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1.             Base     ora NOIR SiDODA DD   gt   LAR   Ready SSS  ia  as    If a screen similar to that shown does not appear  press the Control and Home keys  simultaneously to ensure that Cell A1 of the worksheet is in the top left corner     A large number of input values control the economic analysis  These are broken up into  seven main categories  each represented by a button  These include     e Set up for the analysis   e Costs of construction and maintenance     e Unpaved construction and maintenance alternatives     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 3 1    3 3 2    3 4     Traffic     Environmental costs and benefits      Paved construction and maintenance alternatives       Social costs and benefits     The use of these alternatives is discussed in the following sections  Clicking on one of the  buttons on the analysis page accesses each of the groups and brings up a dialogue box   which allows the user to interact with the settings  Each group has defined default options  base on recent experience and costs  which will be used in the analysis unless the user  makes specific changes  Each of these buttons    The 7 buttons appear on every new screen as options are generated  The Setup  costs   traffic  environment and social buttons are used for each option  The unpaved button will  usually only be used on the base option  when a dust palliative will be applied or for stage  construction  The paved option will only be used when sealing the road wi
2.         Agency Costs    truction  Rehabilitation VOC  Accident  me    a A annn ADINAN 20053      M AS  E    Dust                                 Unpaved Palliative Paved       Job Creation  soo  sco  so      al Quality of Life Poo   so 10000 O         Opportunity Cost Poo       Dust f            safe IN HER           __ Other Benefits mz          EJ O             3389  282742       Social benefits have been included in this model and include aspects such as     e Direct job employment creation as a result of road construction and maintenance  opportunities    e Improved quality of life related to accessibility  particularly to health and education  facilities    e The opportunity costs related to possible investment  expansion of existing and  development of new businesses and or industries    e Less dust in the community  e Road safety including pedestrian  non motorised transport and animal  e Other benefits such as improved transportation of local produce    e Fixed benefits     it may be more convenient  for example  to place a fixed value on  the benefits based on the population of the community and the frequency of  transportation use or some such parameter  As for the environmental costs  it must  be noted that these are per kilometre of road and need to be apportioned  appropriately based on the actual road length     Aspects such as improved drainage in the urban environment accompanying a paved  pavement design  based on experience of the engineer  will lead to less
3.        Unpaved   Dust Paliative Paved   a   O  construction R 500000 km E     i Overlay R 20 00   m2        pf Resealing R 8 00 frm       O  Routine R 4500  km year   0   0 L       Shadow Costs    Component Allocation    i Cancel      3581  297434     686T33   3798  312923  69439  4044  3292581 72911    o          o       o       o       o             o                      ojolo             Unpaved    Realignment describes the geometric realignment of an unpaved road  eg  straightening of  sharp curves to improve safety   and is thus limited to the period in which the road is  unpaved  The cost is a lump sum per kilometre  Because on most roads this implies a fairly  major change to most elements of the road surface a regravelling operation is automatically  triggered  regardless of the remaining depth of gravel  In most instances  realignment would  be scheduled at the same time as regravelling     The gravel cost and  grader  blading costs apply whether there is a dust palliative present or  not  although the dust palliative will affect the frequency of these operations  The cost of  gravel is per cubic metre  and the cost of blading per metre width per kilometre  There is also  an additional routine other or fixed annual cost per kilometre  which would be for actions such  as drainage maintenance  grass cutting and other minor repairs such as spot regravelling of  severe potholes     Dust palliative   The cost of the dust palliative is in addition to the other costs assoc
4.      Input parameter values Cost  Construction cost R45 000  Annual rejuvenation R2 25 m     Environmental costs    Construction  material and plant emissions  R2000  Rejuvenation  Plant and possible pollution  R100  Fixed cost per year  runoff into streams of dust palliative  R250    Social benefits    Job creation R500  Quality of life R500  Opportunity cost 0  Dust R100  Safety R1000  Trigger roughness decreased over base case IRI 9 instead of 10       zho aje ye ea    JA User     30 11 2004      SuperSurt v1 0    2004  SABITA                 CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 7    9  Steps 6  7 and 8 are repeated for each of the paved options     10  For an innovative pavement constructed using a local high quality gravel as a base and  surfaced with a low cost seal  double sand seal  costing R200000  the following input data  would be used           Input parameter values Cost   Construction cost R200 000  Overlay cost R20 00 m   Reseal cost R10 00 m   Maintenance cost R5500    Environmental    Construction  material and plant emissions  R3000  Overlay R500  Reseal R500  Fixed cost per year  runoff into streams of dust palliative  R50    Social Benefits    Job creation R500  Quality of life R500  Opportunity cost R2000  Dust R100  Safety R1000                The corresponding screen would show as follows     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 8     02 12 2004    na    SuperSurt v1 0    2004  SABITA     See hitp  w sabita co za  for m
5.    Click OK              CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 2    2  Click on the Base tab at the bottom of the worksheet and the base page will appear  This  information is for the existing situation and the only information that needs to be entered  pertains to the costs and performance of the existing road and the traffic  Nothing needs  to be changed in the Setup dialogue box  Click on the Costs button           osts 9  so  o  tara  2008 pol  soo 1947  160740   a a e   ol asal mres                                                                      Tn       3581 287434 66133  3798  312923  69439  4044 29                   t  fal  po              eie 22   gt             cd    A Ssaogam org  Fert oe  Ready  SSS Se eS as       Input the costs of gravel  blading and any other routine costs as requested  No realignment is  usually required in the base case  If realignment is considered  a separate alternative  option   should be generated  The other costs include aspects such as regular spot regravelling or  pothole filling  localised stone removal  etc  The shadow and component costs screens can  be accessed to allow for labour based operations and to apportion shadow costs to specific  components of the project     For the base case  only the unpaved tab is necessary on the shadow costs menu and for the  component costs  only the regravelling  blading and unpaved maintenance screens need be  accessed  The selected percentages can be put in directly  change
6.    Road user costs  Not all of the costs associated with a road are paid by the agency managing the road  In fact     the majority of the costs are carried by the users  in the form of vehicle and fuel costs   However  it is not always appropriate for an agency to consider these costs  Within  SuperSurf an analysis which includes road user costs is referred to as an    economic     analysis  because it reflects the economy in general and not just the finances of the agency     Road user costs considered in SuperSurf are Vehicle Operating Costs  VOC   which includes  vehicle wear and tear  fuel and tyres  etc   and accident costs  These are based on the  results of a number of research studies  and so are linked to the years in which those studies  were completed  These costs thus have to be inflated into the Base Year for the analysis   This must be done in a careful and systematic way  else the analysis will be heavily skewed   If possible  a transport specific inflation rate should be used  based on the inflation in fuel and  motor vehicle costs over the interceding years  The general inflation rate  as reported by  government agencies  can also be used  Another approach is to use the back calculated  inflation rate from the Automobile Association s recommended kilometre tariffs  or those  associated with Income Tax vehicle allowances     The goal of the inflation of the researched values is to ensure that the VOC is accurately  represented in terms of    Base Year Rands   
