457 25 1847 9346 58 29 667 0 966 1752 461 00 magn itude 1598 9479 32 27 813 0 964 1573 465 80 1954 9636 30 26 176 0 962 1585 471 47 1590 9865 99 24 722 0 960 1600 477 13 1600 9918 93 23 421 0 957 1670 477 50 1607 10062 48 22 250 0 955 1728 481 65 1773 10093 45 21 190 0 953 1522 501 99 1824 10187 69 20 227 0 951 1654 503 33 1585 10259 44 19 348 0 948 1623 523 51 1748 10371 31 18 542 0 946 1819 529 26 1729 10441 82 17 800 0 944 1632 531 10 1861 10490 94 17 115 0 942 1900 531 80 1896 10545 53 16 481 0 939 1871 541 53 1686 10743 12 15 893 0 937 1959 545 33 1855 10768 92 15 345 0 935 1584 552 24 1667 10840 19 14 833 0 933 1648 553 03 1756 11152 62 14 355 0
11. 4 1931171 0 150724 1201 2492 994 1972 693 3150 526 1 848766 0 150724 data sets for all 1202 2076 889 16434312 2624 673 1 769458 0 150724 1203 1399 406 1107 3421 1768 501 1 597988 0 150724 watersheds 1204 1383 426 1094 6977 1748 307 1 593001 0 150724 1205 900 8669 712 85113 1138 472 1 406706 0 150724 1206 975 1585 771 63764 1232 358 1 44112 0 150724 1207 1411 424 1116 8525 1783 69 1 601703 0 150724 1208 1074 324 850 10649 1357 679 1 48318 0 150724 1209 1972 07 1560 4883 2492207 1 746967 0 150724 1647 115 1303 3529 2081 544 1 668769 0 150724 1591 841 1259 615 2011 692 1 653945 0 150724 1609 173 1273 3295 2033 595 1 658648 0 150724 1111 937 879 87006 1405 213 1 498125 0 150724 733 7904 580 6444 927 329 1 317617 0 150724 627 3665 49643169 792 8355 1 249566 0 150724 659 0989 521 54141 832 9375 1 270995 0 150724 515 7303 408 09463 651 7552 1 164468 0 150724 1174 175 929 11824 1483 866 1 521778 0 150724 1835 44 14523741 2319 541 1 715785 0 150724 1046 237 827 88198 1322 184 1 471675 0 150724 842 1526 666 39081 1064 272 1 377436 0 150724 1036 98 820 55636 1310 485 1 467815 0 150724 1403 972 1110 9552 1774 272 1 599403 0 150724 1232 737 975 45843 1557 874 1 542915 0 150724 1283 487 1015 6161 1622 009 1 560436 0 150724 1400 859 1108 4918 1770 338 1 598439 0 150724 403 7223 319 46324 510 2048 1 058128 0 150724 2750 667 2176 5881 3476 161 1 891483 0 150724 2112 355 1671 4951 2669 493 1 776812 0 150724 1659 213 1312 9264 2096 834 1 671947 0 150724 125
12. 7 178 994 79799 1588 761 1 551442 0 150724 2232 235 1766 3556 2820 991 1 800785 0 150724 838 6461 663 61608 1059 841 1 375624 0 150724 r Colorado Lees Salt Verde Tonto Gia Safford Green GreenRiverUT SanJuan Bluff Salt Tonto Verde 7 4 27 Appendix B 28 Nimue beta 3D MODFLOW VISUALIZER ARIZONA STATE LI DECISION lI HEATER FSU UNIVERSITY ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY IRA A FULTON SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTING Nimue 3D MODFLOW Visualizer Project Lead and Author Jessica Block Lead Developer and Author Dr Perry Miller Principal Investigator Dr R F Shangraw Technical Director Dr Daniel Stanzione Jr Software Engineer Adam Kuback Software Engineer Jeffrey Conner Editor Joseph Adams Decision Theater 21 E 6th St Suite 126 A Tempe AZ 85287 8409 This software was funded under the Arizona Water Institute Grant awarded November 2006 and by additional funding from the East Valley Water Forum Mesa Arizona Copyright 2008 Arizona State University Decision Theater Arizona State University High Performance Computing Center All rights reserved Redistribution and use in source and binary forms with or without modification are permitted provided that the following conditions are met Redistributions of source code must retain the above copyright notice this list of conditions and the following disclaimer Redistributions in binary form must reproduce the above copy
13. 900 yr cfs yr cfs Ending year of 11 year period UPPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN SALT VERDE TONTO RIVER BASIN a 11 yr SUSTAINED BELOW AVERAGE LOW FLOW WITH 5 LL years 1575 1585 A continuously dry 11 year low flow period containing 5 LL years in both the SVT and UCRB 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 S4V T Discharge cfs 1500 1000 0 T T T T T T T T T 1 1575 1576 1577 1578 1579 1580 1581 1582 1583 1584 1585 30 yr Sceriario Sequences 23 7 YR SCENARIO SEQUENCES RECONSTRUCTED FLOW TIME SERIES 1521 1964 LL and HH from SRP reconstructions 1521 1904 7 year moving average Rank 1 driestyear 444 wettest year Dorado Ferry T ee Fey 10th Percentile Reconstructed annual water year discharge lt 25th and gt 10th Percentile HH years high flow in both basins gt 25th and lt 75th Percentile LL years low flow in both basins 2 75th and 90th Percentile LH Low in UCRB High in SVT z 90th Percentile HL High in UCRB Low in SVT none Low on Cdorado R at Lees Ferry LOA 777777 pee Mean Dady Flow of Normal 5 5 1 1 179 1800 PPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN SALT VERDE TONTO RIVER BASIN Ending Year of Moung Average water Qnt UCRB rank water Qnt SVTQ rank yr Q cfs yr cfs 1569 21609 i 1570 24332 a 7 yr THE MOST EXTREME 7 YEAR LOW 1571 18799 FLOW RUN IN THE RECORD 1579 1585 1572 20631 A very dry 7 year low flow period containing 4
14. 930 1820 556 37 1959 11303 87 13 906 0 928 1684 564 67 1887 11368 20 13 485 0 926 1785 568 53 1545 11558 23 13 088 0 924 1842 573 82 1632 11580 02 12 714 0 921 1780 574 92 1591 11768 75 12 361 0 918 1583 588 20 1531 11770 96 12 027 0 917 1579 591 08 1736 11866 41 11 711 0 915 1829 593 00 26 A B C D ms G H Gage Salt Tonto Verde Rivers arithmetic sums of the flows at the individual gages Flow units for regression equation or transformed units log10 cms Year year of data water year Rec flow cfs reconstructed flow in cubic feet per second Lower 95 lower bound of 95 Cl on reconstruction based on root mean square error of cross validation Upper 95 upper bound of 95 Cl on reconstruction based on root mean square error of cross validation Obs flow cfs observed flow in cubic feet per second Rec flow trans reconstructed flow in transformed units or units of regression equation Streamfl OW Model number indicating subperiod model used for each year of reconstruction see appendix RMSEcv root mean square error of reconstruction as estimated from cross validation Obs_flow_trans observed flow in transformed units or units of predictand in regression equation NN reconstruction Year Rec flow Lower 95 Upper 95 Obs flow Rec flow Model RMSEcv Obs flow spreadsheet ts 98 1199 909 329 719 54713 1149 166 1 410766 0 150724 with annotated 41200 3013878 23848653 3808 79
