KeyInvest TrendRadar online-manual
Contents
1. 39 00 38 00 Feb M r Apr Mai In chart technology a reversal formation i e a development in the price action which ends an existing trend and establishes a new trend in the opposite direction is described as a head and shoulders formation HS in short Ideally in an HS an absolute high head is framed by two lower high points to the left left shoulder and to the right right shoulder of the head The breakout above the line connecting the lows between the so called shoulders provides the sell signal in this case and signals a reversal In our example the Aurubis shares have been in an upward trend since the low at EUR 40 30 This initially led to a high at EUR 44 45 on 02 02 2012 the left shoulder of the HS Subsequently there was a consolidation followed by a further upward movement to EUR 45 50 which formed the so called head of the formation At this point the upward trend ended and profit takings allowed the price to fall back to EUR 42 77 Then new buyers entered the market however it was not possible to develop another high The right shoulder formed at EUR 44 23 Followed by a volatile lateral movement the shares undercut the neckline at EUR 43 00 through a downwards gap on 02 03 2012 thus completing the HS formation and generating a sell signal This was then followed by the expected downward movement which allowed the shares above the price target level 1 at EUR 40 55 to fall to the price target leve2. X UBS TrendRadar UBS Keylnvest UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar User manual Content overview 1 UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar Welcome W u u sssseeeeeeeeeenerenee nn n teen ten nn retn n kernen nr e nen kr n seeren renerne 3 2 UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar signals All information and functions at a glance u sssseeeseeereee 4 Be ASIQMal SCAI hy EEE E EAT 8 4 Basic or Pro Select the profile that suits y0U W u u u sssssseneeueeeeeernre nen renee e ennen tern k kerner ternene rener r arr rnee 9 Be Definitions Chart patter s seals renere heale chon herre eneret E EE TE 13 6 Definitions Candlestick information esaia naiean aani e ne i nanan 15 7 Definitions Trading Strategies rare EEN ED ERE re E a aia Eos EGE rear 19 8 Definitions Price specific chart patterns u sssssssseuueeneenekneneen renerne renten etern ener k rer teter nerne renee 20 9 Specific examples this is how it WOLKS cccccecceeceeeeeeeeeeeeceeeeeeeeseeeeeeseeseeeeeeeseeeseeeeeeeteteneeseenaes 21 10 DISC AVG Fe solos se ste cee ol eg sae tae oan e aeaaee AAEE Eaei eee Me RE REDEN NE FEE 28 Page 2 1 UBS KeyInvest TrendRadar Welcome Welcome to UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar your signal sender based on technical analysis With Keylnvest TrendRadar you can gain new investment ideas based on technical chart analysis without having to actively analyse yourself The Keylnvest TrendRadar analyses underlyings from va
3. KO POF Page 3 2 UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar signals All information and functions at a glance The newest signals found by the Keylnvest TrendRadar are displayed in list form Which signals appear in the list depends on which personalisation and search functions you have activated A signal consists of the following information e Signal data Each signal includes the concerned underliyng including current price the name of the chart pattern the recognition time and if applicable a break out time e Graphics The graphics present the detected chart pattern directly in the relevant price chart By clicking on the chart you get to the deailed view which includes all important chart technical levels The chart shows price developments of the underlying in real time e Exchange Besides naming the relevant exchange the candle stick interval is also mentionned based on which the chart signal was generated e Status If a chart pattern has developed but not broken out the status is given as Formed If the breakout has already occurred the status is given as Breakout occurred Please note in the Basic version only signals that have broken out a pre selection of signal types are shown e Current price Besides the current price and currency of the underlying percentage change and absolute change since the previous day close are also shown e Breakout direction The breakout direction shows whether it is an upward long i e r
4. Learn and Inform on the UBS Keylnvest homepage www ubs com keyinvest The Keylnvest TrendRadar Report always relates to the time it was called up and can be saved as a PDF printed or forwarded A click on the securities number brings you automatically to the relevant UBS Keylnvest product details page Hints e Save the chart pattern using Save Trend Signal so that you can follow its future development at any time under My Trend Signals e If you are interested in other chart patterns for gold save the underlying asset using Save Underlying Asset and you will always have a current overview of all detected price signals for gold under My Underlying Assets e Save or print the Keylnvest TrendRadar Report then you will always have a retrievable history of the price signal at the time of the breakout 4 step trade and watch If you would like to invest in a product please contact your UBS customer advisor or your bank All products can be traded on the Swiss Exchange Scoach Watch out for the stop loss level The stop loss level is an instrument which helps manage risks Should this value be undercut it may be assumed that the price target levels 1 and 2 can no longer be achieved The stop loss recommendation Page 22 relates to the price of the underlying asset at which the investor should consider closing open positions With the Professional version you can set the stop loss level with the help of