7.   The researched values are given in terms of     shadow prices     A shadow price is the real cost associated with the use of the vehicle  and  not    hidden costs     such as fuel taxes  VAT and compound interest charges  The reason that  these are excluded  even though they are costs borne by road users  is that they are  independent of the actual costs of using the road  For instance  if the government were to  remove all taxes from fuel  then it would not effect the quantity of fuel used to drive along the  road  or the actual cost of that fuel  Accident costs are similar to road user costs  and must  also be correctly inflated     SuperSurf does not make use of any    time costs     These are calculated as the    cost    of the     wasted    time for the users of the road  and are often based on average income figures and  other measures of how much the user   s time is worth  Generally these    time costs    are very  large  and completely dominate any analysis  and are also highly debatable  Anyone who  has been involved in any type of statistical study on work productivity will point out that  people value their time in all sorts of ways  and five minutes saved on the drive to work does  not equate to five minutes of extra work  This is especially true in rural areas where much of  the potential upgrading of unpaved roads is likely to take place     Environmental costs  These are costs that are borne by the    environment     which are generally defined as any    cos
8.  during construction and maintenance in the  analyses  The shadow cost facility allows apportionment of various percentages of the total  costs  as a shadow cost  of the labour and materials  The total cost can thus be reduced by  the specified value  ie  a shadow cost for labour of 25 per cent will reduce the labour  component of the overall cost by 25 per cent   This is developed in conjunction with the  component allocations or apportionment where the component percentages of the inputs are  broken down in terms of the labour and materials  This is considered relevant in terms of the  Expanded Public Works Programme  EPWP  currently being implemented where labour   based operations will be maximised and is particularly appropriate in areas of high  unemployment  where the shadow cost of labour is realistically far less than the actual cost   ie  the alternative is unemployment     Traffic  On clicking the Traffic button  the following dialogue box appears     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 7               MMT CT TT    Agency Costs User Costs               VOC   Accident    40083        action   Rehabilitation   Maintenance  al annnl    497aanl       a      Traffic Information xj 6      Light Vehicles     Year   2004  Car 60 0    Low   20 0   80 0   Taxi 20 0  Total            Split  e Split  200  j  Heavy Vehicles     f VPD C yep  Bus    LGV 20 0    20 0         ih    HGV          Growth Rate   5 0  Bu 1 00  Initial Growth   0 0  ESAL LGV 0 50  Pave
9.  of each alternative for input into  the package must be developed by an experienced engineer  However  it is expected that innovative  solutions will be made use of as far as possible        Keywords     Economic analysis  upgrading  unpaved roads  sealed roads       Proposals for implementation     Sabita to distribute software and manual        Related documents  e g  software  interim or other reports  working drawings  etc       SuperSurf software             Signatures    D Jones W JvdM Steyn B Verhaeghe E van Heerden P Hendricks   Language Editor Technical Programme Transportek Division Director  Reviewer Manager Information Centre                            TABLE OF CONTENTS    INTRODUCTION 0 o dina danna iia 1 1  VA  Whatis UP oca id 1 1  1 2 What is SuperSurf not                ccceeceeseeeececeeeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaeeeeeeeeeesessecesaeaeeeeeseeeeeeeseseeres 1 1  1 3  What do   need to use SuperSurf  oo    eceete eee eeeeeeeeeeeaeeeeeeeaaeeeeeeeeaeeeeessaeeeeeneeaeees 1 1  ECONOMIC ANALYSIS   0000000 aida 2 2  2 1 What is    Economic Analysis                   cccccccccceeeeeeeenenceeeeeeeeeeeeceneeaeaeeeeeeeeeesessssnesnseeeeess 2 2  22 DENIA  hie oe eee ee ar win a Ada ers ceased ee samen a a ge feds 2 2  2 3 Time value Of MONEY   occcccccccccnnnononcccnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnncnnnnnncnnnnnnnnn cnn aiea aeara a aa Aa aeaa 2 4  2 4 Cost benefit streams ccoo ici 2 4  USING SUPERS UR a o soeive nce sce cacevant as tec ect ste cvennenccedecteuencsttincitenneceupysssunsi e  ncueuatv
10.  option  but if they  are lower  then there is a benefit  With this pseudo cost benefit stream it is possible to  calculate B C and IRR  and thus to compare projects of various sizes     Agency costs  The costs to the road agency associated with a particular road section are normally divided    into three groups  with fairly arbitrary boundaries   These are construction costs   maintenance costs and rehabilitation costs  Generally  construction costs are associated with  the initial construction of a facility or the upgrading of a facility to a higher design standard   e g  paving a gravel road   Rehabilitation costs are associated with returning a deteriorated  facility to its original or better level of service  e g  resurfacing a road   and maintenance costs  are associated with slowing the deterioration of a facility     Within SuperSurf  all costs and benefits associated with the agency are grouped under the  title    Financial Costs    as these can normally be easily determined as a direct financial cost or  benefit to the agency     Generally there is no benefit to the agency  unless there is some toll on the facility  If one is  performing an economic analysis based on the agency alone  then toll income forms a benefit  to the agency  However  if one is performing an analysis including road user costs then toll  income should be ignored  since it is a transaction internal to the analysis     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 4 2    2 4 3    2 6 
11.  paid to someone internal to the analysis  from someone outside     The easiest example of this is a bank loan  from the perspective of the bank  The person  taking the loan is external to the analysis and the bank is internal  The person receives a  lump sum from the bank  a cost  and then pays off the loan to the bank as a stream of  monthly payments  benefits   The bank must decide if it is worth its while to loan someone  the initial sum  or whether it is better to hold the money itself     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 4 1    2 5    For public agencies  the idea of costs and benefits is a little more difficult  since these  agencies are normally budget based  They receive a yearly budget allocation  and what they  do not spend is    lost     If one were an accountant working for the agency  one would always  work on a year by year basis  and consider the budget amount to be income and therefore a  benefit  The amount spent on roads would be costs  and every year the agency   s costs  would match their benefits  if they had not overspent   However  this would make no sense  from the perspective of road management  because all of the agencies costs would be  matched by an equal    benefit    from the agencies budget  and the resulting NPV would always  be zero  Therefore  for managing roads we assume that the agency has unlimited funds  and  that there are no budgetary benefits  Since the agency is unlikely to have unlimited funds  a  level of de
12.  reference     Sensitivity Analyses    Because of the subjective nature of economic analyses and the assumptions involved  it is  very useful  if not essential  to carry out sensitivity analyses to investigate the effects of    CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 15  specific inputs on the results  Particular properties that can easily be modified and the data    rerun are traffic  discount rate and construction costs  This allows a significantly better  understanding of the impact of incorrect assumptions on the overall result     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    4 1    4  WORKED EXAMPLE    In this section  the input and interpretation of a typical project is provided to assist with use of  the software     The project   An existing unpaved road that becomes impassable during severe rainstorms and links a  community of 1000 residents to a main interurban road 5 km away  has been identified for a  possible upgrade   Various options for upgrading are being investigated  These include    e Application of a dust palliative   e In situ stabilization and surfacing with a double sand seal    e Importation of a selected subbase and base and application of a double seal    The analysis requires a routine thinking process and is provided as an example below   proceeding as follows     1  Open the SuperSurf spreadsheet and click on the Setup button  Make the necessary  modifications on this screen  analysis period  20 years  and discount rate  8  