15. CRB Low in SVT none D pr n co ctn ahun Mean D Flow of norm al E g 8 8 UPPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN SALT VERDE TONTO RIVER BASIN water Qnt Q rank 1 a 30 yr EXTREME SUSTAINED BELOW AVERAGE LOW FLOW FOR MOST OF 30 YEAR PERIOD 1566 1595 A very dry 30 year low flow period in both SVT UCRB with 8 LL years 5000 4500 4000 S V Tflow 3500 c7 lengtermmean 3000 2500 2000 V T Discharge cfs 1500 1000 500 IIIN 0 gt A A AAA 1565 1570 1575 1580 1585 1590 1595 21 otreamflow Sequence Spreadsheet showing a 20 yr sequence selection 4 A B C D E F G 1 20 YR SCENARIO SEQUENCES 2 RECONSTRUCTED FLOW TIME SERIES 1521 1964 Rank 1 7 driest year 444 wettest year e High on Chlorado R atLkes Ferry y High on SHV T EE a Lorca esse LowonCalorado R atlases Ferry LowonS4V T q 10th Percentile Reconstructed annual water year discharge 25th and gt 10th Percentile HH years high flow in both basins gt 25th and lt 75th Percentile LL years low flow in both basins 75th and lt 90th Percentile LH Low in UCRB High in SVT 90th Percentile HL High in UCRB Low in SVT none Mean Daily Flow of Normal UPPER COLORADO RIVER BASIN SALT VER
16. DE TONTO RIVER BASIN water Qnt UCRB 7 water Qnt SVTQ rank ps Year dk un yr cfs yr cfs 1656 21186 262 1656 1621 304 1657 24089 1657 903 114 AS _ 1657 24083 1657 E b 20 yr CLUSTERED SEQUENCE OF 5 LOW FLOW 1659 20493 1659 1356 YEARS WITHIN A BELOW AVERAGE DRY PERIOD 1660 1679 A very dry 20 year low flow period in both the SVT and UCRB containing a 5 year sustained extreme low flow episode in both SVT amp UCRB V T Discharge cfs 1665 1670 1675 7 yr Scenario Sequences LL HH Extreme Yrs Both Basi 22 otreamflow Sequence Spreadsheet showing an 11 yr sequence selection A B C D E F G H K 11 YR SCENARIO SEQUENCES Salt Verde Tonto 11 Year Running Mean RECONSTRUCTED FLOW TIME SERIES Long Term Mean 1199 1988 Rank 1 driest year 444 wettest year 1950s Low 8 5 T AA B A i lt 10th Percentile Reconstructed annual water year discharge SALT VERDE TONTO Reconstruction 25th and gt 10th Percentile years high flow in both basins M poene n E gt 25th and lt 75th Percentile LL years low flow in both basins i h ON Dm amp 75th and lt 90th Percentile LH Low in UCRB High in SVT Nn AS I i 90th Percentile HL High in UCRB Low in SVT none 1 IF 1 b water Qnt UCRB rank 7 water Qnt SVTQ rank 1500 1600 1700 1800 1
17. Documents and Settings Jessica Desktop AWI wetdirt data EVWF BaseCase EVWF BaseCase revised modflow T 2 Irfanview Screenshot of Nimue 12 The DT s visualization environment known as the drum 1s a politically neutral location for hosting water resource managers that are attempting to reach consensus on regional natural resource issues The benefit of Nimue is that it 1s easy for decision makers to review groundwater data in their own office and also view data using the same framework in stereo 3D in the DT when collaborating with other decision makers The principal features that set this software apart from other MODFLOW post processors are 1 the maximum leveraging of modern immersive 3D graphics capabilities 2 the ability to put the results in context by adding additional geospatial data to the scene 3 itis free and open source Other key features included in Nimue are Easy viewing and navigation in three dimensions of MODFLOW data Ability to import geographic data Animation feature runs through time steps of data Interactive cross section generation that cuts across data surfaces Convenient creation of 3D data fly through Quick export of images from viewer See CD and Appendix B User Manual for installation and operating instructions Consult the user manual to learn more about the MODFLOW file types and formats that can be read by Nimue 2 5 Groundwater Visualization Software Manual The use
18. Improved Tools for Drought Planning Final Report Authors Jessica Block Project Manager Co Investigator Decision Theater Dr R F Shangraw Principle Investigator Vice President for Research and Economic Affairs Dr Perry Miller Co Investigator High Performance Computing Joseph Adams Decision Theater Adam Kubach High Performance Computing Jeffrey Conner High Performance Computing Arizona State University Dr Katherine Hirschboeck Co Investigator Laboratory of Tree Ring Research University of Arizona Teresa Makinen Co Investigator East Valley Water Forum Copyright O 2008 llli DECISION THEATER ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY Wat ol er Visualizing Possibilities Realizing Solutions hr Tree Ring Research THE UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA For questions regarding this project contact Jessica Block Senior Research Scientist Jessica Block asu edu Decision Theater Arizona State University 480 727 9753 www decisiontheater org Table of Contents TA AP ______________ _ 3 E 4 1 1 Project DESC ee 4 1 2 OT Nee nee ue 4 1 3 Project Drought Scenario Planning 3 2 AAA m 7 2 YA 7 2 2 PO ct _____ _ _ 8 29 Guideline for Drought Condition Scenarios Generation 10 2 4 Groundwater Visualization