5. underlying As a registered user you can create a list so that the Keylnvest TrendRadar only displays signals based on these underlyings My Trend signals Has the Keylnvest TrendRadar found one or more signals that interest you Then save these under Save trend signals in order to be able to retrieve them later as a registered user under My trend signals and follow their future development Filter TrendRadar will present a list of available chart patterns according to the profile you have chosen basic or pro and whether you have restricted the search to a specific asset class via the personalization function Page 11 To further narrow down the results you can limit the list to certain pattern types or expected returns You can choose an expected performance by entering a value in the field Figure 6 TrendRadar Menu All underlyings Indexes Stocks Currencies Commodities My underlyings My trend signals Filter Chart Pattern filter Time frame Time window Pattern breakout Breakout direction Candlestick pattern filter Quote dependant pattern Trading strategies Return expectations Stock universe Resources and help Page 12 5 Definitions Chart patterns Trend Channel A trend channel limits the range of variation of the price action within a trend and is created by a parallel projection of an existing trend line through the extreme values on the opposing side Leaving a trend channel generates a buy
6. a bearish falling prices trend change Engulfing Bullish When the body of a long black candle is fully engulfed in a downwards trend by the body of the subsequent white candle then it is referred to as a bullish engulfing pattern This chart pattern signals emerging market strength and a bullish rising prices trend change Side By Side White Lines Bearish This bearish falling prices continuation pattern consists of a black candle within a downward trend which is undercut again by the following candle with a gap This candle can indeed close higher but neither will it nor the subsequent white candle achieve an increase above the gap Subsequently further falling prices are to be expected Page 16 Side By Side White Lines Bullish This bullish continuation pattern consists of a white candle within an upward trend which is surpassed again by the following candle with a gap This candle does not only close higher the torn gap is also not closed The following candle is also white and it remains above the level of the gap Subsequently further rising prices are to be expected Thrusting If in a downwards trend the price opens with a downwards gap after a long black candle but in the course of the candle it recovers and forms into a long white candle this is referred to as thrusting This usually bearish falling prices chart pattern can however also have a reversal character in the event of a breakout of the white ca
7. or employees accepts any liability for any loss arising from use of the Information UBS specifically prohibits the redistribution or reproduction of this material in whole or in part without the written permission of UBS and UBS accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect UBS 2012 The Key symbol and UBS are among the registered and unregistered trademarks of UBS All rights reserved Page 28
8. or sell signal according to the direction of the breakout HS Formation The head and shoulders is a reversal formation that occurs in upward trends Here two local high points surround an absolute high The signal for the trend reversal occurs when the price resets under the line connecting the lows of the two smaller local high points Inverse HS Formation The inverse head and shoulders is a reversal formation within a downward trend Here two local low points surround an absolute low The signal for the trend reversal occurs when the price breaks out above the line connecting the highs of the two small smaller local lows Symmetrical Triangle Top The symmetrical triangle is a reversal formation within an upward trend in which the price oscillates within two narrowing equiangular trend lines while the fluctuation decreases continuously Symmetrical Triangle Bottom A symmetrical triangle bottom is a reversal formation within a downward trend in which the price oscillates within two narrowing equiangular trend lines while the fluctuation decreases continuously Double Top A double top is a bearish falling prices reversal formation that occurs when the price action can increase due to previously formed high but then veers off towards the bottom The double top is confirmed when subsequently the price falls back below the lowest rate between the two highest points Double Bottom A double bottom is a bullish rising prices reve
9. BS products Big Ask Valor Sike SL KO PDF 11 02 0 00 0 002 All underlyings Price Relate Absolute Indexes Underlying Chart pattern Recognition time Breakout time Price Stocks voestalpine AG Rising Wedge 09 00 00 27 02 14 09 15 43 27 02 14 33 46 Currencies a 34 0 Breakout direction Long i Return expectation 2 75 i Commodities O Time frame short term i Stop loss 32 47 i My underlyings As om Price target level 1 33 65 i Alert i My trend signals Os aye l Price target level 2 33 92 i Save underlying i Filter 2 F nhy Next resistance i Save trend signal SE Stock universe f Next support i TrendRadar report Chi X 15 min Breakout occured Resources and help Exchange Statue Current price Matching UBS products Bid Ask vVar Swke SL KO PDF 33 46 0 00 0 00 Enter name of Silir Price Relate Absolute Undertying Chart pattern Recognition time Breakout time Price Save nam Resolution Ltd Falling Wedge 09 00 00 27 02 14 09 15 26 27 02 14 3 73 Reset filter Breakout direction Short i Return expectation i pete 1 E Time frame short term i Stop loss 377 i Mitas Net Pri a Lap rice target level 1 7 i Alert i i 1 Price target level 2 3 70 i Save underlying a Swiss DOTS Trade UBS Next resistance i Save trend signal A Leverage Products until 10 p m Next support i TrendRadar report Learn more gt Chi X 15 min Breakout occured gt a UBS sme sans Current price Matching UBS products Sic Ask valor Strike SL
10. Radar scans the markets permanently The latest siganls are shown here visually The closer a signal is to the center of the radar the newer it is By clicking on the signal the corresponding Keylnvest TrendRadar report appears Figure 4 Radar with new Signals New signals AETNA INC Rising Wedge DOW JONES Rising Wedge AGGREKO PLC Descending triangle Underlying search Underlying search by type in If you want to directly search specific underlyings you can type them in here Page 8 4 Basic or Pro Select the profile that suits you Depending on how much experience you have in dealing with technical analysis and which asset classes and underlyings you are interested in you can use different profiles of the Keylnvest TrendRadar Also you can use Keylnvest TrendRadar to search only for signals that develop in certain asset classes If you wish to focus on specific underlyings the watch list can be used Basic and Pro Profiles of the UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar Are you a beginner in technical analysis or do you already have advanced knowledge Would you like to concentrate on the most important underlying assets or move in all markets The Keylnvest TrendRadar gives you the choice Figure 5 Selection of the Basic or Pro Profile Basic Pro i e Basic The Basic version is best suited for beginners in technical analysis In the Basic profile the Keylnvest TrendRadar only shows you signals which are based on t