13.  standing stagnant  water compared with typical V drains associated with unpaved roads  The associated health  benefits would have a value that can be included in the social benefits     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 10    Social costs are seldom encountered  although aspects such as higher speeds  and the  associated possible negative safety impacts  in populated areas and possible increased  transmission of HIV AIDS could be considered as potential costs  Social benefits are input in  the Social dialogue box as positive values and costs as negative values  These are  automatically reversed when used in the analysis     3 3 6 Unpaved  Clicking the Unpaved dialogue box allows one to set the engineering parameters for    unpaved roads  The following dialogue box for Unpaved Road Properties should appear on  the screen                     Environ   mental  x   Thickness   150 0  mm Material Properties                               500 mm P26 100 0 PL 15 0  P075 28 0 DR 0 7  Trigger Roughness   10 IRI   LABMAX 13 0 GM 18  Minimum Blading   E  Interval 7 days    Maximum   1800 ypd    Width   10 8 m  o    0  T         Accident  28853        Unpaved Road Properties    Remaining       Climate  N Jes C Dry    mid C wet                Cancel    0    3062  255575 57128    al aaa7l  amoonal Ennoal          There are five different groups of inputs     e The required design gravel thickness  and the remaining thickness  These define the  nominal layer thickness o
14. Contract Report CR 2004 47  November 2004       CR 2004 47    SuperSurf User Manual    Authors  J D Lea  P Paige Green  Prepared for  Prepared by   South African Bitumen Association Division of Roads and Transport Technology  Postnet Suite 56 CSIR  Private Bag X21 PO Box 395  HOWARD PLACE PRETORIA  7450 0001  Tel   27 21 531 2718 Tel   27 12 841 2905  Fax   27 21 531 2606 Fax   27 12 841 3232       4 CSIR    SABITA yy  Y  l MyM TRANSPORTEK             DOCUMENT RETRIEVAL PAGE Report No  CR 2004 47                            Title  SuperSurf User Manual   Author  JD Lea  P Paige Green   Client  Client Reference No  Date  Distribution   SABITA November 2004 Restricted  Project No  OE2  ISBN   9431 TIK51 Infrastructure Engineering   Synopsis     This User Manual accompanies the SuperSurf software package  The package has been developed  using Excel spreadsheets as a simple mechanism for carrying out cost comparisons between  maintaining an existing unpaved road and improving it by using various upgrading alternatives  The  improvements generally relate to low cost seals on in situ or local materials but also include dust   palliative options to allow direct cost comparisons  The package includes mechanisms for incorporating  environmental and social costs benefits  with some guidance regarding the selection of input values for  these  The package can be utilised for roads in both the rural and urban environment     The design  maintenance and rehabilitation requirements and costs
15. a consistent means of determining the most effective strategy   not just on a single section  but for any decision which needs to be taken in the management  of a road network  It thus provides a stable basis for consistent road management  which is  based on observable  objective criteria  However  because economic analysis requires a  large number of inputs and provides a number of possible decision strategies  it can be very  easy to misinterpret the results  Even worse  and more often than people admit  it can be  manipulated to provide any desired results  As with any analysis tool  the maxim of    garbage  in  garbage out    applies  Economic analysis requires a large number of input variables  and if  you are unable or unwilling to supply these correctly  then it will not be able to help you in  your decision making     Economic analysis works with a stream of costs and benefits  expressed in monetary terms   so if one wishes to consider some factor  then one must be able to express this as a  monetary value  This can be difficult  and often controversial  especially when monetary  values are attached to human life and to social and environmental impacts     It should be noted that costs are negative benefits or benefits are negative costs and as such  no direct differentiation is made between these two concepts during the discussion in the  document     Definitions    It is always a good idea to establish terminology before getting into any detailed discussion  on met
16. ad authority slightly more than    either the dust palliative or base options     lt must be remembered that the analysis has been carried out for a one km section of the  road  The section length could  of course  have been set at 5 km on the initial Results screen     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example       5 1    5  REFERENCES    1  The structural design  construction and maintenance of unpaved roads  1990  Pretoria   Department of Transport   Technical Recommendations for Highways  Draft TRH 20      2  WEINERT  HH  1980  The natural road construction materials of southern Africa   Pretoria  Academica     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual References    
17. avement Management Systems   PMS   with the exception that many of these use a more general measure of performance  than just roughness  Roughness has been used as the basis for the modelling as this  property has the greatest impact on road user costs  the dominant factor analysed in this type  of economic model     The model is tuned by four input parameters  for which this dialogue box provides controls   The two roughness parameters are the design or Initial roughness of the pavement  and the  Failure roughness  The initial roughness is a relatively standard value  although for certain  seals and for labour based construction it may be higher  The failure roughness is also a  relatively standard value  but on lower traffic roads might be increased  The other main  parameter is the Design Life  which is the number of Equivalent Standard Axle Loads   ESALs  to failure  This is based on the design selected for the pavement  Since an overlay  is unlikely to perform in the same manner as the original pavement  there is also an Overlay  Life input  which determines the time taken for the overlay to fail  The fourth parameter in the  model is the slope of the curve  In SuperSurf this is set at 2  a parabolic curve   and cannot  be changed     An additional decision that needs to be taken is the number of    reseals    or holding actions that  will be implemented before the road needs to be overlaid  or reconstructed  the strategy in  the dialogue box   These actions do not impro
18. can sometimes result in large  vehicle counts  especially if the analysis period is long  SuperSurf therefore provides upper  limits for the unpaved and paved road traffic capacities  These are accessed via the  Unpaved and Paved dialogue boxes     Because paved road performance depends more on vehicle mass than on actual axle count     the traffic on a paved road needs to be converted into ESALs  Equivalent Standard Axle  Loads   For each of the three vehicle types an average ESAL value per vehicle can also be    CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 8    entered  It is important that these ESAL values represent the average equivalent damage  caused  so if there is considerable overloading  one must convert the distribution of  measured axle loads to ESALs before averaging     3 3 4 Environment  Clicking on the Environment button will result in the following dialogue box relating to    environmental costs                     Agency Costs   User ponta      Environmental Costs x    Dust  Unpaved Palliative       Paved          Realignment       Regravel    Blading          I TT    JJ       o  Oust Palliative Construction       O  Dust Palliative Rejuvenation  J EE  T NO             y Construction       of Overlay  O  Reseal    o Cost per vehicle     O  Fixed Cost  per year       a la    510301 37981 312923                AENA              Use Defaults             694391    Environmental costs are difficult to quantify  and therefore can prove difficult to inco