19. Nim File MM Cameras Help 29 Docking Windows gt Text Output Modfic Cross Ax v Show Axes O Seconds Step 10 2 Docked e Un docked ClipPlanes Modflow Layers Tabs nue Background gt Progress Bars Modes Layers Rendering Passes Modfiow v Render Loop Modflow Properties Polygons Shading gt Cross Section Tool Frame Dump Modflow Animation Docking Windows Menu NAVIGATION Mouse Controls Left mouse button Click and hold to rotate the entire model around a center axis Middle mouse button OR both mouse buttons Click and hold the middle mouse button or click and hold both the left and right buttons to grab and move the model along a single 1 5 OR axis VJ SN Key Commands Arrow Keys Rotates the scene 45 in the direction pressed Spacebar Resets the camera orientation to the default position X axis will move to a horizontal position The zoom level is not changed when spacebar is pushed F Returns model to default view Must be pressed once after loading new MODFLOW file to bring the model into view H Toggles the wire frame and shaded rendering settings together P Toggles the points rendering view on or off W Toggles the wire frame view mode on or off Right mouse button Click and hold then move mouse forward or backward to zoom in out 1 j
20. UP WIZARD The following steps will complete the Nimue installation on your computer i Nimue After the Visual C Runtime Libraries have been installed the Nimue Setup Wizard will open Click on Next to Welcome to the Nimue Setup Wizard continue NT UNES The installer will guide you through the steps required to install Nimue on your computer WARNING This computer program is protected by copyright law and international treaties Unauthorized duplication or distribution of this program or any portion of it may result in severe civil or criminal penalties and will be prosecuted to the maximum extent possible under the law Choose a location to install the program to The default Select Installation Folder location will install to your Program Files Click on Browse The installer will install Nimue to the following folder to change the install location To install in this folder click Next To install to a different folder enter it below or click Browse You can also choose which accounts on your computer can use Folder 1 4 44 Browse Nimue by switching the Everyone or Just Me option Install Nimue for yourself orfor anyone who uses this computer Everyone Justme Cancel lt Back i The final step is to choose Next when the Confirm Installation screen pops up Confirm Installation Th
21. agement plans The approach used was to extract a series of multiyear sequences of flow from long term tree ring reconstructions of streamflow These streamflow sequences can then be used as possible input into surface groundwater models to illustrate different modes or patterns of streamflow that have been experienced in the past projected scenarios or may be experienced in the future prospective scenarios via altered magnitudes frequency persistence or amplitude The website s framework organizes the information needed for this approach In addition to links and relevant background material on tree rings and reconstruction methods the website provides access to data spreadsheets descriptive statistics and visualizations of streamflow reconstructions for the Upper Colorado and Salt Verde Tonto River Basins NOTE The reconstructions were produced during an earlier project titled A Tree Ring Based Assessment of Synchronous Extreme Streamflow Episodes in the Upper Colorado amp Salt Verde Tonto River Basin 10 Seventeen multiyear sequences of past streamflow covering different time frames 30 year 20 year 11 year and 7 year were selected from the reconstruction data for possible use by water mangers in exploratory scenario development and planning for future drought conditions An effort was made to select sequences that represent the full range of past and possible future streamflow behaviors including severe and sustained l
22. an be seen while still being able to examine individual model cells The user friendly nature of the Nimue software affords EVWF the ability to create data for future presentations EVWF is comprised of a diverse group of water resource managers each water provider and agency needing to demonstrate different aspects of the scenario results They now can generate these views for themselves 15 3 3 Future Work Integration of Tree Ring Information The outline of tree ring scenario development generated in this project is the beginning of the practical use of this academic research by water resource managers It is a template that can now be expanded through future funding Although the EVWF drought scenario planning 1s a work in progress these collaborations will continue beyond the time span of this grant Additional in kind funds from the EVWF are reserved for the viewing and analysis of the drought scenarios within the DT using Nimue This project has successfully improved collaboration among universities agencies and water resource managers in Arizona Visualizing the science has enhanced collaboration through an understanding of the science coupled with water resource management 16 Appendix A DILO Improved Tools for Drought Planning and Management A Framework for Generating Exploratory Scenarios of Drought Conditions Using Tree Ring Information EXPLORATORY SCENARIOS describe the future according to known processes of chan
23. cenarios under drought conditions Toward this end Katie Hirschboeck will continue to collaborate with the EVWF as needed as a principle investigator with the Climate Assessment of the Southwest CLIMAS program Designed as a platform which can be augmented and expanded this webpage is also intended to serve as a regional resource for the Southwest and eventually become one of several components of a proposed TreeFlow webpage and paleo toolkit project that will cover the entire Western United States 11 collaboration with Connie Woodhouse Univ of Arizona WWA and CLIMAS See Appendix A for more details on the website The cooperation with Hirschboeck and DT has cultivated a setting for improved tools for drought scenario planning by first better understanding historical data and second through immersive visualization of scientific information which allows water providers to better understand coupled relationships and impacts of water resource management decisions 14 3 2 Facilitation of Groundwater Modeling Discussions The photograph shown below illustrates the DT s ability to present 3D information to water resource managers in a politically neutral environment that facilitates thoughtful scientific discussion The screen real estate provides a medium that allows for the display of detailed information but enough of a canvas to also frame a context for the problem Thus the groundwater model of the entire Salt River Valley Sub basin c