11. an Euro Swiss Francs AfricansRand pene British Pound Australian Swiss Franc South African Euro Japanese Yen Dollar Rand US Dollar Swiss Francs British Pound New Swiss Franc Hungarian Zealand Dollars Forint British Pound Hungarian Swiss Franc Swedish Krona Forint Swiss Franc Polnish Zloty British Pound Swiss Franc Swiss Franc Japanese Yen British Pound Japanese Yen British Pound US Dollar Wiss Franc HK Dollar British Pound Danish US Dollar Turkish lira Krone US Dollar South African Rand Swiss Franc Danish Krone Euro New Zealand Dollar Euro Turkish Lira US Dollar Mexican Peso Euro South African Rand US Dollar Hungarian Forint Euro Austrailian Dollar US Dollar Czech Koruna Euro Hungarian Forint US Dollar Swiss Franc US Dollar Japanese Yen US Dollar Danish Krone US Dollar HK Dollar Euro Swiss Franc Euro Japanese Yen Euro British Pound Euro Danish Krone US Dollar Norwegian Krona Euro US Dollar Underlyings Do you prefer to trade in specific asset classes Select between Indexes Stocks Currencies and Commodities in the menu so that only signals from these classes are displayed To see chart signals from the entire underlying universe select All underlyings My underlyings Do you prefer to trade in certain underlyings Then add these to your personalised watch list under Save
12. below the low of the previous candle after a 40 candle low was achieved with the previous candle and the current trading range exceeds the high to low of the last 9 candles A 1 gap to the current high functions as the stop loss Lizard Day Long In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper the underlying asset is bought just above the high of the previous candle after a 10 candle low developed on the previous day however the price subsequently moved upwards and closed in the upper quarter of the candle A 1 gap to the current low functions as the stop loss Lizard Day Short In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper the underlying asset is short sold just below the low of the previous candle after a 10 candle high developed on the previous day however the price fell subsequently and closed in the bottom candle quarter A 1 gap to the current high functions as the stop loss Page 19 8 Definitions Price specific chart patterns Short term EMA Cross In this trading strategy a signal is generated by an exponential moving average EMA with a period length of 12 crossing a short term EMA of the length 20 Depending on the direction of the cross a long or short signal is generated Medium term EMA Cross In this trading strategy a signal is generated by an exponential moving average EMA with a period length of 20 crossing a medium term EMA of the length 50 Depending on the direction of the cross a long or short signal is generated Long ter
13. e Hints e Save the chart pattern using Save Trend Signal so that you can follow its future development at any time under My Trend Signals e f you are interested in other chart patterns for gold save the underlying asset using Save Underlying Asset and you will always have a current overview of all detected price signals for gold under My Underlying Assets e Save or print the Keylnvest TrendRadar Report then you will always have a retrievable history of the price signal at the time of the breakout 4th step trade and observe If you would like to invest in a product please contact your UBS customer advisor or your bank All products can be traded on the Swiss Exchange Scoach Watch out for the stop loss level The stop loss level is an instrument which helps manage risks Should this value be undercut it may be assumed that the price target levels 1 and 2 can no longer be achieved The stop loss recommendation relates to the price of the underlying asset at which the investor should consider closing open positions With the Professional version you can set the stop loss level with the help of the alert function by yourself If it is reached an acoustic signal sounds and a message appears This function will also be available for you by SMS or email in the future More hints e Under Most popular in the left hand menu bar on the homepage you will see which signals other users are currently mos
14. elatively large fuse This bullish reversal shows a downward trend in the dominance of the bulls and may be an indication of an ending downward trend Gravestone Doji The gravestone doji is a one candle formation and is inversely related to the dragonfly doji This formation shows no or only a short fuse with relatively long wick for a small candle body The gravestone doji is generally considered a bearish reversal and may herald the end of an upward trend Long legged Doji The long legged doji signals market uncertainty This one candle formation closes near or equal to the opening rate and has an equally long wick as fuse Due to the increased volatility in the bullish and bearish directions with a closing price close to the opening price the long legged doji can herald the end of a trend Above The Stomach Above the stomach is a two candle formation that represents a bullish reversal It arises in a downward trend and contains a black bearish candle followed by a white bullish candle The opening rate of the white candle lies above the middle area of the black candle and forms a white candle body with a short wick and fuse The theory then assumes a break in the downward movement Below The Stomach Below the Stomach is a two candle formation that represents a bearish reversal It occurs in an uptrend and includes a white bullish candle followed by a black bearish candle The opening