19. carried out by setting all values in the dialogue box to  zero  for the respective option   Adjust the value for any one criterion until a break even IRR   ie  zero  is obtained  The actual total benefit to provide this break even value can then be  assessed to determine if the combined benefits can be justified and whether they are  realistic     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    3 1    3  USING SUPERSURF    3 1 Loading SuperSurf    On your software disk  you will see an Excel workbook titled SuperSurf xls  Copy this to your  hard disk in an appropriate directory  When you open this you will get a message indicating  that the programme contains Macros     click on Enable Macros and the following screen will  appear  it is important to ensure that the macro security level  tools macros security  is set to  medium for successful operation of the software      4   SuperSurf1 1 ds             SuperSurf v1 0    2004  SABITA        See http vw sabita co za  for more information  14        Ready  gt   a et frena Jr Jon Jia Ja Jia     You are presented with a page that looks like a regular spread sheet  with a couple of  significant differences  This first page is the main Results page for SuperSurf  and presents  a table across the middle  which contains the results from the other pages  If the screen does  not look like this  click on the Results Tab in the lower left hand corner of the worksheet and  this screen will appear     3 2 Results page    On the resu
20. cision making above economic management must be performed to ensure proper  budget allocation  normally making use of the pavement management system   With this  approach  from the agency   s perspective  all alternatives are a long stream of costs  with no  benefits  and so often one will hear people referring to the NPV as the Net Present Cost   NPC   The alternative with the lowest NPC is then the best alternative     However  if using a purely cost based stream  then one cannot apply various types of  economic analysis     particularly Benefit Cost Ratio and Internal Rate of Return  These  measures are independent of the magnitude of the costs involved in the project  and so are  used to compare various projects on different sections  and even expenditure on different  types of assets  Because of this  SuperSurf makes use of    Pseudo Cost Benefit streams      When performing decision making on roads projects there is normally a    do nothing     alternative  which details the costs which the agency would incur if they did not do any  upgrading on a road  These are the normal maintenance costs associated with whatever  type of road is already in place  The costs associated with this    do nothing    alternative  the  Base option   are subtracted from the costs of the other alternatives  to provide a pseudo  stream of costs and benefits  If the costs associated with the alternative are higher than  those of the base option  then the alternative will cost more than the base
21. d Growth   10 0  HGV 1 50    PANA AAA AAA             Traffic is a major factor in any economic analysis of roads projects  so it is important that the  input data reflect reality as far as possible  SuperSurf uses a traditional traffic growth model  that relies on an initial traffic count  and a fixed annual growth rate  The traffic is split into six  types of vehicle  cars  taxis and light delivery vehicles  LDV   which are together considered  Light vehicles  and buses and light and heavy goods vehicles  which are classed as Heavy  vehicles  Different vehicle operating costs are applicable to each of the classes  The year of  the traffic count and the total daily traffic must be entered  Depending on how the data was  collected  traffic can either be entered as percentage splits  or as average annual vehicle per  day counts by clicking the Split or VPD options on the screen       There are three percentage growth values   e The annual Growth rate reflects a year on year increase in traffic     e Initial growth reflects growth in the Base Year  often a road is being upgraded  because of some new facility  such as a hospital  and this will generate traffic over  and above the measured traffic   and    e Paved growth which reflects the possible increase in traffic in the year when the road  is paved  are also provided to refine the traffic growth values  This equates closely  with traditional diverted traffic     Because of the compound nature of the traffic growth model  it 
22. d by clicking the arrows at  the beginning and end of the bar or by dragging the pointer along the bar as illustrated in the  following two figures  The result is that  in the example  the total labour cost  40 per cent of  the overall cost  is reduced by 25 per cent  the shadow cost      CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 3       alela    0    olololjololjolo    olo 3          slala          Clicking on the Unpaved button will then open the following screen  into which the properties  and parameters predicting the performance and necessary maintenance actions can be  entered                 3  The screen will move to the traffic as shown below  The data can be entered directly into  this screen     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 4    ES  al    Traffic Information  Light Vehicles Year   2004  Car 60 0    Lov 20 0    80 0   Tas   20       spit    Spit    WGV    A OV  Bus   60 0   Lov 20 0    200     Growth   5 0  Bus 1 00  inna Growth   0 0  ESAL LGV 0 50    10 0     Paved HGY 1 50       4  As the unpaved road has various negative environmental impacts  costs   click on  Environmental Costs and input the relevant data  In this case  an environmental cost of  R2000 per km is attributed to the use of a non renewable resource  R100 km is  associated with dust produced during blading  a cost of R1 00 per vehicle is attributed to  dust generation and a fixed cost of R500 per year is allocated for silting and pollution of  water courses resu
23. eases  These parameters are defined in TRH20   which the user should consult  if a better understanding of the factors that affect gravel performance is desired  The  six parameters required are the percentage passing the 26 mm sieve  P26   the  percentage passing the 0 075 mm sieve  P075   the maximum aggregate size  determined in the laboratory    e  the smallest sieve through which 100 per cent of the  material passes  LABMAX  in millimetres   the plastic limit  PL   the ratio of  percentage material passing the 0 075 mm sieve to that passing the 0 425 mm sieve   dust ratio   DR   and the grading modulus  GM      The climate also plays a role in gravel performance  and is classified by Weinert   s N   value     and the moisture region  The models in TRH20  use a parameter that is 1 in  the wet season and 0 in the dry season  to show seasonal variations in grading  requirements  However  for an annual model  such as is used in SuperSurf  this is 1   Wet   0 5  Mild  or O  Dry   depending on the region and geographic location of the  road  e g  roads in valleys are likely to be wetter than roads on hill tops   Normally a     Mild    value should be used     Finally  the maximum traffic capacity limits the growth of traffic on the road  and the  width determines the extent and hence cost of regravelling and blading     It will be noted that the terrain does not appear in any of the models or calculations in this  software  Although terrain  rise and fall and horizontal curvat
24. ecsuecdeavvecvente 3 1  3 1   Loading  SUperSUlf iuris tee tu iinet ine cide lea 3 1  3 2    RESUItS PAS cinta id 3 1  3 3 Base PA iii A ERR E E et 3 3  34    Calculator tthe tnt dein ate as 3 13  3 5     Changing Options iii A ee 3 13  316 Advanced USE tt a lcd 3 14  3 7 Printing Result iii dis ae 3 14  3 8     Saving Al SES ica dada 3 14  3 9 Sensitivity Analyses      ooonoocccnnncocccnncnnccccnnnnnonnnnnonononnnnnnnnnnn non non ncnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnrnnnnnnnnnnns 3 14  WORKED EXAMPLE 226 c iecccccscecccsctecteceds ccecssensecsecexetocsevihtecsnerteaneaeseiveduadedessuceyatseesdsceeasurexecse 4 1    REFERENCES eiicsscscusteactcscandausiieteceestuiccdestvaseivasttacsiastsavasivvsdedadsststvousexseusstattstvstselcstesvaadsdvedss 5 1    1 1    1 2    1 3    1 1    INTRODUCTION    What is SuperSurf     SuperSurf is an Excel    spreadsheet that allows one to perform a detailed economic analysis  of various road maintenance and upgrading strategies  including upgrading  phased or direct   of gravel roads to a paved standard  This can be applied to both rural and urban situations   SuperSurf is designed to be as easy to use as possible  but also highly flexible  This manual  describes how to use SuperSurf  and how to extend it for more advanced analysis work  It  also explains the logic and methodology of economic analysis  to guide those who have not  received any formal training on the subject     The package is equally suitable for roads in the urban and rural environment  althoug