24. d the funding of this AWI grant Hirschboeck met with the DT and some EVWF drought group members in the fall of 2007 where she presented the results from her report A Tree Ring Based Assessment of Synchronous Extreme Streamflow Episodes in the Upper Colorado and Salt Verde Tonto River Basins which are currently being considered in the EVWF drought scenario planning effort As a result of these changes the scope of the project was adjusted to provide water resource managers presentations both at the DT and off site and also produced the following deliverables under MOU dated 1 31 07 1 A guideline for generating scenarios of drought conditions using tree ring information See Appendix A This product designed by Dr Katherine Hirschboeck from the University of Arizona Tree Ring Laboratory is contained in a website for easy access to the water resource managers of the EVWE as well as others 2 Groundwater visualization software designed by Dr Perry Miller of the ASU DT and his team See attached CD 3 A software manual that describes how to install and run the software package for water users See Appendix B A description of the project presentations and supporting deliverable products developed under funding by the Arizona Water Institute are described in the following sections 2 2 Project Presentations The EVWE utilized Nimue to present the scenario results of their Management Plan to an educational forum two East Valley ci
25. e Management Areas MODFLOW FILE DESCRIPTIONS Nimue supports the following MODFLOW documents Discretization File SRV model extension dis Nimue reads the number of model layers and the cell rows and columns Additionally it extracts a conversion constant that pro vides the appropriate distance units It also assigns the thickness of every layer by defining the model surface elevation bottom of layer 1 Upper Alluvial Unit bottom of layer 2 Middle Alluvial Unit and bottom of layer 3 Lower Alluvial Unit for every active cell Basic File SRV model extension ba6 Defines the active model array and the starting heads Block Centered Flow File BCF SRV model extension bc6 Defines the model layer type turns on rewriting capability and assigns hydraulic properties to each active model cell The layer type flag in the BCF package defines how the transmissivity for each model cell is calculated The hydraulic conductivity primary and secondary storage when applicable and the vertical hydraulic conductivity Vcont are assigned using the BCF package Well File SRV model extension wel Simulates pumpage recharge and groundwater flux into and out of the model for each stress period Negative values represent well pumpage that is distributed by cell and layer or estimated groundwater underflow out of the model along selected model boundaries Positive pumpage values represent specified mountain front
26. e installer is ready to install Nimue on your computer Click Next to start the installation Cancel lt Back u This completes the installation of Nimue on your computer Getting Started The MODFLOW environment essentially has two sections the main viewing window and many small modules that perform specific functions These modules are dockable meaning they can be moved and adjusted to fit the needs of a particular session Because of this modules can be scaled down to fit on smaller screens or removed altogether To move a module window click and drag the module window title bar until the window snaps out of place When the module is moved over space that it can dock to the space below will be highlighted in blue Modules can remain independent of other docked windows if moved to an open space on the screen MODFLOW modules can also be arranged in tabs making organization easier and free up window space To create a module tab drag the window over the same space as another module until the space below is highlighted in blue Releasing the window will automatically dock the module This process can easily be reversed by dragging the desired module away from its current position Closing module windows will remove them from the current session At any point however module windows can be returned by navigating the View menu and selecting Docking Windows Nimue Nimu Modflow Properties
27. event of these conditions This project brought together the East Valley Water Forum EVWF the Arizona State University Decision Theater DT and the University of Arizona U of A Tree Ring Laboratory The purpose was to integrate tree ring research from the University into the EVWF drought scenario planning through the design of groundwater modeling scenarios in drought conditions These scenarios could then be visualized through a tool developed by the DT 1 2 Statement of Need Arizona s water managers are well aware of the potential for severe drought The EVWF is a partnership of 25 tribal public and private water agencies and interested stakeholders involved in water resource management in the East Salt River Valley of Arizona The results of the first phase of their planning are compiled in their Management Plan and was completed in 2007 Even in the early stages of developing a regional groundwater management plan East Valley water providers recognized that drought scenario planning was an important and necessary component However due to the many variables involved in this type of scenario planning such as climatology water conservation and shifts in supply and demand related to drought conditions the EVWF determined this would be better suited as a second phase to the regional planning effort The development of drought scenarios their next phase of regional planning will consider climatology research dating back nearly 800 years t