15. et level at 34 74 CHF which was attained exactly This price target arises from the width of the trend channel s range from the breakout point at 35 61 CHF being transferred downward The double trading range of the channel occurs similarly to the second price target at 33 98 CHF 3 step finding a compatible product The UBS Keylnvest Trend Radar Report is available to you as a clear document summarising all of the important information relating to the signal the chart pattern concerned the time of the signal and important technical chart markers The UBS products that are compatible with the signal are listed under the signal information They are subdivided into the two risk categories leverage and participation This gives you the opportunity to select a compatible product according to your personal risk tolerance They range from UBS PERLES i e products with underlying asset 1 1 to warrants turbo warrants and mini futures in which you can participate with leverage to the price development of the underlying asset You will find further information about opportunities and risks of the products on the relevant term sheet or under Learn and Inform on the UBS Keylnvest homepage www ubs com keyinvest Page 24 The Keylnvest TrendRadar Report always relates to the time it was called up and can be saved as a PDF printed or forwarded A click on the securities number brings you automatically to the relevant UBS Keylnvest product details pag
16. evelopment of the formation are calculated based on the maximum trading range which the ascending triangle demonstrates In our example this is a range of 30 35 USD between the low at 1 705 70 USD and the high at 1 736 05 USD If this range is now copied to the upper limit you will get the target price based on the full potential of the given chart pattern On the other hand the price target level 1 at 1 754 30 USD arises from the range of the resistance to the higher interim low on the 17 02 2012 at 1 717 25 USD Other price targets entered relate to the upwards trend preceding the formation 3rd step finding a compatible product The UBS Keylnvest Trend Radar Report is available to you as a clear document summarising all of the important information relating to the signal the chart pattern concerned the time of the signal and important technical chart markers The UBS products that are compatible with the signal are listed under the signal information They are subdivided into the two risk categories leverage and participation This gives you the opportunity to select a compatible product according to your personal risk tolerance They range from UBS PERLES i e products with underlying asset 1 1 to warrants turbo warrants and mini futures in which you can participate with leverage to the price development of the underlying asset You will find further information about opportunities and risks of the products on the relevant term sheet or under
17. gnal simply click on the chart The following can now be seen Page 23 Figure 8 Signal Detail Actelion Actelion Pharmaceutical Ltd 42 00 hp 40 0 i I ph lt 38 73 I 2 Ne 38 00 EEE StopLoss 36 71 3 06 a T E tesa Pc target level 13474 42 4596 A wed an E ae iN Re target level 2 33 98 4 59 34 og Ma Mr tnl M W h h l W JUN ya NT 32 00 12 19 26 Apr 10 16 23 30 7 14 i i i i i i annn In chart technology a trend channel is a geometrical shape which incorporates the classic action of an upward or downward trend thus making it easier to see The upward trend channel in our example for the price action of Actelion shares starting from 12 03 is constructed by connecting consecutive higher lows with a straight line This signals the slightly rising price range below which no market participants are prepared to sell shares any longer during the course of the trend This straight line is now parallel projected by a high on the opposite side The action between the trendlines which is determined by strong upward movements and corrections is thus contained If one of these trend channels lines is crossed or undercut a trading signal occurs since the original trading range was left at the same time In the selected example this occurred on 21 03 with a downward breakout to the level of 35 61 CHF Following this sell signal the price fell almost unchecked on 22 03 to the first price targ
18. he most common technical chart patterns trend channels triangles and head amp shoulder formations The profile allows you to select underlyings from a broad universe of stocks indices currency pairs and commodities e Pro You are already a pro with technical analysis In the Pro version you can scan all available underlyings with more than 50 chart patterns and trading strategies The following choice is available in the two profiles Indices Basic Pro DAX ATX Nikkei EURO STOXX 50 CAC 40 Nasdaq Composite SMI China Shenzhen B Nasdaq 100 DAX SDAX DJ Transportation SET50 Dow Jones Industrial S amp P 500 EURO STOXX 50 SMI FTSE 100 SMIM PI Hang Seng Swiss PI PR Kospi TecDAX MDAX Page 9 Stocks from Indices Basic DAX Dow Jones EURO STOXX 50 Nasdaq SMI Precious metals amp commodities Basic Gold Silver Pro ATX CAC 40 DAX DJ Transportation Dow Jones Industrial EURO STOXX 50 FTSE 100 MDAX Pro Aluminium Brent crude oil Cocoa Coffee Corn Copper Cotton Feeder cattle Gold Henry HUB natural gas Lead Lean hogs Live cattle Milk Nickel Oats Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Composite S amp P 500 SDAX SMI SMIM PI Swiss PI PR TecDAX Orange juice Palladium Platinum Rapeseed Rhodium Rice Rubber Silver Soybeans Soybean meal Sugar Timber Tin Wheat WTI crude oil Zinc Page 10 Currency pairs Basic Pro Euro US Dollar British Pound South Swiss Franc Norwegi
19. he same level within the first candle body This chart pattern indicates the end of a downward trend Harami Cross Bearish After a long white candle within an upward trend prices fall significantly and a doji short trading range occurs opening and closing price on the same level within the first candle body This chart pattern indicates the end of an upward trend Page 17 Three Black Crows Three black crows meaning three consecutive long black candles within an upward trend where the high and low points of each are slightly lower than those of the previous candle are a relatively sure indication for the near end of the upwards trend Three White Soldiers Three white soldiers meaning three consecutive long white candles within a downward trend where the high and low points of each are slightly higher than those of the previous candle are a relatively sure indication for the near end of the downward trend Hammer The name says it all because the one candle formation within a downward trend looks like a hammer a small black or white candle body on a long lower shadow signalising the bottom formation within the candle and thus a bullish reversal on the market Inverted Hammer This chart pattern is just as the name says the upside down version of the hammer a short candle body under a long wick It also signalises a short term bottom formation and the chance of a subsequent increase or bullish reversal Ladder Bott