25. est rate at which one calculates Present Value  This is not the inflation rate   Discount rates are always subjective measures of opportunity value  never a measure  of future performance of a particular currency  Thus we can derive the following  formula       ed or PV  LS  1   PV  1 r      Normally  discount rates are expressed as annual interest rates  thus x would be a  number of years        Inflation Rate  i   The interest rate at which real static items change in value with the passing of time   This is a measure of the change in value of the currency in which one is working  and  not a change in value of the items  The inflation rate is normally expressed as an  annual interest rate     Net Present Value  NPV   The sum of the present values of a stream of future costs or benefits     n y   NES O  2   Xan       Benefit Cost Ratio  B C   The ratio of the net present value of the benefits accrued to the costs incurred by a  particular  closed  group of interested and affected parties during the analysis period     Internal Rate of Return  IRR   The discount rate for which the NPV of a particular cost benefit stream is zero     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 3    2 4    2 4    Time value of money    The first decision that must be taken when doing economic analysis is the perceived    time  value of money     or    opportunity value    for the client  This is represented by the discount rate   which is used to determine the present value of any f
26. f the benefits are  common to all of the options and would typically be used in prioritising investment in different  roads  lt is assumed in SuperSurf that any alternative selected would have similar benefits in  terms of accessibility  easier access to health and education  profitability of produce  etc    these benefits not usually being applicable to the base case  The differences between the  various options would be more in quality of life  job creation  reduced dust  etc     The use of community labour can be seen as a significant benefit as income is generated in  the area  as well as being directly in line with initiatives such as the South African Expanded  Public Works Programme  EPWP   Payments to the community are included as costs   construction or maintenance  but must also be included as benefits  under the social benefits  section  It is important that both aspects be incorporated in the analyses  although the facility  exists in the software to effectively reduce the costs of the labour  by attaching a shadow cost  to it     Incorporation of the environmental and social benefits can be handled in two ways in the  software     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 8    1     Input assumed values  Various categories of social and environmental benefits have  been identified and in a separate work sheet for assumptions  the reasoning behind the  selection of these can be recorded for later reference     2     An optimisation operation can be 
27. f the imported gravel layer for any regravelling operation   and the thickness of the existing layer in the Base Year  SuperSurf uses a statistical  model to determine annual gravel loss and each year that the total thickness of  gravel lost exceeds the remaining layer thickness it triggers a regravelling operation   The cost of this operation is dependent on the width of the road and the thickness of  the layer  because the gravel cost is determined in cubic metres     e The second group covers grader maintenance  which entails maintaining the shape  of the road  redistribution of the gravel and removal of corrugations and other surface  irregularities  SuperSurf uses a statistical model that determines how often the road  needs to be bladed  This model depends on a    trigger roughness    in International  Roughness Index  IRI  units  required as input   which is the maximum roughness  that the agency or users are willing to tolerate on that road  For higher trafficked  roads the predicted blading frequency may be excessive but there is a practical limit  to how often it is feasible to blade the road  When the required blading interval drops  below the allowed minimum  required input   the roughness of the road will increase    CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 11    above the trigger roughness level  and cause a significant increase in vehicle  operating costs     The material properties determine how quickly the gravel is lost and road roughness  incr
28. h  aspects such as the drainage requirements and costs will need to be assessed for each case  individually     What is SuperSurf not     SuperSurf is a forecasting tool  and does not identify or provide all of the possible upgrading  or maintenance options for any particular road  For that you will have to use your own  experience and intuition  It is also not a pavement design tool     any road designs will need to  be developed outside of SuperSurf and the resulting data placed in the correct cells by the  user  Similarly  the costs for each of these options  including their maintenance and  rehabilitation requirements  will need to be determined independently by the user  especially  when innovative solutions are being investigated  Good engineering judgement and  experience are essential to optimise the benefits of this package     SuperSurf is also not a    simple pavement management system     It is designed for project  level analysis of a single section of road and not for a road network  However  it could be  used to provide decision support information for a simple but limited PMS     What do   need to use SuperSurf     To use SuperSurf you will need a computer with Microsoft Excel  installed and a working  knowledge of the program  You will also need some basic information about the roads that  you are planning to analyse and the technically viable alternatives  Some basic knowledge of  the principles of economic analysis are also required  so please read the chap
29. hodology  The following terms are used within this document  and in SuperSurf   according to the definitions below  Even if you are well versed in economic analysis you will  do well to read this list  to make sure that you understand how a particular term is being used  in SuperSurf     Analysis Period  n   The time period for which the road section under consideration is being analysed  This  is normally somewhere from 10 to 30 years     Base Year  The year before the first year of the analysis period  in which all of the costs and  benefits are    true     This is normally the current year  and all costs are inflated to this  year or discounted back to this year     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 3    Cost  A cost is a real value that is paid by some party internal to the analysis  to some other  party external to the analysis  In roads projects costs are generally defined to be  positive     Benefit  A benefit is a real value that is paid by a party external to the analysis to some party  internal to the analysis     Present Value  PV   This is the central concept in economic analysis  This the amount of money  value   that you will give me now if we were to enter into a contract which guaranteed that    would return some future value  V   properly inflated  at some future time x  This is the  perceived opportunity value associated with having    cash in hand     or the    time value of  money        Rate of Return or Discount Rate  r   The inter
30. hould be used  This represents an  average opportunity value for the public agency to invest their money in a zero risk  investment  Studies show that this difference is normally an indication of the type of  economy  developed or developing   and is not directly linked to the inflation rate  although  inflation rate also depends on the type of economy   Some have suggested that public  agencies should use a rate of 0   since their goal is not to invest money  but to use money  for the public good  The lower the discount rate  the more the analysis will favour alternatives  which have high initial costs  because it will favour spending money now rather than at some  future date  The discount rate currently in use in South Africa is 8 per cent  but this changes  with economic conditions  It is thus recommended that sensitivity analyses using values of  6 and 10 per cent are also carried out  The latest rate can be obtained from agencies such as  the Development Bank of South Africa     Cost benefit streams    Each alternative is presented within the economic analysis as a cost benefit stream  This is a  series of future values  each occurring at some time within the analysis period  As defined  above  a cost is an amount paid to someone outside of the analysis  ie  an amount paid to a  contractor  an employee  a supplier  etc    In roads projects nearly everything is a cost so  to  avoid working with negative numbers  costs are considered positive values  Benefits are  amounts