28. ge and extrapolations from the past by incrementally progressing through time SAHRA Scenario Development Group This site provides a compilation of information to aid in the construction of exploratory scenarios of drought conditions in the Southwest through the use of tree ring based streamflow reconstructions of the Salt Verde Tonto and Upper Colorado river basins OVERVIEW aum y WP NT PAN INN Streamflow Sequences for Drought Scenario Construction Overview About Scenario Development Tree Ring Data Reconstruction Methods Streamflow Reconstructions e Statistics amp Visualizations Streamflow Sequences alles Water frae Ring Research Decision THEATER pub THE UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY WATER 18 The basic framework for using tree ring information to provide input on past events to develop exploratory scenarios 19 AO AO een amma Suggested uses of the Streamflow Sequences in Exploratory Scenarios Driest periods extreme low magnitude flows Continuous runs of low flow years Low flow periods with intervening high flow for recovery Cluster of low flows during low or average period High amplitude variability Wettest period extreme high magnitude flows Other below average flow patterns return te Streamflow Sequences 3 yr a Extreme sustained low flow 30 yr f Sustained below average low Fl
29. ling Report No 8 Arizona Department of Water Resources 1994 Gray 5 Bettancourt J L Fastie C L and Jackson S T Patterns and sources of multidecadal oscillations in drought sensitive tree ring records from the central and southern Rocky Mountains Geophysical Research Letters 30 6 pp 49 49 2003 Oppenheimer J M and J S Sumner Depth to Bedrock Map Basin and Range Province Arizona scale 1 1 000 000 Laboratory of Geo physics University of Arizona 1980 US Bureau of Reclamation Arizona Water Banking Authority GIS Database for Phoenix and Tucson Active Management Areas 2004 US Geological Survey 30 meter Digital Elevation Model Seamless Website http seamless usgs gov
30. mera paths saved with the extension cpf you may open that file by clicking Open Path and navigating to the directory where you have saved your cpf file Save Path Once you have created a camera path using New Path it will not be saved unless you click Save Path You may navigate to anywhere you would like to store your cpf file Save Path As You may save your camera paths either by clicking Save Path or Save Path As Using Save Path As allows the user to save a new camera path or existing camera path as another name or in another directory Export Movie This function is currently grayed out and will be available in Nimue PAL Append Use Append to create a new camera view to be saved in your camera path Each time you use Append it will create a new camera view and append it to the list of cameras in the Cameras drop down Prepend Use Prepend to create a new camera view to be saved in your camera path Each time you use Prepend it will create a new camera view and add it to the beginning of the list of cameras in the Cameras drop down Close The Close function adds a camera to the end of your list of camera views that is identical to your first camera view Camera 0 This function is useful when using the Play Forward and Play Backward functions Play Forward When clicking on Play Forward the scene will animate by flying from camera to camera in your set
31. mouse button to bring up an options menu Seek Centers the scene where the mouse is clicked Rendering Passes This selection increases the resolution of the output screen shots from the Frame Dump option A higher number will create more instances of exported frames Render Loop Render Loop allows for continuous redrawing of the scene This function is only necessary when using Open Scene Graph documents and therefore does not apply to MODFLOW data Polygons Specifies how polygons in the model will appear Filled the default setting where all features are visible Hidden Lines Turns off filled polygons to show hidden lines and removes shading Wire Frame Switches to viewing only polygon vertices and their connecting lines Points Switches to showing only polygon vector points Shading Changes the triangle size of the terrain layer Smooth renders terrain polygons at a fine level and flat will reduce the terrain to a course level Size Choose from several common resolution settings for the render window or enter a custom window size Frame Dump Frame Dump will export an image continuously to a defined location on your computer The Rendering Passes menu controls how often the scene image is saved To begin the process click Frame Dump in the View menu The Text Output module will display the image file currently being written To stop the process choose Frame Dump again It sh