20. iew in order to then be able to continue falling Next resistance The next resistance gives the price level which represents the closest obstacle from a technical chart point of view The price must overcome this obstacle in order to then be able to continue rising Return expectation The return expectation is calculated for chart patterns with a breakout and gives the percentage of change from the price level of the breakout to the price target level 1 which is expected on the basis of the calculations of technical analysis This expectation cannot be seens as a guarantee for future price performance Stop loss The stop loss level is an instrument which helps to manage risks Should this value be reached it may be assumed that the price target levels 1 and 2 can no longer be achieved The stop loss recommendation relates to the price of the underlying at which the investor should consider closing open positions With the Professional versions you can set the stop loss level yourself If it is reached there is an acoustic signal and a pop up message appears Alert Here you can define an alert that will create an accoustic signal and show a pop up message as soon as the underlying reaches the given price level In order to use this function you have to be logged in Save underlying Here you can add the underlying in which the signal has developed to your watch list Under My underlyings all signals which develop or have develo
21. ising price potential of the underlying or a downward short i e falling price potential of the underlying signal This information is only displayed when the signal has broken out e Time frame Short term a signal is short term if the chart pattern has developed over less than 10 days Accordingly a short term holding time of the position recommends itself Medium term a signal is medium term if the chart pattern has developed over less than 30 but more than 10 days Accordingly a medium term holding time of the position recommends itself Long term a signal is long term if the chart pattern has developed over more than 30 days Accordingly a long term holding time of the position recommends itself e Price target level 1 Price target level 1 describes the target price which represents the closest price potential in accordance with the signal that has broken out A price target is generated with the breakout of the price from the chart pattern Page 4 Price target level 2 Price target level 2 describes the target price which represents the next price potential to be achieved after achieving price target level 1 in accordance with the signal that has broken out A price target is generated with the breakout of the price from the chart pattern Next support The closest support gives the price level which represents the closest level that the value would have to break through in a downward direction from a technical chart point of v
22. l 2 at EUR 39 61 3rd step finding a compatible product The UBS Keylnvest Trend Radar Report is available to you as a clear document summarising all of the important information relating to the signal the chart pattern concerned the time of the signal and important technical chart markers Page 26 The UBS products that are compatible with the signal are listed under the signal information They are subdivided into the two risk categories leverage and participation This gives you the opportunity to select a compatible product according to your personal risk tolerance They range from UBS PERLES i e products with underlying asset 1 1 to warrants turbo warrants and mini futures in which you can participate with leverage to the price development of the underlying asset You will find further information about opportunities and risks of the products on the relevant term sheet or under Learn and Inform on the UBS Keylnvest homepage www ubs com keyinvest The Keylnvest TrendRadar Report always relates to the time it was called up and can be saved as a PDF printed or forwarded A click on the securities number brings you automatically to the relevant UBS Keylnvest product details page Hints e Save the chart pattern using Save Trend Signal so that you can follow its future development at any time under My Trend Signals e f you are interested in other chart patterns for gold save the underlying asset using Save Underlyi
23. m EMA Cross In this trading strategy a signal is generated by an exponential moving average EMA with a period length of 50 crossing a long term EMA of the length 200 Depending on the direction of the cross a long or short signal is generated MACD Standard Cross In this trading strategy the MACD indicator is crossed in its standard settings 12 26 by a signal line and depending on the direction of the cross a long or short signal is generated MACD Fast Cross In this trading strategy the MACD indicator is crossed in a very short term close market setting of 8 13 by a signal line and depending on the direction of the cut a long or short signal is generated Page 20 9 Specific examples this is how it works a Ascending Triangle in Gold 1 step the signal is detected UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar has detected the chart pattern ascending triangle in the gold price chart and generated a corresponding signal 2 step the signal in detail The most important information about this signal can be found in the signal detail To see all the information and details about this signal simply click on the chart The following can now be seen Figure 7 Signal Detail Gold Gold 1 559 00 Commodity 1 800 00 1 750 00 ee 1 700 00 hAg me 1 600 00 1 559 00 Feb 20 27 M r 5 12 19 26 The gold price formed a so called ascending triangle betweeb 16 02 2012 to 20 02 2012 This chart pattern normally occurs during an u