31. iated with a gravel road   There is an initial cost  because the first application of a dust palliative often requires some  additional construction work  and then there is the cost of purchasing the dust palliative itself   which is determined per square metre  SuperSurf assumes that the dust palliative requires  an annual  or more frequent  rejuvenation to be effective  If this is not the case  the cost  should be reduced accordingly     Paved    There are four costs for paved roads     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 3 3    3 6     an initial construction cost  per kilometre   e overlay costs  per square metre  see section 3 3 7 for details on this activity    e  reseal costs  per square metre  see section 3 3 7 for details on this activity   and  e an annual routine maintenance cost     While the costs of construction and major maintenance work is fairly easy to establish  there  is not much information available on routine maintenance costs  Where possible  local  experience should be used to judge this figure  The volume and cost of routine surface  maintenance will increase as the road ages and the figure input should thus represent the  expected annual average between reseals     Shadow costs and component allocations    Shadow costs are used in the determination of the vehicle operating costs  These are the  market costs minus indirect taxes plus subsidies  The facility has also been included to make  use of shadow costs of labour and materials
32. ired     8  For the proposed dust palliative alternative the following data would be entered in the  respective screens  which will appear automatically following each other     Setup screen  Add dust palliative title  click dust palliative box and enter year of  application  Click OK    Traffic screen  The same screen as the base case will appear  No change is probably  necessary  unless it is expected that the dust palliative option will attract traffic  in  which case an initial growth figure would be entered     Unpaved properties screen  If the existing material or material from the same borrow  pit is to be used  no change is necessary  If a new borrow material is to be treated  the  material properties must be changed to the new ones     Click OK and the paved properties dialogue box will appear  This is not required for  this option and will be skipped by Clicking OK     Costs dialogue box  Click on the dust palliative tag and the initial construction cost and  dust palliative boxes will appear  The input in the construction cost box will include the  full cost of either ripping and recompaction of the layer or construction of the new layer  with the dust suppressant chemical  In addition to this the annual cost of rejuvenation   chemical and spray facility  needs to be included  This requires engineers input to  determine the average annual rejuvenation requirement  The facility for shadow costs  and component costs related to these activities  labour based applicati
33. is value must be the same for all analysis  options     Section length  SuperSurf normally performs all of the calculations on a one kilometre section  as most  studies will be on existing sections of road  However  this option allows one to scale  the various values for alternatives to longer sections where several alternative routes  of different length might need to be considered  The full length of the road can be used  to determine the actual total costs benefits of the various options  When determining  social and environmental benefits  these need to be estimated per kilometre per year     Inflation rate  The road user cost and accident data used in the economic analysis is the most recent  available but requires updating to allow for inflation  For this purpose  the facility exists  to state the average inflation rate over the previous 3 or 4 years     Exchange rate   Although all of the user cost data in SuperSurf is in South African Rands  ZAR   the  spreadsheet automatically adjusts this to the users currency  making it easy to use  outside South Africa  This requires that the researched values are converted to the  local currency  and this input determines the exchange rate used  However  some  caution should be exercised in using SuperSurf outside South Africa  because the  VOC and accident costs are based on South African socio economic conditions and  may not represent the true costs in other countries  where socio economic conditions  differ     CR 2004 47  Su
34. lting from erosion of the road surface         ee c Se L oe     Agency Costs User Costs  truction  Rehabilitation   Maintenance   VOC   Accident    Environmental Costs 3 x  h            Dust  Unpaved Palliative Paved                   Realignment   y  C Regravel   2000    Blading 100          Dust Palliative Construction 9    Dust Palliative Rejunvenation o                                    Construction 0     Overlay o          Reseal o   S Cost per vehicle   1 00 0 00 0 00 i   Fixed Cost  per year    soo 0 o          Cancel   Use Defaults   f    46321 3637971 80202             OK    ol    ol    5  As the existing case has no social benefits there would be no need to click on the Social  benefits button  If a strategy change were made  for instance to use labour for the road  maintenance  an amount could perhaps be allocated to job creation     6  This is all the information that is required for the Base case  The information put into this  worksheet will then be used to calculate the total agency and economic costs for the base  option  The data pertinent to any alternative is then entered after clicking on the Add  Option button on the results page     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 5    7  Anew worksheet will be created  under the name put into the title line in the Setup for this  sheet  The screens following this will be similar to those for the base option  but aspects  related to the type of alternative  dust palliative  paved  etc  will be requ
35. lts page are some inputs that control global options for the analysis  which are  controlled through the Setup button  These options are     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 2    Analysis title  The analysis title is the description of the project  usually the road number   identifying  the specific project  It is useful to save the Workbook under this title if a number of  analyses are to be carried out on different roads for easy identification at a later date     Base year  This is the base year in which calculations are to be performed  Normally this is the  current year  SuperSurf assumes that any decisions based on the results of the  analysis will be implemented in the following year  By definition this year must be the  same for all analysis options     Analysis period   This is the number of years over which the analysis is performed  For roads projects it  is traditional to consider the costs associated with all of the alternatives over the same  number of years  This option need not be the same for all options  but it is difficult to  imagine scenarios where this would need to be different  In SuperSurf the maximum  analysis period is limited to 40 years  In most cases where people wish to use  different analysis periods for different alternatives they have misunderstood the  concepts involved     Discount rate  As explained above  this option determines the time value of money  See section 2 3  for more details on this value  By definition th
36. ocess to determine the    correct    decision from an environmental  perspective  and then back calculate the environmental costs which will give this as the best  alternative within an economic analysis  However  the procedure for doing this is beyond the  scope of this package     Social costs benefits  These are costs or benefits affecting communities using the roads or effected by the use of    the roads  Like environmental costs  they are difficult to quantify with no adequate  mathematical models currently available for implementation     Examples of social costs benefits include the influence of dust generated from unpaved roads  on communities residing adjacent to the roads  Dust can have significant impacts on health   safety of non motorised transport and animals and the need for ongoing cleaning dust  removal in nearby houses     Benefits include aspects such as the increased opportunity cost associated with paving an  unpaved road  improved accessibility for communities  improved accessibility for commercial  traffic  delivery of goods  etc   job creation and the spin offs associated with employment of  local communities during construction and maintenance  Many other more esoteric factors  such as improved profitability of agricultural and animal products  the potential for tourism  development and improved access to health and education facilities are included within this  definition     In the context of the economic analyses carried out using SuperSurf  many o