32. mporting Data a 53 ARE 3 Operations ea 5 ex crearse Shoe S Cameras Sou oS ox bw RA RR UNE S Xu 4 Model Data MODFLOW File Descriptions Introduction to Nimue beta WELCOME TO NIMUE beta Nimue pronounced nee moo wey is an open source visualization software package designed to view groundwater modeling data outputted from MODELOW the hydrogeology industry standard software for groundwater modeling Nimue is designed specifically for managers and decision makers Today s software products available for viewing MODFLOW data sets require the technical skills of a hydrologist Usually this is not problematic because a hydrologist is using the same software for modeling groundwater scenarios as it is to present the results Working with local and regional water managers in central Arizona has shown that a more intuitive viewer which facilitates policy decision making is important when a regional stakeholder group is looking at various scenarios A user friendly visualization can provide decision makers a flexible venue for investigating scientific information Furthermore the 3D capabilities provided in this framework allow stakeholders of all backgrounds to understand the information in ways that are not available in today s commercial viewers Nimue Quick Facts Hardware Requirements Easy viewing and
33. navigation in three dimensions of Nimue is a sophisticated software visualization package and MODFLOW data therefore requires a computer with 3D rendering capabilities Ability to import geographic data Recommended system hardware e Animation feature runs through time steps of data Intel Dual Pentium 4 2 6GHz or faster Interactive cross section generation that cuts across data 1GB RAM surfaces 256 MB 3D graphics card Convenient creation of 3D fly through of data Microsoft Windows or later Quick export of images from viewer CD ROM drive for installation disc 65 MB disk space not including MODFLOW files INSTALLATION GUIDE The following steps detail the installation instructions for Nimue fe A gt Nimuelnstaller exe o Insert the Nimue CD ROM into your computer Double click My Computer and then double click on your CD drive icon to view the disc contents Double click the Nimue exe file to begin the installation process This will automatically launch the WinZip Self Extractor program When prompted to install the Visual C Runtime Libraries choose install This is necessary to enable Nimue to run f Nimue Setup The following components will be installed on your machine Visual C Runtime Libraries x86 Do you wish to install these components IF you choose Cancel setup will exit Install WELCOME TO THE NIMUE SET
34. nt of possible drought scenarios including consideration of historic tree ring research These scenarios are in turn used to perform the next sequential step groundwater modeling In this step the water resource managers determine appropriate water demand and estimate available groundwater supplies based on the drought scenarios producing a time stepped groundwater model output The final step allows visualization of the groundwater model for the various time increments specified The groundwater basin is displayed using Nimue an open source 3D visualizer developed by DT that accepts MODFLOW 2000 free format files Nimue was developed to allow groundwater modeling display within the DT hosted on its high performance computers But Nimue also provides a free lightweight groundwater modeling desktop viewer that allows various water resource managers to quickly observe data without the need to purchase expensive MODFLOW viewing tools This figure depicts the project deliverables and the interaction of the water resource maangers at each phase Methods for Drought Planning Water Resource Manager _ rese Activities e Project Deliverables for each method This final report describes the presentations products and collaboration between the U of A ASU and the EVWF with the deliverables listed in the attached CD and appendices 2 Project Execution 2 1 Project Approach Over the past two years the EVWF has worked with
35. o be incorporated to hydrologic groundwater modeling The results of this modeling will enable the EVWF participants to discuss various responses to drought impacts through effective water resource management Gray S T Bettancourt J L Fastie C L and Jackson S T Patterns and sources of multidecadal ocillations in drought sensivitve tree ring records from the central and southern Rocky Mountains Geophysical Research Letters 30 6 pp 49 49 2003 Strategically this project is important in the following areas e Water Resource Management Water infrastructure 15 expensive to build and maintain Regional drought scenario modeling and planning will provide needed information to enable water managers to explore cooperative uses of existing infrastructure and water resource management during drought conditions e Drought Scenario Planning Research We are merging climatology visualization and hydrology into an integrated scientific solution for assessing drought issues e Technical Assistance The software toolkit and documentation will provide assistance to any regional planning group addressing drought issues in the CAP service area 1 3 Project Drought Scenario Planning Methodology The diagram below illustrates the three steps in the Uof ATree Ring Lab EVWF DT drought scenario planning methodology Drought scenario planning begins with drought characterization This step involves the water resource manager s research and developme
36. ogress Bars 8x Loading Z V When loading a file this window provides visual feedback on the CEC progress This can come in handy when dealing with particularly large data sets When no files are being loaded this window will appear empty Text Output Welcome to Nimue Text Output This window provides program status Examples of typical messages include MODFLOW data loading status o Software version information Availability of plug ins Error messages 10 Operations FILE MENU New MODFLOW Document This opens the import dialog o Scene Document Opens a blank scene Drag and drop OSG files onto the new scene to load Open Use when loading existing MODFLOW documents Save Save As Export o Image Exports the scene as a raster jp g bmp png rgba o Model Exports all data into the native file formats for Open Scene Graph ive osg Scene If you are including a cross section that cuts your model data and wish to preserve this in the exported model select export scene This option exports model data in the native file formats for Open Scene Graph ive osg VIEW MENU Background Use this option to change the color shading of your background Selecting different colors for different corners will create gradient shades between them Modes Navigate The default navigation with mouse control Pick Enables the use of the right