24. ndle above the low of the black candle Rising Three Methods This bullish trend perpetuating candle formation consists of five candles of which the first a long white candle is clearly corrected by three small black candles In turn the fifth a long white candle completes the chart pattern with an increase above the high of the first white candle Deliberation In an upward trend three white candles each close above the high of the previous candle of which the last one contains a short body doji spinning top This last candle signals emerging trend weakness and a possible reversal Accordingly the formation of a black candle should be expected as confirmation Breakaway Bearish After a long white candle in an upward trend the market opens with an upward gap and tends to continuously increase by more than two candles The fifth a long black candle concludes the bearish falling prices reversal chart pattern by moving back into the upward gap of the second candle Breakaway Bullish After a long black candle in a downward trend the market opens with a downward gap and tends to continue to fall by more than two candles The fifth a long white candle completes the bullish reversal chart pattern by increasing into the downward gap of the second candle Harami Cross Bullish After a long black candle within a downward trend the prices rise significantly and a doji short trading range occurs opening and closing price on t
25. ng Asset and you will always have a current overview of all detected price signals for gold under My Underlying Assets e Save or print the Keylnvest TrendRadar Report then you will always have a retrievable history of the price signal at the time of the breakout 4t step Handeln und Beobachten If you would like to invest in a product please contact your UBS customer advisor or your bank All products can be traded on the Swiss Exchange Scoach Watch out for the stop loss level The stop loss level is an instrument which helps manage risks Should this value be undercut it may be assumed that the price target levels 1 and 2 can no longer be achieved The stop loss recommendation relates to the price of the underlying asset at which the investor should consider closing open positions With the Professional version you can set the stop loss level with the help of the alert function by yourself If it is reached an acoustic signal sounds and a message appears This function will also be available for you by SMS or email in the future The UBS Keylnvest Team wishes you luck with your stock exchange transactions More hints e Under Most popular in the left hand menu bar on the homepage you will see which signals other users are currently most interested in e Subscribe to our free Keylnvest Daily Markets newsletter in which two underlying assets are analysed in detail from a technical chart point of view on every t
26. om This five candle chart pattern within a downwards trend begins with four declining black candles where the last one is an inverted hammer The following long white candle opens with a gap above the fourth candle and closes near the candle high a clear signal for a bullish rising prices reversal Page 18 7 Definitions Trading strategies Expansion Breakout In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper the underlying asset is bought just above the high of the previous day after a 40 candle high was achieved with the previous candle and the current trading range exceeds the low to high of the last nine candles A 1 gap to the current low functions as the stop loss Expansion Breakdown In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper underlying asset is short sold just below the low of the previous day after a 40 candle low was achieved with the previous candle and the current trading range exceeds the high to low of the last nine candles A 1 gap to the current high functions as the stop loss Expansion Pivot Long In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper the underlying asset is bought just above the high of the previous candle after on one hand the trading span of the last 9 candles was exceeded and on the other hand a moving 50 day upward average was achieved on the previous day A 1 gap to the current low functions as the stop loss Expansion Pivot Short In this trading strategy by Jeff Cooper the underlying asset is short sold just
27. pped on this underlying are shown In order to use this function you have to be logged in Save trend signal Here you can add a specific signal to your watch list Therewith you can continue to follow the future performance of a specific signal at any time All saved signals can be found under My Trend Signals In order to use this function you have to be logged in TrendRadar report Here you can open a pdf report of the corresponding signal It contains detailed information about the signal and a selection of UBS products fitting to the corresponding signal Page 5 Figure 2 TrendRadar Report UBS KeyInvest 7rendRadar Report 3 Date 0227 2014 Himorical returns are net mecessariy indicative of future retums This information are delivered from BieseGo see also disclaimer UBS Products matching this signal HH Leverage Product name Valor Symbol Leverage SL KO Strike Currency Bid Ask Termsheet Call Warrant on Actelion 23483465 ATLUU 3023 100 00 CHF 028 omw et Long Mini Future on Actelion 23702847 FATEA 861 82 50 CHE ose omw Long Mini Future on Actelion 23443427 FATPA 7 01 80 07 CHF oss os 7 Open End Turbo Call Warrant on Actelion 13652665 OATLB 1 44 27 99 CHF 418 420 Open End Turbo Call Warrant on Actelion 13652664 OATLA 142 27 10 CHF 424 42 9 Stop Loss Min Futures KO Knock Out Turbos Strike Exercise price Warrants You can find further products as well as information on the opportunities and
28. pward trend and indicates its continuation At the same time the rise of the underlying asset in this case gold is limited by a horizontal resistance line In the example this is at the level of 1 736 05 USD and forms the top side of the ascending triangle At this level there are more sell orders than buy orders in the market for a short time meaning that the price cannot rise further for the time being In contrast the bottom side of the ascending triangle is characterised by several higher lows This pattern builds when there are no further sales orders at this price and an increase in buying interest at the same time with slightly declining prices It can therefore be assumed that the market is in a positive mood for a further increase in the price and will use the short term drops in the price as entry points Page 21 In the example above this is observed at the low of 1 705 70 USD on the16 02 2012 and at the low of 1 717 25 USD on the 17 02 2012 Therefore while the top side is limited by a clear resistance level increasing buying pressure is building up from below If the top limit line and its price are crossed it can be assumed that there will be a simultaneous flood of buy orders and closing of short positions which together trigger a further dynamic rise By implication the breakout above the top resistance provides a technical chart signal which implies the continuation of the upward trend The price targets which arise from the d