37. on is a viable  alternative  exists  Click OK     Environmental costs dialogue box  If the dust palliative is effective  the cost per  vehicle will be zero  The fixed cost per year will decrease as a result of some erosion  protection but the regravelling and blading costs would probably not change  The  actual maintenance and regravelling required will decrease  but this is determined by  the software based on many field trials and must not be included manually  Other  aspects such as pollution resulting from specific dust palliatives or benefits resulting  from the use of a waste product as a dust palliative  negative cost  can be included if  relevant  Click OK     Social benefits  Social benefits accruing from the addition of the dust palliative would  be entered now  These include aspects such as improved accessibility  better quality  of life for communities  job creation  better access to markets  larger agricultural yields   etc  lt should be noted that the reduction of dust is taken into account in the  environmental side  by reducing the cost from the base case to zero in the dust  palliative case  There may  however  be an additional social benefit related to no dust  adjacent to schools or hospitals  Improved safety within communities living adjacent to  roads  including children  animals and non motorised  would also be included     Entering the following input values will result in the final screen     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 6     
38. ore information  14        11  For a conventional paved road  imported subbase and base and a double seal  the  following input data was used to produce the following results screen     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 9          Input parameter values Cost   Construction cost R1 000 000  Overlay cost R20 00 m   Reseal cost R8 00 m   Maintenance cost R4500    Environmental    Construction  material and plant emissions  R5000  Overlay R500  Reseal R500  Fixed cost per year  runoff into streams of dust palliative  R50    Social Benefits    Job creation R500  Quality of life R500  Opportunity cost R2000  Dust R100  Safety R1000                CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Worked Example    4 10       SuperSurf v1 0    2004  SABITA     See http awe sabita co za  for more information  14           12  The results of the analyses for each option are summarised as shown above  For the  dust palliative option an Internal Rate of Return  IRR  of 1 9   is shown  indicating that  the dust palliative option is slightly more beneficial in terms of life cycle economic costs  It  would however  cost the agency considerably more than the base option  The innovative  pavement option shows an IRR of 52 3 per cent and the conventional pavement  an IRR  of 7 8 per cent  slightly better than the dust palliative     13  On this basis  the innovative pavement would be the most cost effective option in terms of  total life cycle costs  although it would initially cost the ro
39. perSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 3    Although these data can be entered directly in the individual boxes  see 3 4   it is  recommended that they be entered using the buttons as a force of habit to avoid possible  problems when inputting other data     Once these parameters have been established  the user should then move to the Base page  and proceed to enter the required information there  This information pertains to the road in  its existing condition and represents the status quo  ie  do nothing option   against which the  cost and benefits of any possible new options or alternatives will be compared     3 3 Base page    The base page is entered by clicking the Base tab in the lower left area of the screen  The  screen displayed should appear as follows                    E a a     E         2    1900f__ 162794  e 1947  133497  30298  170730                232    1998  140288  3181 Y     mA 230127  a 2052  147432  33402 5000 205  187885  2110  154946  35072 5000 197128       rs  ees  me 217078   239161    2014 a 0 44761 0 5000 2483  251076  za 2015 0 2578  209039  46999 0 5000 2518 263616  21 2016 0 si 2682  219785  49349  0 5000 53712  327847    a 17 a A        4 2797  231102 ae 0 5000 2797 2907 s    2   2ozs  243020  sos  ol S000  2023  305354    lo   are ero of se  PH ee   261 201  ass 3389   zeal     ase  E E se  MA 3581  297434  66133  ol 5000     505     3798  312923  69439 5000 sae i  531 4044  329258  72911 5000 4044  411213                               
40. rporate  into an analysis such as that performed by SuperSurf  For this reason a very flexible  structure has been included  which allows the user to attach environmental costs or benefits  to each action which might take place during the design life of the road  These actions have  all been covered in the preceding sections  so only a short explanation of their timing is given  here     While the road is unpaved it can be realigned  This occurs at the time given in the basic set   up  The road is also periodically regravelled and bladed  Different environmental costs can  be defined depending on whether the road has a dust palliative or not  If a dust palliative is  applied then it is also rejuvenated periodically  When the road is paved there can be  environmental costs at the time of construction and also at each reseal or overlay     In addition to these activity related costs or benefits per vehicle and an annual cost or benefit  can also be defined  depending on the type of surfacing  It should be remembered that these  are per kilometre of road and should be apportioned appropriately  depending on the actual  length of the road     Environmental costs are incorporated as negative values and benefits as positive values in  the dialogue boxes     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 9    3 3 5 Social  The Social button provides the facility to incorporate social benefits  and possibly costs  into    the analysis through the following dialogue box       
41. t can be edited  and affect the current  page     e Cells with a light grey background contain calculated input values  and cannot be  changed     e On pages other than the Base page  nearly all of the inputs use default values from  the base page  and so are grey  To change these  first select the correct dialogue  box and enter option specific input values  The cells will then be changed to yellow  editable cells     e White backgrounds indicate general calculation cells  e Purple backgrounds indicate final results     e Ifthe value in a particular cell depends on a number of factors  it is possible to add a  page to the spreadsheet and insert your own calculations  and then insert a reference  to the calculated input values  Because of the design of Excel  it is also possible to  refer to other spreadsheets  and even to databases and other document types   These procedures are beyond the scope of this package     Printing Results    Typically  it is only necessary to print the results page  This has been formatted to print on  one landscape format page directly from the printer icon or from Print in the File Menu  If it is  required to print the base or options pages or any of the working areas  these can be blocked  and printed as would be done for any Excel worksheet     Saving Analyses    It is recommended that each analysis is saved by renaming SuperSurf xls using a project or  road number in order to retain the analysis and more readily locate the workbooks for later 
42. ters which  follow in this manual carefully if you are not familiar with economic analysis     As with any forecasting tool  the more accurate the input data  the more reliable the output   Therefore  you will also need good data on which to base your analysis     Experience has shown that economic analyses can be easily manipulated to produce almost  any result required  Because of this  it is essential that all input data values are carefully  recorded  any supporting information or actual figures that can justify the decisions are  documented  in a separate worksheet as part of the workbook for any single analysis  and  the user must be convinced that all input data used accurately represent the actual situation  pertaining to the project     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Introduction    2 1    2 2    2 2    ECONOMIC ANALYSIS    What is    Economic Analysis        Economic Analysis is a wide field  generally taught within econometrics   which has the goal  of providing tools for decision making between various alternative options for spending or  saving money  Within the context of SuperSurf we are only concerned with decision making  between various road maintenance and upgrading options for a particular section of road   However  the tools can be used in a wide variety of scenarios to aid in decision making   Economic Analysis is a tool  and provides    decision support     it does not make decisions for  you  the road engineer manager     Economic Analysis provides 