37. orts in other regions e g under NOAA Coping with Drought initiatives To see the information visit the webpage at http fp arizona edu kkh aw1 aw1 htm Tree ring reconstructions are most useful for generating so called Exploratory Scenarios which describe the future according to known processes of change and extrapolations from the past by incrementally progressing through time They rely on logical induction by using clues from the past and present and working out the pathways that the future may take SAHRA Scenario Development Group webpage http www sahra arizona edu scenarios content blogcategory 13 30 There are two ways in which tree rings can be used in exploratory scenario development 1 by providing information on the full range of past patterns of climate and streamflow behavior projective scenarios and 2 by using past climate and streamflow behavior as a baseline from which to construct alternative processes or patterns that significantly vary from the past e g under future climate change prospective scenarios This phase of the project addressed possible ways in which tree ring reconstructions of streamflow could be used in both projective and prospective scenario approaches By focusing on reconstructed streamflow as the key variable of interest it was assumed that the magnitude and variability of surface water supplies are key inputs needed in developing drought management scenarios and groundwater man
38. ould be noted that if the Frame Dump process is left on files will be written to the hard drive until no space remains Ihe appropriate location to save frames should be outside of the Nimue program folder Additionally make sure the folder you choose to save frames to does not contain spaces in the name For example SaveFrames not Save Frames Show Axes Toggles the view of the X Y and Z axis in the lower left corner of the scene CAMERAS The camera menu functions allow the user to save specific views of their data loaded in the window This function is useful for saving perspectives that highlight elements of your data Each camera path can store many perspective views The collection of perspective shots can further be used to generate flights between perspective views These functions can be particularly useful for presenting data New Path Creates a new blank camera file with the extension cpf In order to create new camera paths you must first click New Path When you have set the correct perspective view in the window that you want to save click Append Clicking Append saves the first camera in your new Camera Path Once you have appended a new view to the camera path you can go back to that view by navigating to Cameras in the menu The first perspective saved will be called Camera 0 The next camera view saved will be called Camera 1 Open Path If you have existing ca
39. ow ite mW NEM socio 30 yr d 6 year low flow run broken by wet year 30 yr b Clustered run of low flow years during love to average period 30 yr e Extreme high amplitude variability 30 yr g Sustained above average high flaw 20 yr a Extreme low flow period 20 11 Sustained below average flow Most extreme 7 yr low flow run in record 11 yr b Nearly continuous below average flow 7 yr b Most extreme continuous sequence 7 yr d Extremely dry run with intervening H year Z yr b Clustered run of flaw years during below average period 30 yr c High amplitude interannual variability E F yr c Sequence of high flow followed by low flow 11 yr c Below average with extreme low flow years 20 yr c Long dry period with below average flow Streamflow Sequence Spreadsheet showing a 30 yr sequence selection A B C D E E G H 30 YR SCENARIO SEQUENCES RECONSTRUCTED FLOW TIME SERIES 1521 1964 Rank 1 7 driest year 444 wettest year h hn O ___ 4 1 LUCES TEREE A LowonS V T 1 ZZ c d e A lt 4 10th Percentile Reconstructed annual water year discharge 25th and gt 10th Percentile HH years high flow in both basins gt 25th and lt 75th Percentile LL years low flow in both basins 75th and lt 90th Percentile LH Low UCRB High in SVT gt 90th Percentile HL High in U
40. ow flow sequences high flow episodes and periods with high amplitude variability The sequences are displayed with suggestions for how they might be used as input for projective and prospective exploratory scenarios A Streamflow Sequence Data Spreadsheet is available for downloading and contains the reconstructed flow data quantile visualizations and graphs for each sequence Users can use the spreadsheet to select plot and or analyze additional sequences if desired Ongoing and future collaborations with water managers will provide the opportunity to evaluate the usability and applicability of this framework for drought scenario development This webpage can be expanded to meet the needs of the EVWF in their examination of various management scenarios under drought conditions See Appendix A for more details on the website 11 2 4 Groundwater Visualization Software Software for Enhanced Understanding of groundwater data Nimue pronounced nee moo ay has been designed to view groundwater data produced by MODFLOW MoObDoular three dimensional finite difference ground water FLOW model a software modeling tool written by the USGS to simulate the flow of groundwater Although there are several software products that are capable of viewing MODFLOW data they are typically designed for use by hydrologists and engineers Nimue is a lightweight application specifically designed for the visualization of the relevant scientific information needed