29. rading day www ubs com keyinvest daily markets e You will find more helpful explanations in the TrendRadar Online Manual under the heading Info and Learning top menu bar e Here you will find a short introductory video about the Keylnvest TrendRadar webinars information about roadshows and events etc Like all the other contents of the Keylnvest TrendRadar the film is available in English French and German e Use our wide range of information and tools for investors and traders at www ubs com keyinvest Page 27 10 Disclaimer This handbook has been prepared by UBS AG in co operation with B rseGo AG This handbook is not prepared for the needs of any specific recipient It is published solely for information and is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments Instruments UBS makes no representation or warranty either express or implied on the completeness or reliability of the information contained in this document Information except that concerning UBS AG and its affiliates The Information should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for using their own judgment Any opinions expressed in this material may change without notice and may be contrary to opinions expressed by other business areas of UBS as a result of using different assumptions or criteria UBS is under no obligation to update the Information Neither UBS nor any of its affiliates or their officers
30. rate of the black candle lies below the middle area of the white candle and forms a black candle body with a short wick and fuse The theory then assumes a break in the upward movement Eight New Price Lines The new prices are a chain of candlesticks which can consist of both white and black candles The fact that each candle is created with a higher high than the previous one is fundamental Their occurrence indicates a high trend dynamic Evening Doji Star In an upwards trend a long white candle is followed by a doji with an upward gap Trading takes place in a narrow range without turning the bullish rising prices requirements of the previous candle into further gains An evening doji star shows a clear weakness in the upwards trend behaviour which is confirmed by a price decrease and a black candle on the following day and is clearly to be considered bearish Page 15 Morning Doji Star In a downwards trend a long black candle is followed by a doji with an downward gap Trading takes place in a narrow range without the bearish falling prices requirements of the previous candle leading to further losses A morning doji star shows a clear weakness in the downward trend behaviour which is confirmed by a price rise and a white candle on the following day and is clearly to be considered bullish Three Line Strike Bearish After three candles with a falling price and lower lows within a downward trend an increa
31. rious asset classes in real time and identifies whether patterns or formations relevant to chart technical analysis can be found in the price development If the Keylnvest TrendRadar detects a technical chart pattern or formation it is illustrated clearly in the form of a signal including all the relevant information Depending on which markets or underlyings you are interested in and which trading strategy you are following the Keylnvest TrendRadar can be customized individually to your needs How this can be done is outlined in this manual Figure 1 TrendRadar Landing page a UBS Keylnvest S amp P A Moody s A2 Fitch A tzerlend EN Search 41 44 239 7676 keyinvest ubs com itzeriand E Home Markets Products TrendRadar Topics Service m New signals TrendRadar All underlyings Undertying Chart pattern Recognition time Breakout time Price SP ERIAN LE Experian PLC Pennant 09 00 00 27 02 14 09 16 19 27 02 14 11 02 b VOESTALPINE AG W Breakout direction Short i Return expectation 054 i Rising Wedge l I a i Time frame shottem i Stop loss 11 11 i RESOLUTION LTD Fil 2 11 100 Falling Wedge i I j Price target level 1 11 05 i Alert i ER 11 050 Price target level 2 11 03 i Save underlying I Next resistance i Save trend signal i 15 0 oc 11 000 Next support i TrendRadar report Chi X 15 min Breakout occured Exchange Status Basic Pro L Current price Matching U
32. risks of wereubs comvheyinwest ths products under EH Psrticpstion Product name Valor Symbol leverage Currency Bid Ask Termsheet For this signal no investment products are available at the moment You can find further products as well as information on the opportunities and risks of this products under wwacubs comvheyinwest Page 6 e Matching UBS products Here you will find selected UBS structured products which are fitting to the corresponding signal You can either open the product termsheet or get the product details by clicking on them Figure 3 Single Signal with matching UBS products Underlying Chart pattern Recognition time Julius Baer Gruppe AG Descending triangle 17 00 00 26 02 14 Breakout direction Long Time frame short term 42 000 Price target level 1 42 38 Price target level 2 42 67 Next resistance 41 38 26 27 41 000 bd Next support 41 13 VTX 30 mins Breakout occured Exchange Status Current pri Matching UBS products 41 35 CHF 0 00 0 00 CHF Call Warrant on Julius Baer Price Relative Absolute Long Mini Future on Julius Baer Call Warrant on Julius Baer Breakout time 17 46 31 26 02 14 Return expectation Stop loss Alert Save underlying Save trend signal TrendRadar report Ask Valor 0 09 21632113 0 29 23107224 0 29 21177121 Price 41 35 CHF 3 30 i 41 14 i Strike SL KO PDF 44 00 K 38 36 M 42 00 H Page 7 3 Signal search Radar New signals The UBS Keylnvest Trend
33. rsal formation that occurs when the price action falls back to a previous low but then veers upwards The double bottom is confirmed when the price rises above the highest point between the two lowest points Triple Top A triple top is a bearish falling prices reversal formation that occurs when the price action can rise to a high which was previously formed and achieved once more but then veers off downwards The triple top is confirmed when the price subsequently falls back below the lowest point of the price between the three high points Page 13 Triple Bottom A triple bottom is a bullish rising prices reversal formation that occurs when the price action falls back to low which was previously formed and achieved once more but then veers upwards The triple bottom is confirmed when the price rises above the highest point between the three lowest points Ascending Triangle The ascending triangle is bounded on top by a horizontal trigger line and on the underside by an ascending trend line It usually occurs in an upward trend and has a trend continuation character Descending Triangle In the descending triangle the horizontal boundary line is in contrast to the ascending triangle on the bottom while the top is limited by a descending trend line Accordingly descending triangles can often be found as a trend continuation formation in a downward trend Flag The flag is similar to the trend channel directed against