43. th a bituminous  surfacing is being considered     The objective of the economic analysis is to compare the costs and benefits of the base  option  status quo  with various alternatives such as dust palliation or upgrading to  bituminous surfaced standard using a range of options  and identifying that option with the  highest internal rate of return     Set u   This Ta box provides access to the most basic settings  The title for the individual  alternative option  and the years in which geometric realignment  dust palliative application or  paving occur  If these actions are planned  check the relevant boxes on the left and input the  correct years on the right  SuperSurf ensures that the chosen values are within the valid  range for the analysis     Costs of construction and maintenance  The inputs through the unpaved and paved buttons determine the performance of the road     and when actions need to be taken  For the economic analysis procedure  these actions  must be converted into costs  In SuperSurf the costs are all input via a single dialogue box   with three tabbed pages  which appears when the Costs button is clicked  These are for the  construction and maintenance costs of an unpaved phase  a dust palliative phase and a  paved phase and appear as follows     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 5             ETE E TT    Agency Costs User Costs       Rehabilitation   Maintenance   VOC   Accident                   Oo  0 19001 127040 28853   0  28 x
44. ts associated with a road  which are not paid by the agency or road users     Environmental costs typically include aspects such as the effect of dust on vegetation and  livestock  damage to adjacent roads caused by hauling of materials during construction  activities  the impacts_of construction activities on air and water pollution  soil erosion  resulting from construction activities and the use of non renewable resources  Many of these  costs are common to any construction alternative  but aspects such as dust and material  usage are specific to individual options and should be taken into account during the analysis   An aggregate tax has been introduced in certain countries  essentially to cover the intrinsic  value of a non renewable resource  Aspects such as this would appear as an environmental  cost        CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Economic Analysis    2 4 4    2 7    In some cases it is possible to attach real values to these costs  such as dust damage to  crops alongside a road  But  in most cases  these costs are very difficult to establish  High  environmental costs  such as the effect of dust on crops  could be used to justify upgrading a  road to a paved standard     Normally  if one wishes to perform an economic analysis as part of an environmental impact  assessment  ElA   it is best to perform the analysis without environmental costs  and use the  results as one indicator in the ElA process  The other approach is to use some other  decision making pr
45. u with a series of dialogue boxes  as discussed above  to input  the various parameters to control the analysis  On each dialogue box one can click on Use  Defaults  which will use the same values as the Base page  Otherwise  new parameters can  be input  A new line is also added to the results table  which displays the results determined  for the new alternative     Typically  options such as the application of a dust palliative  stage construction through  unpaved  dust palliative and then bituminous surfacing  direct upgrading using various  pavement structures and or surfacing alternatives would be compared with the base option   The internal rate of return of each option is then calculated and added to the results page     Deleting options  Old or unneeded alternatives can also be deleted by clicking on Delete Option and then    selecting the alternative to be deleted     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 6    3 7    3 8    3 9    3 14    Advanced use    Although SuperSurf provides dialogue boxes where the user can input all of the data above  it  is also possible to edit the cells containing this data directly by scrolling to the right of the  standard view  SuperSurf uses colour coded cells to show what kind of data a cell contains     e Cells with a blue background are global options  and affect the entire analysis   e     Cells with a green background are researched values and cannot be changed     e Cells with a yellow background are options tha
46. ure  has been used in various  similar but more complex models  the techniques used in this software make no use of it   primarily as this software is a comparative analysis and not a prioritisation process  The  terrain affects all alternatives  not necessarily equally   but the vehicle operating costs used in  the models are based solely on road roughness     Clicking the Paved button opens the Paved Road Properties dialogue box  which should  appear as follows     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 12    Agency Costs    ction Dahahilitatian   Maintananna   VAD Tannidan  ul Paved Properties x            Design ESALs   2000000 C Strategy 1    1000000 No reseal before  as failure and overlay   Initial Roughness   2 IRI C Strategy 2        i One reseal before  Failure Roughness   6 RI Sitreand elo    Maximum   2500 wpd   Strategy 3      Two reseals before    8 0 m failure and overlay     Width    OK   Cancel    0                         e Defaults             The SuperSurf performance model for paved roads is a fairly simple model  This is because  there are few functional performance models available for paved roads  and these generally  require far more advanced software to perform their calculations  The model used in  SuperSurf is a simple exponential curve deterioration model  where the pavement starts at  some initial roughness  and then becomes progressively worse until it passes some failure  roughness  This model is similar to most models used in P
47. uture benefit or cost  Unfortunately this  is one of the most misunderstood concepts in economic analysis and thus a great source of  confusion  and also the easiest number to    fudge    to skew the analysis     The    time value of money    is the value that one attaches to having    cash in hand    now as  opposed to some future time  This is best expressed in terms of an investment opportunity   If someone guarantees to pay you R100  properly inflated  in one years time  if you are willing  to give them an amount PV now  when at what value of PV would you consider this to be a  good deal  If you say a present value  PV  of R100  then you do not consider money to have  a time value  If you say RO  then you have an infinite time value  A value above R100 would  mean that you are very altruistic  and have a negative time value for money  Saying R90 91  would give a rate of 10 per cent  Generally  this value is the difference between the interest  rate at which one can invest in a zero risk investment opportunity and the inflation rate     It is important to see that this value is independent of the inflation rate  Many users of  economic analysis think  and insist  that this value is linked to the inflation rate  It is not  and  unfortunately until this concept is clear  one has not really understood economic analysis     For most public agencies the difference between the official inflation rate and the inter bank  loan rate  prime rate   averaged over the past ten years  s
48. ve the roughness of the road  but slow its rate  of deterioration  Figure 3 1 shows the performance curves for no reseal  one and two  reseals  The terminology of  reseal  and    overlay    is used within SuperSurf for ease of use  In  practice the    reseals    may be a rejuvenator or other holding action  and the    overlay    might  actually be a reseal  or an in place recycling operation     CR 2004 47  SuperSurf User Manual Using SuperSurt    3 4    3 5    3 13           Roughness    2 reseals       No reseal 1 reseal    Failure                                L 3              Initial Performance         Overlay  Initial  lt                        A M          Design Life Overlay Life ESALs    Figure 3 1  SuperSurf paved road performance model    Once again  the maximum traffic capacity limits the growth of traffic on the road  and the  width influences the cost of reseal and overlay operations     Calculations    All calculations are carried out immediately after entering any new data  When data has been  entered into the Base and any Options worksheets the results will be available immediately  on the Results page  These need to be saved using the standard Excel techniques  Control  S  the Save icon or Save in the File menu      Changing options    Adding new options  To add a new option or alternative simply return to the Results page and click on the Add    New Option button  Up to 12 options can be analysed  This will add a new page to the  spreadsheet and present yo
    
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