41. r manual for Nimue describes its installation importation of groundwater data and available functions for viewing groundwater data See Appendix B for the full manual 13 3 Results This project s success 1s demonstrated through the formation of new working relationships that were created through collaborative efforts and the facilitation of groundwater modeling visualization that fostered discussions Future work will allow for further investigation of incorporation of tree ring analysis into the drought scenario planning process The tools developed under funding by this grant have equipped the DT and EVWE for viewing drought scenario data when the EVWE has completed Phase II of their groundwater modeling 3 1 New Relationships New relationships were fostered through this Arizona Water Institute grant It is expected that the EVWF will continue collaborating with Dr Hirschboeck and her team when necessary to include tree ring research in their drought scenario planning The EVWF 15 considering tree ring research into the creation of water management scenarios under various drought conditions The U of A Tree Ring Lab and the DT now work together to deliver their products to water resource managers and the DT has benefited from the expanded knowledge of published as well as in progress work by the Tree Ring Lab The webpage designed by Dr Hirschboeck can be expanded to meet the needs of the EVWF in their examination of various management s
42. right notice this list of conditions and the following disclaimer in the documentation and or other materials provided with the distribution Neither the name of Arizona State University nor the names of its contributors may be used to endorse or promote products derived from this software without specific prior written permission THIS SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED BY THE COPYRIGHT HOLDERS AND CONTRIBUTORS AS IS AND ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE ARE DISCLAIMED IN NO EVENT SHALL THE COPYRIGHT OWNER OR CONTRIBUTORS BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT INDIRECT INCIDENTAL SPECIAL EXEMPLARY OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS OR SERVICES LOSS OF USE DATA OR PROFITS OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION HOWEVER CAUSED AND ON ANY THEORY OF LIABILITY WHETHER IN CONTRACT STRICT LIABILITY OR TORT INCLUDING NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN ANY WAY OUT OF THE USE OF THIS SOFTWARE EVEN IF ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGE 100987654321 Table of Contents 1 Introduction to Nimue beta Welcome to Nimue beta QUICK eee ed ee eee cow ee ee Hardware Requirements Installation Guide 2 Getting Started Docking Windows NOIA s e ORE OSGOOD ROR AAA I
43. the Arizona Department of Water Resources ADWR to simulate future East Salt River Sub basin groundwater elevations using the ADWR Salt River Valley groundwater model In this first phase of regional planning the EVWF developed 3 groundwater scenarios based on water availability during non drought conditions that were modeled by ADWR and then visualized at the DT In this project the EVWF is developing Phase II of the regional planning effort involving scenario development of drought conditions and analysis of the effects of these drought conditions on the East Salt River Valley Sub basin groundwater aquifer At the onset of this project we intended the project workflow to consist of three phases under the contract awarded 11 4 06 Phase l documented process for considering tree ring records in developing drought scenarios Phase 2 A scenario modeling component in which parametric data are adjusted using MODFLOW Phase 3 Creation of display software with associated documentation that visualizes MODFLOW modeling results Our goal was to host several meetings wherein the U of A ASU and EVWE could develop the project Due to budget and scheduling conflicts continuous active participation between the EVWE and Hirschboeck was curtailed However the EVWE is considering incorporating the tree ring research from Dr Hirschboeck s group into the development of drought scenarios for groundwater modeling This collaboration will continue beyon
44. ty councils and another water organization see pictures below The visualization software s versatility was demonstrated by its ability to display the groundwater modeling both within the DT drum as well as at off site presentations Visualizing the groundwater modeling proved to be a successful medium for generating scientific discussion that was facilitated by the improved tools funded through this grant The EVWF management plan results were presented to water providers which showcased the EVWF accomplishments and its standing as a progressive water resource management group Visualization of Water Resources for Policy What ee 2 3 Guideline for Drought Condition Scenarios Generation The main objective of this aspect of the project was to provide a framework for the use of tree ring data in creating drought scenarios for water managers Originally a standard set of guidelines for determining drought scenarios based on tree ring records was envisioned As the project developed however 1t became apparent that a single set of guidelines would be too constraining The project was re focused on the deliverable of an accessible web based framework that could display one or more tools to use in scenario development The resulting web resource titled A Framework for Generating Exploratory Scenarios of Drought Conditions Using Tree Ring Information is meant to be viewed as an evolving platform that will eventually combine with similar eff
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