34. se above the high of the first candle takes place with a fourth candle Therefore a complete upward revision occurred within a candle and a subsequent continuation of the downward trend is likely Three Line Strike Bullish After three candles with a rising price and higher highs within an upward trend an sale below the low of the first candle takes place with a fourth candle Therefore a complete revision occurred within a candle and a subsequent continuation of the upward trend is likely Hanging Man A hanging man is a one candle formation in which after an increase a sale takes place within a candle before the market turns back to the candle high This indicates market weakness and further falling prices are likely The pattern is confirmed by a following black candle Mat Hold This bullish rising prices candle formation has five candles in which the first a long white candle is corrected by three small black candles Here the first black candle opens above the first white candle forming the high which must be exceeded by the fifth again a long white candle in order to complete the pattern Therefore the long white candle gives the start for the continuation of the uptrend Dark Cloud Cover When the body of a long white candle is fully engulfed in an upwards trend by the body of the subsequent black candle then it is referred to as a bearish engulfing pattern This chart pattern indicates emerging market weakness and
35. t interested in e Subscribe to our free Keylnvest Daily Markets newsletter in which two underlying assets are analysed in detail from a technical chart point of view on every trading day www ubs com keyinvest daily markets e You will find more helpful explanations in the TrendRadar Online Manual under the heading Info and Learning top menu bar e Here you will find a short introductory video about the Keylnvest TrendRadar webinars information about roadshows and events etc Like all the other contents of the Keylnvest TrendRadar the film is available in English French and German e Use our wide range of information and tools for investors and traders at www ubs com keyinvest The UBS Keylnvest Team wishes you luck with your stock exchange transactions c Head and Shoulders Formation HS in Aurubis 1 step the signal is detected UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar has found the chart pattern head and shoulders in the price of Aurubis and generated a corresponding signal 2 Schritt Das Signal im Detail Page 25 You will already find the most important information about this signal in the signal list To see all the information and details about this signal simply click on the chart The following can now be seen Figure 8 Signal Detail Aurubis Aurubis AG 40 90 XETRA 46 00 45 00 StopLoss 44 23 2 99 44 00 Clerol A OR Next support 42 76 _ 0 44 43 00 A i nr 40 55 pem Aye m 9 hh V ia
36. the alert function by yourself If it is reached an acoustic signal sounds and a message appears This function will also be available for you by SMS or email in the future The UBS Keylnvest Team wishes you luck with your stock exchange transactions More hints e Under Most popular in the left hand menu bar on the homepage you will see which signals other users are currently most interested in e Subscribe to our free Keylnvest Daily Markets newsletter in which two underlying assets are analysed in detail from a technical chart point of view on every trading day www ubs com keyinvest daily markets e You will find more helpful explanations in the TrendRadar Online Manual under the heading Info and Learning top menu bar e Here you will find a short introductory video about the Keylnvest TrendRadar webinars information about roadshows and events etc Like all the other contents of the Keylnvest TrendRadar the film is available in English French and German e Use our wide range of information and tools for investors and traders at www ubs com keyinvest b Trend Channel in Actelion Ist step the signal is detected UBS Keylnvest TrendRadar has found the chart pattern trend channel in the price of Actelion and generated a corresponding signal 2nd step the signal in detail You will already find the most important information about this signal in the signal list To see all the information and details about this si
37. the main trend consolidation formation which can limit price action by two parallel trend lines Flags are usually trend continuation formations Pennant A pennant is a short term consolidation formation inclined against the main trend that visually resembles a triangle and consists of two converging trend lines Pennants generally act to affirm a trend meaning that after closing in the direction of the main trend this continues Diamond Top A diamond top is a bearish falling prices reversal formation that occurs at the end of an upwards trend Ideally the listings move to a phase of diversification and afterwards connect seamlessly together again like a symmetrical triangle before a sometimes sharp downward movement The result is a highly volatile lying diamond which also gave the formation its name Diamond Bottom A diamond bottom is a bullish rising prices reversal formation that occurs at the end of a downwards trend Ideally the listings move to a phase of diversification and afterwards connect seamlessly together again like a symmetrical triangle before a sometimes sharp upward movement The result is a highly volatile lying diamond which also gave the formation its name Page 14 6 Definitions Candlestick information Dragonfly The dragonfly doji is a one candle formation characterised by a marginal difference between the opening and closing prices Here the dragonfly doji shows no or only a short wick with a r
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